This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
Locked on 10/19/2005 9:04:23 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
New thread: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1505673/posts |
Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Now there's a freeper with his priorities in order! ;-}
Was it the GFDL that went loopy this afternoon?
Looks like she hasn't weakened any further. The drop from 175 to 160 was probably due to the eyewall replacement that's been going on.
I'd buy plenty of Franco American in the pop up can. And of course Oreos. And Little Debbies.
I doubt it. The main question in my mind is if she goes into Mexico first. If it misses Mexicon, I'd say my idea of 105-115 at landfall would be about right. Perhaps much weaker if it goes over Mexico. If that happens, it will only re-emerge after getting kicked by the trough, so it won't strengthen much, if it all.
Yes, the 12z GFDL seems to have been a blip of some sort. It's back much closer to its idea prior to that run... closer to the east coast late in the period.
I just went to "your" website- WOW..it's terrific! Right down to damage estimates by county!
In this model...NN and I do NOT like the gold/tan line..going through Tampa across the state...who does that belong to?
Walmart didn't have any suitable little grills so I decided if we lose power, I'll eat stuff cold. Walmart was really packed today, especially the canned food aisle. I don't plan on waiting for Fema, Jeb or my mayor to feed and water us. Next thing you know, Geraldo would be here trying to carry me to a helicopter.
The site was made by the University of Central Florida. They collaborated with the University of Minnesota on the mapping system. The damage estimate thing is neat, but hasn't seemed to be super accurate based on what I have seen. It's good for a general idea in that area though.
GFDL has me quite worried. NE quad winds could bring surge right into Miami.
You're welcome and thanks to backhoe and US Army EOD. I didn't think about it before but I can take 2-3 RV's in this emergency too.
Now, is my arm suppose to hurt so much after I got a pneumonia shot in it about 11:30AM today?
Recommend: take a couple of Advil.
I don't think surge will be all that big of an issue with this storm for the U.S.
Make that FL. If the GFDL is right, which is not likely, a hurricane/hybrid moving 60mph into RI might cause some surge.
Sounds like either the nurse hit muscle OR you were watching the syringe and tensed up. It get four shots a week for allergies. The trick is look the other way when getting shots so you don't tense up and the needle goes in straight & easy. Do that and all you'll ever likely feel is a mild sting for a second.
Thanks...should I call you tomorrow? lol
>>>Next thing you know, Geraldo would be here trying to carry me to a helicopter.<<<
It's good to see you haven't lost your sense of humor, in the face of another hurricane.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.