We have a majority this time, and as I said below,
"Do you really think all those big bad Senators would go after Janice Rogers, a sharecroppers daughter who rose to the ranks of Justice on the CA Supreme Court and not confirm her???"
Answer: No, She'd get through just as Clarence Thomas did.
I actually don't disagree with you. I think that the chances of a a publicly conservative woman would be just as good as Miers'. I would rather go with a known quantity.
The point of my previous post is that the democrats don't fear loss of the black vote by going after black nominees. Thomas was confirmed, but not because of fear of backlash due to his race - the democrats did a good job of portraying him as a traitor to his race.
Roberts was confirmed and so would Rogers - Bush just doesn't want a fight.