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Washington talking to Warsaw about possible U.S. missile base in Poland
CNEWS ^ | November 16, 2005 | ROBERT BURNS

Posted on 11/17/2005 1:13:40 AM PST by twinself

WASHINGTON (AP) - U.S. and Polish officials are discussing building a base in Poland from which U.S. interceptors could shoot down long-range missiles as part of a global defence network, a Pentagon official said Wednesday.

It would be the first American strategic missile defence site outside U.S. territory, and would be designed to defend all of Europe against intercontinental-range missiles - primarily those launched from the Middle East.

No decision has been made to proceed with a missile defence base in Poland and alternative sites in Europe are a possibility. But the Pentagon official said Poland appears to be the most likely host country for the kind of American military installation that would have been unthinkable before Poland joined NATO in 1999.

The official discussed the matter only on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly.

The Pentagon has made no public announcement of its discussions with Polish officials, although it has made known its extensive consultations in recent years with NATO allies on the threat posed by ballistic missiles.

On Monday, Poland's new prime minister, Kazimierz Marcinkiewicz, said he was opening a public debate on whether to host a U.S. missile defence base.

He did not specifically say Washington was interested in installing ground-based interceptors of the sort that the Pentagon has recently installed in Alaska.

"This is an important issue for Poland, related to our security and to our co-operation with an important ally," Marcinkiewicz said.

He leads a new conservative government in Warsaw that took office on Oct. 31. The previous government had expressed concern that missile defence co-operation with Washington could harm relations with Russia, which had opposed Poland's decision to become a member of NATO.

The U.S. military has no permanent bases in Poland or other Central and Eastern European countries formerly aligned with the Soviet Union. The U.S. does have bases in former Soviet republics in Central Asia such as Kyrgyzstan.

U.S. officials have been discussing with new NATO members Romania and Bulgaria the possibility of basing some U.S. troops there as part of a repositioning of U.S. forces around the world.

U.S. officials have been considering a number of possibilities for extending the American missile defence network to include Europe, although most of the focus has been on defences against short-range missiles.

Long-range missiles are considered an emerging threat, in the view of Bush administration officials, because of the proliferation of technologies that would allow countries such as Iran and possibly Syria or Libya to build extended-range missiles. The threat is especially worrisome when coupled with nuclear warheads.

The current U.S. defence system against long-range missiles is limited mainly to an installation at Fort Greely, Alaska, where at least six missile interceptors are in underground silos, linked to a command and control system. It is designed mainly to shoot down missiles fired at U.S. territory from North Korea, with future expansion planned.

The Pentagon official who discussed the Polish option said that if a missile defence base were built there, it probably would be the only one needed to defend Europe against long-range missiles, although radars, other sensors and interceptors designed to combat shorter range missiles also would be needed for a complete defence.

The official estimated that a site in Poland would not be ready to begin operating before 2010. He offered no estimate on how much it might cost or when U.S. officials were likely to make a decision to proceed. Also undetermined is whether the site would be controlled jointly by U.S. and Polish forces or possibly with a NATO role.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: allies; allypoland; mds; militarybases; missiledefence; newnwo; pentagon; poland; russia; usa
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To: Lukasz

"U.S. and Polish officials are discussing building a base in Poland from which U.S. interceptors could shoot down long-range missiles as part of a global defence network"...

what do toy think about this, guys
posted by "washington times":

"Russian warhead alters course midflight in test
By Bill Gertz
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
November 21, 2005


