A lot of it depends on who is running and how the campaign is run. I wasn't impressed really with either Bush or Dole. Yeah, Bush won twice. But both of his opponents were vulnerable. They should have been bigger wins.
As for the war on terror, a lot will depend on what happens in upcoming years. Borders, for example, could suddenly rise up to be a huge issue, if we have another Ground Zero.
Here's another possible issue: the gas tax, drilling, and enviro-wackos run amok. If gas doesn't go down, then it will be big. It's already affecting the Virginia campaign, because Caine wanted to raise the gas tax.
The Clintons will try to help someone like Guilianni either win the nomination or run third party. They want to sap and re-direct the energy of our base. Because our base is fervent about abortion. That's what drives them. They love innocent life. And without the base, we won't go anywhere. FRegards....
Inadvertently, you wrote why he would win.
Above you referred to Giuliani as a Hero.
Why is he a hero? Did he run into a burning building to save a kid? Throw himself on a grenade?
None of that. He's a "hero" for his political accomplishments. For doing in NY what was said to be impossible. His leadership in times of trouble. For being cool and competent in a time of severe crises.
Ask yourself: as much as you may support them for their positions how many politicians would you ever call a hero for their accomplishments in office?
Sometime the times demand a heroic political figure.