So which way does the accuracy error lean, overpredicting the area of damage, or underpredicting?
Also, do you see any scenario where Wilma somehow winds up hitting the upper TX coast?
Underpredicting... moreso with monetary estimates than wind swath. Though, I see it is forecasting 14.5b in damage to FL... That seems a bit higher than what I have seen in the past. It way underpredicted Katrina, but I'm not sure anyone could have guessed just how costly that would be.
At some point, Canadian air will make it all the way to the Gulf next week... I don't see any way it would make it to TX.