Russia recently conducted a flight test of a new warhead that can change course in midflight, which U.S. and Russian officials are calling part of Moscow's efforts to defeat U.S. missile defenses.
The warhead was tested Nov. 1 and tracked by U.S. intelligence technical monitors, including satellites, the officials said.
An analysis of the flight test by U.S. intelligence agencies revealed that it was a further test of a maneuverable warhead that Moscow has been developing for several years in response to U.S. missile defenses.
The warhead was flight tested on a Russian Topol-M missile, designated by the Pentagon the SS-27, that flew from the Kapustin Yar launch complex in southern Russia near Volgograd.
The missile booster fired for a shorter-than-usual duration in placing the dummy warhead and re-entry vehicle into space. The warhead then dropped down to a lower trajectory and was able to maneuver.
Kremlin officials were quoted in Russian press reports as saying the new warhead was designed to thwart the new U.S. missile-defense system of interceptors deployed in Alaska and California.
U.S. officials confirmed some characteristics of the new missile warhead based on an analysis of the Nov. 1 flight test, which was first reported earlier this month by several Russian news organizations.
Unlike current ballistic warheads that do not alter their flight paths sharply once they reach space, the new warhead can change course and range while traveling at speeds estimated at about 3 miles per second, the officials said.
Maneuvering warheads represents a difficult physics challenge because changing course at such high speeds normally would cause a warhead to disintegrate.
Maneuverability would let a warhead thwart missile defenses, because such countermeasures rely on sensors to project a warhead's flight path and impact point so that an interceptor missile can be guided to the right spot to knock out a warhead.
Rick Lehner, a spokesman for the Pentagon's Missile Defense Agency (MDA), declined to comment on U.S. intelligence assessments of the latest Russian warhead test because data is classified.
But Mr. Lehner would say that U.S. missile defenses aim to counter a limited number of warheads from a small nuclear power such as North Korea, not a major strike from a nation with hundreds of missiles, such as Russia.
However, Moscow believes future U.S. defenses, including plans to deploy anti-missile interceptors in Europe or the East Coast of the United States, could be used against Russian strategic missiles.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said a year ago that the new strategic-missile system "will have no analogues," a reference to the hypersonic warhead.
Meanwhile, the Pentagon announced yesterday the Navy's Aegis missile-defense system conducted the sixth successful test of an anti-missile interceptor hitting a target warhead.
It was the first time that a ship-based SM-3 interceptor missile hit a warhead that had been separated from its booster, the MDA said in a statement. The test was carried out near Hawaii from the Aegis-equipped cruiser USS Lake Erie."






281 posted on 11/21/2005 5:41:58 AM PST by iva
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To: All

http://washingtontimes.com/national/20051120-115514-2217r.htm


282 posted on 11/21/2005 5:43:36 AM PST by iva
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To: Lukasz

What things?


283 posted on 11/21/2005 6:04:07 AM PST by Freelance Warrior
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To: iva
(...) Moscow believes future U.S. defenses, including plans to deploy anti-missile interceptors in Europe or the East Coast of the United States, could be used against Russian strategic missiles.

"what do toy think about this, guys"

The struggle continues...
284 posted on 11/21/2005 6:22:02 AM PST by twinself
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To: Joe Boucher

I would not call any country an "enemy" of ours unless we are actually fighting them. Syria and Iran are merely Least Favored Nations at the moment the latter thanks to Jimmy Carter. No arms sold them by Russia will do us any real harm nor would those countries attempt to us them against us.


285 posted on 11/21/2005 6:31:22 AM PST by justshutupandtakeit (Public Enemy #1, the RATmedia.)
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To: dervish
But Poland is in NATO too, if anybody hasn't noticed yet :-)

Since 1999., as far as I remember.
286 posted on 11/21/2005 8:10:28 AM PST by lizol
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To: Freelance Warrior
Shortly after the defeat in the Battle of Warsaw (1920), the withdrawing Red Army handed the city over to the newly reborn Lithuania. On July 12, 1920 a peace treaty was signed between Lithuania and Bolshevist Russia, that recognized Vilnius as the capital of the independent Republic of Lithuania.

