Your whole post consists of a Hypothesis Contrary to Fact. Probability is an abstract concept, not a fact.
"Intelligent Design" is a conclusion for which there is no evidence. As you state:
Follow the evidence, wherever it leads.
First you have to have some evidence, of which ID has none. Just because Antony Flew proved he was an idiot doesn't prove anything else other than he is an idiot. He didn't submit any such evidence, just the fallacious conclusion. Maybe he wasn't so smart to begin with.
As I said, One Wet Iota. Just one.
I don't hold that ID is science, but answering your challenge for just one piece of evidence for ID may help me illustrate a point.
Before this century many have postulated that the universe was created by a God or by some gods.
An immediate implication of this postulate is that the universe did not always exist, but had a definate begining. Conversly those rejecting this hypothesis would most likely maintain that the universe simply always existed.
Astrophysists claim to have evidence that the universe popped into existance long ago in some kind of big bang. Which shows some confirmation that the universe did not always exist--which was predicted by the postulate that it was created.
Wrong. It is a SCIENCE in MATHEMATICS. You clearly can't handle science. You have destroyed ALL credible scientific seriousness in your posts.