Tropical Depression Twenty (Now Tropical Storm Stan)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 1 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Depression Twenty Advisory Number 1

Statement as of 10:00 am CDT on October 01, 2005

...Twentieth tropical depression of the season forms over the
   northwestern Caribbean Sea...
...Tropical storm watch and warning issued for the Yucatan...

 
at 10 am CDT...1500z... the government of Mexico has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning for the eastern coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula from Punta gruesa northward to Cabo Catoche.

 
At 10 am CDT... the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm
watch for the northwestern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Cabo
Catoche westward to Campeche.

 
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A
Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 10 am CDT...1500z...the broad center of Tropical Depression
Twenty was located near latitude 19.3 north... longitude 85.8 west
or about 125 miles... 205 km... east-southeast of Tulum Mexico and
about 110 miles... 175 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

 
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near  6 mph
... 9 km/hr... and this general motion is expected to continue for
the next 24 hours. However... the depression is still in the
formative stage... so some erratic motion may occur. On the
forecast track... this system is expected to make landfall along
the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight or early Sunday.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  30 mph... 45 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast before landfall occurs... and
the depression could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight. An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is
enroute to assess the actual strength of the system.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

 
Total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches... with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches... will be possible across the Yucatan
Peninsula and northern Belize.

 
Repeating the 10 am CDT position...19.3 N... 85.8 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near  6 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 30 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1 PM CDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 4 PM CDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

[NautiNurse]

Looks like a Mexico concern...

[NautiNurse]

Another day, another tropical depression...

[Dog Gone]

I hope it stays that way, por favor.

Diego

[NautiNurse]

Wasn't going to post it...then thought I would head off being blinded by a ping to another ALL CAPS advisory. ;o)

[texianyankee]

maybe it will die out over the Yucatan....

[Dog Gone]

My eyesight has been permanently damaged over the past month by posters who've done that. I've got a braille monitor on order.

[AntiGuv]

D'oh!

[Bahbah]

thought I would head off being blinded by a ping to another ALL CAPS advisory.

LOL. The best defense....

[NautiNurse]

You might need to bring in your potted plants if you live in Mexico, although The SE tip of TX is in that old cone of uncertainty again.

[blam]

"Looks like a Mexico concern..."

Wish you had worded it this way:

"Looks like Just a Mexico concern..."

[NautiNurse]

lol - as long as the afternoon model runs don't have too many eastward corrections, you should be able to watch this one without putting up storm shutters again.

[AntiGuv]

It doesn't seem as if these will amount to much, but it does seem as if we'll get TS Stan & TS Tammy. Edging closer to running out of names! Hope the rest of them are fish storms..

[HoustonCurmudgeon]

If the wind stays down and the rain stays up, I hope the valley gets it, they have needed the rain for a couple of years. I do not know the current situation but two years ago the Rio Grande no longer flowed into the Gulf, it just stopped at a bunch of sand bars.

[blam]

"lol - as long as the afternoon model runs don't have too many eastward corrections, you should be able to watch this one without putting up storm shutters again.

I hope you're right, I've already put them back into storage...I've called and end to hurricane season already.

[blam]

"If the wind stays down and the rain stays up, I hope the valley gets it, they have needed the rain for a couple of years. I do not know the current situation but two years ago the Rio Grande no longer flowed into the Gulf, it just stopped at a bunch of sand bars."

Yup. Rita brought me much needed rain.

[Gabz]

I've called and end to hurricane season already.

From your keyboard................

[Stu Cohen]

Looks like a Mexico concern...

The makes it GWB's #1 priority.

[blam]

My niece sent me a picture of her hurricane damage in Tomball, Texas (just outside Houston), she showed the patio, patio table and chairs...one of the (plastic) chairs was tipped over backwards, lol.

[NautiNurse]

Did you have a chat with her regarding the risk of leaving patio furniture outdoors during hurricanes?

[CajunConservative]

I recall Rita being called a Mexico storm too. Go to Mexico, I'm hurricaned out here.

This is one reason why I can't go home for at least two more weeks. Rita crumpled those like they were tinker toys all over the area.

This is the scene all over the Lake Charles area roads. We used to be a woodsy kind of town.