On October 9, 1920 the Lithuanian-Belarusian Division of the Polish Army under General Lucjan Zeligowski seized the city after a staged mutiny. The city and its surroundings were proclaimed a separate state of Central Lithuania (Litwa Srodkowa) and, after free parliamentary elections, in a result of the decision of the Central Lithuanian Parliament, on February 20, 1922 the whole area was made a part of Poland, with Vilnius as the capital of the Wilno Voivodship. Lithuanian authorities in Kaunas declined to accept the Polish authority over Vilnius; diplomatic relations between Lithuania and Poland were broken until 1938.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vilnius#20th_century

Following the start of the Polish-Soviet war, in 1919 the territory was occupied by the Red Army which defeated and pushed back Polish self-defence units, but shortly afterwards the Bolsheviks were pushed back by the Polish Army. 1920 saw Central Lithuania occupied by the Red Army for the second time, although Russia officially recognized the sovereignty of Lithuanian Soviet Republic over the city. Lenin was probably waiting for the capture of Warsaw, to occupy the remainder of Lithuania. However, when the Red Army was defeated in the Battle of Warsaw, the Soviets made the decision to hand over the city back to Lithuania. Despite the agreements, Lithuania seized the southern Suvalkai region (Polish: Suwalki region) as well. The reason for this was that several parts of the region had clear Lithuanian ethnic majorities.When the Polish army reached Lithuanian lines (August 26, 1920), a local war was started that lasted for several days until the Lithuanians were pushed back.

This made the compromise even harder to achieve and the newly-established state of Lithuania declined any negotiations on the status of the Vilnius area, claimed it as its capital city and denied any Polish influence over it whatsoever. A cease-fire agreement was signed on October 7, 1920, but it did not solve the issue. Polish commander Józef Pilsudski ordered his subordinate, General Lucjan Zeligowski, to defect with his '1st Lithuanian-Belarusian Division' and capture the city, without declaring war on Lithuania.

General Zeligowski entered the city on October 8, 1920, almost unopposed.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Lithuania

As you can see that time was quite complex on those territories.
It was a struggle between countries, which just newly gained, or re-gained independence.
And many of them claimed rights to the same lands.
287 posted on 11/21/2005 9:16:36 AM PST by lizol
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To: Grzegorz 246

"How many jobs ? 30 ?"

I don't know is that how many are/were stationed in Germany?

"You think that this is a good price for becoming the first target ?"

You sound just like the European anti-Missile crowd in the 1980's. What do you think caused the fall of USSR which liberated Poland? Do you think Iran has the US in mind as its first target?


288 posted on 11/21/2005 9:30:09 AM PST by dervish (no excuse s)
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To: Freelance Warrior
"Moreover, add here reuniting Ukrainian and Belorussian people with their mainland like the Teszen case."

Which mainland ? Soviet Union ? What rights Soviet Union had to those lands ? Especially that Western Ukrainians were among the most anti-soviet people.
289 posted on 11/21/2005 9:37:07 AM PST by Grzegorz 246
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To: twinself

What a perfect location for an ABM base. We need to work on similar locations in continental Asia.


290 posted on 11/21/2005 9:38:51 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Grzegorz 246

"In matter of proportions - yes. But in matter of morality - no."

In matter of morality ? Polish annexation was like taking the money from a wallet of a dead body of a theft, who had stolen that money from you before and Molotov-Ribbentrop pact was killing a man together with another guy.==

It is good comparison. May I rephrase?

In case of Teshin annexation(1938) someone killed the guy then both killer and accomplice looted the dead body.
In case of Molotov-Ribbentrop(1939) both conspired to kill guy(the accomplice of first case) and loot him.
Both cases involve the conspirancy against victim.

As for "who had stolen that money from you before" it is usual justification. Stalin used it too when he made a case for Molotov-Ribbetrop.

I don't know but IMO the behaivoir of accomplice is less moral. To loot the dead body is of scavenger. Better to be killer then scavenger.


291 posted on 11/21/2005 9:40:07 AM PST by RusIvan ("THINK!" the motto of IBM)
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To: Grzegorz 246

Actually, if I might correct you a bit here, anytime prior to full reentry, a missile can be shot down without too much trouble occurring. IRBMs and SRBMs still take ballastic trajectories and may be exoatmospheric for part of the trajectory. So even Iranian and Russian missiles impinging upon Europe could possibly be shot down by such a system.


292 posted on 11/21/2005 9:41:33 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: twinself

Training bag .... sad but true!


293 posted on 11/21/2005 9:43:19 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Freelance Warrior

Do you honestly believe that the US (or any other Western country) would undertake a surprise attack or any sort of other unilateral attack against Russia? And please do not use the oddities of Napolean and Hitler as examples. Use only what you know to be the true context of modern Western nations, led by squeamish, reserved liberals. Witness all of the various miltiary operations undertaken by the US since 1945. Be honest about it - you need to admit that the US has no stomach for great war. 3, possibly 4 times since 1945, great war might have been justified, and yet, the US did not muster the courage for great war. Are you simply trying to villify the US?


294 posted on 11/21/2005 9:47:36 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Grzegorz 246

Do you really think that US is going to shoot down Russian satellites ?==

The system is just a gun. If you have a gun which you install near my place then I have 2 choices. One - to trust you and second - to arm myself.
Whole historical experience of Russia says for second choice.


295 posted on 11/21/2005 9:49:40 AM PST by RusIvan ("THINK!" the motto of IBM)
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To: Frank_Discussion; Sean Osborne Lomax; JohnOG; Blindboy16; DarkWaters

This thread is highly disturbing in terms of the undercurrents it reveals. Great war will be upon us.


296 posted on 11/21/2005 9:53:21 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Freelance Warrior

But really, you'd prefer the Finnish way. Right?


297 posted on 11/21/2005 9:55:34 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Freelance Warrior
US ABM's stationed at Fort Greeley Alaska have considerably greater speed than ballistic missles. The interceptors actually fly non-Kelplerian (hyperbolic) trajectories. They only need to deliver a very small mass to be successful. Even hyperbolic orbits are constrained.

The point, however, is whether or not any location offers geographic advantage, not whether or not it is possible to perform an interception. Poland (imho) offers few geographic advantages for the defense of the U.S. from attacks originating in Siberia, or the Middle East, when compared to, say, Flyingsdale Moor (UK) were there is already a large (U.S. built, RAF run) phased array radar.

To assess roughly the advantages of any location, stretch a string on a globe between the launch and impact points, separated by at least 4000 km ("intercontinental"). Points near the string are favorably placed. Poland doesn't even come close to a Siberia to U.S. trajectory and is not particularly favorably located for a Mideast-U.S. trajectory.

I agree with you, the absolute worst thing about Serbia was that it sent all the wrong messages, to everyone, especially the Russians. A skillful diplomat would have made it a Russian lead operation (the Russians participated eventually) with NATO support.

298 posted on 11/21/2005 9:57:02 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (NY Times headline: Protocols of the Learned Elders of CBS, Fake but Accurate, Experts Say)
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To: dervish
"I don't know is that how many are/were stationed in Germany?"

What ? US has ~70 thousand soldiers in Germany, in case of this system in Poland that would be a few hundred soldiers and because of counter-intelligence reasons locals probably wouldn't be allowed to work directly in the base.

"You sound just like the European anti-Missile crowd in the 1980's."

Maybe but there is a serious difference between W.Germany-Soviet Union during cold war and Poland-Iran now, don't you think ?

"Do you think Iran has the US in mind as its first target?"

What ?
299 posted on 11/21/2005 9:59:54 AM PST by Grzegorz 246
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To: Grzegorz 246

Ideally Poland would become more self sufficient in terms of strategic military capability. In a way, it is too bad that Western countries are so pure of means when it comes to proliferation. Russia and the PRC have proliferated to some pretty bad countries, folks we cringe about having nukes. Meanwhile, in the West, we say the club shall be limited to three only. Personally, I think the club in the West should expand to at least 6 or 7. Poland among them.


300 posted on 11/21/2005 10:01:50 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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