Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Picking the President, Part Three
Adam's Web ^ | 10/09/2005 | Adam Graham

Posted on 10/11/2005 1:30:16 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt

Part One
Part Two

Having previously examined a total of 10 candidates for president, we turn to some of the more Conservative candidates for president.

One popular name has been Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-Co.) who is ardent proponent of immigration reform. Tancredo has helped bring the issue of illegal immigration to the national forefront and for that he should be applauded. He's been talking about this since 1999 and its quickly becoming a front-burner issue.

While I have no doubts about Tancredo's stance on immigration, I question his ability to appeal to the whole Republican party. Tancredo has been in the news about one issue and one issue alone and has shown no ability to speak to the concerns of other issues that concern Republicans.

Tancredo is generally Conservative with a strong 98% ACU career rating and having been on the National Taxpayers Union's "Friend of the Taxpayers" list ever year since he came to Congress in 1999. However, Tancredo has not taken sufficient steps to avoid racializing the immigration debate which hurts the immigration reform cause and would hurt Republicans in the general election. Given that he, himself concedes that a campaign is unlikely to go anywhere, I see little point wasting time on a campaign where the candidate doesn't think he could win.

Senator Sam Brownback (R-Ks.) is a great social conservative leader. He's been a force on culture of life issues as well as the marriage amendment. Brownback's fiscal record has been mixed, as he voted for the Medicare Prescription drug package which has been the bane of economic conservatives, however, his record since arriving in Congress has been relatively strong, never garnering a grade of less than B- from the National Taxpayers Union. Brownback has been involved another of international humanitarian issues such as the suffering in Sudan.

My concern with Brownback are two-fold. First, is whether he has the potential to win the presidency. I've got to tell you that I've got doubts. Although, it is somewhat pleasing to see the American left go into fits of epilepsy at the words "President Brownback" as they believe his campaign to be a plot by the Catholic organization Opus Dei to take over the country. Aside from secret money coming in from the Vatican (as the left reverts to pre-JFK fear-mongering on Catholics) I'm not certain that means he's capable of winning given his lack of charisma, and whether he'll be able to inspire enough people to make his campaign work. His stand on immigration will be anathema to those who advocate immigration reform. He has received a career "D" grade for Americans for Better Immigration.

Next is Governor Haley Barbour (R-Ms.) who did a fantastic job in the wake of Hurricane Katrina. He's began efforts in Mississippi to reduce the number of abortions by changing hearts one at a time. Barbour has resisted the urge to raise taxes even under pressure from local media. Also, as a former RNC chairman, Barbour would have the contacts necessary to raise funds for a presidential campaign.

The negatives of Barbour are found in two things. First is his Washington insider status. Barbour founded one of the most powerful lobbying firms in Washington. Already, some groups have connected Barbour to his firm's lobbying efforts on behalf of the Mexican government. In addition, Barbour was investigated in the 1996 campaign finance scandal. He also would face some questions from social conservatives on his support for on-shore Casino gambling in Mississippi.

In addition, Barbour faces a daunting challenge if he wishes to run for President and re-election as Mississippi Governor. Mississippi is one of three states that will elect a Governor in 2007. Any serious presidential campaign has to start in early, 2007. In effect, he would have to run two campaigns at once. Alternately, he could announce he wouldn't seek a second term as governor but that could bring into question his electability.

Senator George Allen (R-Va.) is one of the best potential candidates for President. He is a man who after a term in the Senate knows Washington well, but also has the benefit of executive experience that a man like Senator Brownback or Congressman Tancredo lacks. He was a key player in Republican gains in the Senate last term as leader of the Republican Senate Campaign Committee.

Allen has two real problems. First, his record on fiscal issues while not terrible has been mediocre at best. He backed the prescription drug benefit for Medicare which creates a huge new entitlement. Allen has also issued ambiguous statements on abortion. Professor Ed Lynch writes:

"Allen has to clarify his position on abortion. During his run for the Senate in 2000, I twice heard Allen attempt to explain his stand on this issue. Neither attempt was very successful. Allen said that he would not restrict abortion during the first trimester, since at that early point in the pregnancy, it is not certain that there is another person involved."

Now Professor Lynch is confident that with some study, Allen will come to the conclusion that life begins at conception and provide a clear position on the issue. As he has yet to do so, its not at certain that he will be able to unite Conservatives, or whether when he faces closer scrutiny, he will in fact, divide Conservatives.

I've covered all the potential Republican candidates I'm aware of in these past three columns, save one, the candidate I will recommend. However, understanding that my pick may not run, in my next piece, I'll turn to the topic of what candidates I've discussed can do to improve their standing among conservatives come 2008.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: allen; allen2008; barbour; barbour2008; brownback; brownback2008; georgeallen; tancredo; tancredo2008
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-57 next last

1 posted on 10/11/2005 1:30:19 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

He could just stand there and utter.."The Presidents main job is to protect the sovereignty of the U.S." and "I am the most conservative candidate in the race"...and peel off 40-60% of the votes.


2 posted on 10/11/2005 1:35:37 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Nothing fills the void of a passing hurricane better than government)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: samadams2000

There were four candidates mentioned, which "he" are you talking about?


3 posted on 10/11/2005 1:39:01 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

Thanks for the series - I think the more conservative candidates are at the whim of events outside their control. More important will be abortion and the War on Terrorism. Who even knows who the VP will be in 2 years. Look for Tancredo's stock to rise if Gilchrist beats the establishment GOP candidate on that one issue out here - more so if the next terrorist attack came across the Mexican border - still I don't see a U.S. Rep advancing to the highest office in the land. Perhaps Governor first?


