Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part IV

NHC - NOAA ^ | 24 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Category Three Major Hurricane Wilma is barreling toward the Southwest Florida coastline. The storm is packing wind speeds of 125mph, moving NW at 20mph, with an enormous eye 65 miles in diameter. Landfall is anticipated shortly in Collier County between 6:00 and 7:00AM ET.

Storm surge flooding of 9 feet to 17 feet is possible along the coast near and to the south of where Wilma makes landfall. Storm surge of 5 to 8 feet is predicted for the Keys. The storm has spawned tornados throughout the Florida peninsula since yesterday evening.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Melbourne Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Key West Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Tampa Bay Radar Still image w/watches warnings

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[opbuzz]

It's been a steady rain up here in Jacksonville since about 3-4 AM. Good luck down south.

[ThreePuttinDude]

No, sure haven't. Fox 13 just had Amani Channel reporting from the tip of Anna Maria.
He sad other than gusts and blowing wind everything there was pretty good.

If that's any help..hope so

[NautiNurse]

LOL! Although, a whole bunch of us are amazed (and very thankful) to have power this morning.

[LBKQ]

Thanks a lot!

[publiusF27]

I've heard a hotel will go back, but I don't really know.

Wow, guess I should have trimmed my oak a bit more. It's getting ready to smack the house.

[dawn53]

We had some friends looking at lots in North Port (for residential building.)

Seemed like the price of lots were jumping every week. We drove down with them one weekend. We were amazed at how the land had been parceled out years ago (I think by the Army Corps of Engineers, right.)

Learned a little about scrub jays too, LOL!

[patriciaruth]

Back then the power plants ran on coal.

Do they still?

[PogySailor]

Electricity still on in Brandon? Will wonders never cease! Y'all lose electricity if a crow lands on a power line.

No kidding. I think TECO puts the system on special "Hurricane Hair Trigger" mode. Let a puff of wind shake the lines and it'll trip.

So you know things aren't too bad if we aren't running generators.

[publiusF27]

Actually, I think North Port was a General Development Corporation project. They platted it, built all these streets, then sold FL dream retirement lots to Yankees who didn't realize it was out in the sticks.

Just a few years ago, you could have as many lots as you wanted there for $5,000 apiece. Sure wish I had grabbed a bunch. They go for ten times that now. Unless, of course, there are sacred scrubjays...

[jeffers]

This is newer, but I'm not sure how beneficial sat imagery is right now.

The overheads are not in agreement with the NHC plots. Sat and radar imagery have the eye center further east and south than the NHC plots show it.

Except for Marco, which has already happened, I'm not sure the difference will have much effect either, with the outer eyewall over 100 miles in diameter. I think it's a function of the irregularly shaped clear air eye, but I just don't know what's "real" and what can safely be ignored.

If forced to choose I will go with the NHC plots over radar or satellite. They have stayed right in the pocket, under ten miles of error, for several days now.

[GOPJ]

Got the call about 2 hours ago. Me and the cadaver dog are headed for south Florida.

Be careful...

[M Kehoe]

Good morning. Hope you and Richard still have power.

Heads up Guenie, coming your way. Hopefully you won't get whacked too hard.

5.56mm

[patriciaruth]

Looks like Everglade City is smack dab in the middle of this huge eye now.

[ThreePuttinDude]

We moved from Venice, down to North Port 2 years ago. The vacant lot next
door was selling for $6,000. I thought about making an offer, then changed
my mind. Well I'll be darned the owner now is asking
$30,000 for the damn thing, and he'll get it.

Prices for houses have more than doubled in just 2 years, it's nutz I tell ya'.

[NautiNurse]

FPL is 6% coal, 18% oil, 21% nuclear, 37% gas, and 18% purchased from other sources.

[publiusF27]

Current radar loop which you can save as animated gif image:

WX Underground

[jeffers]

Sorry, the link didn't make it in the last post.

Here it is:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/east/latest_eastwv.jpg

[dawn53]

My husband was kidding my friends about the scrubjays. Told them to pick out their lot, and he'd bring his pellet gun and make sure there weren't any scrubjay on it.

It's amazing how a bird can change the price of adjacent lots.

[Dallas59]

That's indecent of Fred...

[dawn53]

When my friends started looking, I think lots were in the mid 20's, but by the time they made a few trips, it seems to me lots had hit the 40's...all in the course of a couple months.