[inquest]

The terrorists have a history of escalating their attacks before Iraq's major political milestones, and two elections are fast approaching. In two weeks, Iraqis will vote on a democratic constitution, and if that constitution is approved, they will return to the polls later this year to elect a fully constitutional government.

(donning my word-parsing hat)

He notes that whether or not there's a second election depends on the outcome of the first, yet in the first sentence above he seems rather certain that there will be two elections coming up. Apparently then, he seems quite certain that the constitution will be approved. Or is he just making an assumption?

[Salvation]

Good question.

My opinion. I think there will be two elections.