4 posted on 10/11/2005 1:40:19 PM PDT by clawrence3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

Tancredo....Im not saying he can win...just that maybe its time to send a message.


5 posted on 10/11/2005 1:40:20 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Nothing fills the void of a passing hurricane better than government)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

Mike Pence. He's Ronald Reagan with a little Tancredo thrown in for good measure.


6 posted on 10/11/2005 1:40:33 PM PDT by RockinRight (I am beginning to think conservatism is buried somewhere under New Orleans mud...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vicomte13

Bump.


7 posted on 10/11/2005 1:43:15 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt
I was initially on the George Allen bandwagon, but between his ambiguous abortion stance, his spending, and his vote for McCain's "Coddle the Terrorists" amendment, I've cooled off of him big-time.

I'm more than a bit worried looking at the GOP field as it currently stands. Does anyone have the lowdown on Bill Owens of Colorado? First of all, he's a Governor, which helps immensely in the race for the Presidency. And I understand that he's patched up things with his wife - which if true, and not just a PR charade, speaks well enough of the man.

We really need to form a breakaway group in the GOP, like a "Teddy Roosevelt" brigade, to 1) educate the public of the benefits of conservatism, and 2) hunt down the RINOs in our midst. Right now the party seems clogged full of 'em, and they impede the way to true progress & simpler government.

8 posted on 10/11/2005 1:43:41 PM PDT by Yossarian (Remember: NOT ALL HEART ATTACKS HAVE TRADITIONAL SYMPTOMS)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yossarian

Well, Governor Owens has disclaimed interest in a Presidential run. He's had some marriage problems caused in part by his governorship which have been happily resolved, but I doubt he has any interest at this point.


9 posted on 10/11/2005 1:45:12 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota


10 posted on 10/11/2005 1:46:51 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country" -- Mitt Romney)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JohnnyZ

See Part One. He signed on to a tax incease in Minnesota.


11 posted on 10/11/2005 1:47:19 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

Pawlenty already split the base, Tax increase, ethenol increases, lite-rail, land grabs. J.D. Hayworth is my pick.


12 posted on 10/11/2005 1:51:36 PM PDT by Brimack34
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Yossarian

I think we have to be willing to be non-traditional in our choice for President. Certainly, governors are preferred. The main Governor I'd have a preference for as President is Governor Sanford of South Carolina who has disclaimed interest in a presidential run.

House members, Senators, etc. have been elected President. Its just been a little while since its happen. The big challenge for Senators is the flip flop issues and the compromises that go on. If someone has been consistently Conservative and focused on doing the people's business, they can get around it.


13 posted on 10/11/2005 1:52:03 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt
See Part One. He signed on to a tax incease in Minnesota.

Oh for Pete sake. He's cut spending and only compromised on a tiny tax increase when the Democrats shut down the state government to force him to break his pledge.

Pawlenty has a great record on spending and taxes, guns and abortion.

14 posted on 10/11/2005 1:52:07 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country" -- Mitt Romney)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

The last Representative elected President was, what, 150 years ago?!


15 posted on 10/11/2005 1:53:55 PM PDT by clawrence3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: clawrence3

still I don't see a U.S. Rep advancing to the highest office in the land.

Maybe not, who knows.

Tancredo is a dyed in wool conservative, but he is not a one horse candidate at all. Subscribe to his newsletter and see what I mean.

http://tancredo.house.gov/

In the top right corner it says "Capitol Updates" and you can subscribe there. His ideas are brilliant.


16 posted on 10/11/2005 1:56:16 PM PDT by jwh_Denver (Politics just plain sucks.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: JohnnyZ

-Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota-

Gubnor Tim is too busy increasing taxes (er, um, FEES), teaching sports teams to hold taxpayers hostage and building casinos instead of a decent business climate. One of his first official acts in office was to grant benefits to same-sex "couples". He simply couldn't wait to do it.


17 posted on 10/11/2005 1:56:21 PM PDT by AmericanChef
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: clawrence3

No, 128 years ago. James Garfield was a Congressman from Ohio who'd been designated Senator-elect by his state when he won the presidency.


18 posted on 10/11/2005 1:57:45 PM PDT by Keyes2000mt (http://adamsweb.us/blog Adam's Blog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt

You just beat me to it - obviously, Mr. Garfield did not work out so well at all ; )

http://www.whitehouse.gov/history/presidents/jg20.html


19 posted on 10/11/2005 2:03:36 PM PDT by clawrence3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Keyes2000mt
His signature achievement as governor was closing a $4.5 billion budget gap during the 2004-05 cycle, without raising taxes. In a sign of his dedication to taxpayers, he even used his 2004 State of the State speech to call for a constitutional amendment to limit the growth of overall state spending to population growth plus inflation. Prior to this special session, the governor continued his support of taxpayers by vetoing legislation that would have raised the state’s gas tax by 50 percent, from 20 to 30 cents per gallon.

http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_comment/gessing200506070908.asp

The Democrats had him over a barrel and got a 75-cent cigarette tax increase out of him. The guy has laid it on the line for Minnesotans and ended up losing seats in the MN senate as a result. The Rats wanted to torpedo his presidential aspirations and knew they had nothing to lose by demanding billions in spending that the public wanted. You can play into their hands if you want to, but you're straining at the gnat.

20 posted on 10/11/2005 2:05:19 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country" -- Mitt Romney)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-57 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson