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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread (As of 2:30 am EDT, Wilma is a Category 5 with 175-mph winds )
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: NautiNurse; nwctwx
I started it; and I apologized.

Let's drop an iceburg or a nuke or both on this bitch.

261 posted on 10/18/2005 8:02:08 PM PDT by don-o (Don't be a Freeploader. Do the right thing. Become a Monthly Donor!)
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To: mhking
We're already overloading that server :-)

The "old media" really needs to learn how to keep up with us :-D

262 posted on 10/18/2005 8:02:45 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: Capt. Tom
it's been 67 years since any hurricane has hit Naples

I don't think the folks who lived in Naples during Hurricane Donna in 1960 would agree with your friend.

263 posted on 10/18/2005 8:03:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: don-o

If we drop a nuke, let's do it before it crosses Cuba :-)


264 posted on 10/18/2005 8:03:55 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: NautiNurse

Night all. I have a bad feeling like the Friday before Katrina. But, y'all in Florida know the drill.


265 posted on 10/18/2005 8:05:35 PM PDT by don-o (Don't be a Freeploader. Do the right thing. Become a Monthly Donor!)
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To: NautiNurse

Well, Nauti, you are earning many well-deserved kudos for seeing all of us through this long, long hurricane season.

This has to be the last one.

Good vibes going out to all FLorida FReepers.


266 posted on 10/18/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
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To: don-o

Good night, don-o.


267 posted on 10/18/2005 8:06:52 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: don-o

Nighters


268 posted on 10/18/2005 8:13:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: don-o; nwctwx
I haven't read any glee in nwctwx's posts. Yes, I've read some excitement about reaching a point we haven't been before, using up all the named storms, but glee...no. One of his posts on this thread has been about not wanting to see damage or loss of life.

It's the excitement of possibly seeing a milestone reached. His excitement has absolutely nothing to do with wishing damage or death on anyone, anywhere. He's said just the opposite.

nwctwx has participated and shared his knowledge with us on several of the hurricane threads. He has his own board and he doesn't have to come over to FR and analyze storm tracks or intensity. He's got quite a bit to deal with on his own board but he comes here to share with us. He's been helpful in explaining terminology and what maps mean. He's been willing to share his knowledge and assistance with us.

I'm not going to begrudge him feeling some excitement about the possibility of there being a hurricane named Alpha. Just as he confirmed in one of his posts, he wouldn't care if it curved around and petered out in the Atlantic after reaching hurricane strength, that it'd would be the best scenario.

Please don't assign feelings he obviously doesn't have about wanting a killer cane to happen. Another hurricane with no property damage, injuries or death would be kind of neat since we would have used up all of the assigned names and naming them (I think it's Greek) numbers.

269 posted on 10/18/2005 8:16:04 PM PDT by Sally'sConcerns
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To: NautiNurse
We're close to due for the first report from AF308. Any takers on the pressure being above the estimated 945 mb? </cheer_attempt>
270 posted on 10/18/2005 8:16:53 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: nwctwx; don-o

nwctwx, your insights on hurricanes and weather are highly valued; I think most of us who follow these threads wish, if anything, that you would post even more often.

It kind of reminds me of Dr. Neil Frank, director of the NHC back in the 70's and 80's, now a Texas TV weatherman. You could tell by watching Dr. Frank on television that he was just completely fascinated by hurricanes and loved talking about them. Yet he constantly warned people of what to expect, and constantly worried that millions of folks were moving into vulnerable coastal areas without really knowing what could happen. I miss his broadcasts.

Weirdly, while searching for a photo of Dr. Frank, which I could only find the one I posted a few weeks ago, I also found that he is not a believer that global warming is caused by man:

"However, Dr. Neil Frank told the officials that climate change "has nothing to do with carbon dioxide."

He said he saw "nothing in the data - not numerical models - that would force us into a rapid decision cutting back on emissions and impose an economic disaster on this nation."

Frank is former director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami and now chief meteorologist with television station KHOU in Houston.

Concerns over global warming from the enhanced greenhouse effect are based on computer models of the atmosphere's processes. Those models' results should be treated with skepticism, Frank said.

"I can't put faith in a three-day forecast," he said, yet scientists are making predictions about what the climate will be in two centuries using more simplified models of the atmosphere than are used for the short-term, daily weather forecasts.

"The atmosphere," Frank said, "is too complex, and the computers are too slow," even supercomputers, to forecast the very long-term future with any skill.


271 posted on 10/18/2005 8:18:32 PM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality - Miami)
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To: steveegg
Any takers on the pressure being above the estimated 945 mb?

1004mb would be good right now.

272 posted on 10/18/2005 8:18:54 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
Is this correct?

She's got a very small, pinhole eye. Only 7 miles wide. A good indication she'll intensify rapidly.

273 posted on 10/18/2005 8:19:13 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: NautiNurse
The LBAR needs to be a terribly useless model for this storm.

I'm hoping for that yellow NHC one that takes this thing all over Cuba.

274 posted on 10/18/2005 8:19:34 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: steveegg

bttt


275 posted on 10/18/2005 8:19:49 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Please say a prayer, and hold positive thoughts for Texas Cowboy...and Faith.)
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To: steveegg
If we drop a nuke, let's do it before it crosses Cuba :-)

How about WHEN it crosses?

276 posted on 10/18/2005 8:21:15 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Just say NO to New Orleans.)
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To: NautiNurse

Don't think we'll get 1004, but I'll settle for the 954 that was last measured.


277 posted on 10/18/2005 8:21:42 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: NautiNurse

May be a dumb question, but are you ready?


278 posted on 10/18/2005 8:21:59 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Just say NO to New Orleans.)
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To: STARWISE

This won't be as intense as Charlie if it hits south of Sarasota, since the Gulf water temps are now cooler, some 10 degrees cooler than when Katrina moved through. All the Cat4-5 talk is media hype as far as the US is concerned, this storm will not be any more than a weak Cat-3 at landfall, with a tiny eye IMHO.


279 posted on 10/18/2005 8:22:28 PM PDT by JABBERBONK
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To: SouthTexas
How about WHEN it crosses?

If it's a slow-mover so the fallout doesn't land in Florida, that would work.

280 posted on 10/18/2005 8:22:40 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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