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Thread VIII: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1490587/posts



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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VII
NHC - NOAA ^ | 23 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2005 8:01:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Rita landfall is anticipated within the next few hours. Strong winds and heavy rains are battering southern Louisiana and southeastern Texas.

MSM news crews are shouting over the howling winds as they foolishly describe blowing rain, swaying trees, and crashing waves through rain splattered camera lenses. It's a hurricane. We know these things already.

An 18 wheeler rig reportedly overturned on an I-10 bridge. The fate of the truck driver is unknown at this time. Reports of widespread power outages in Lake Charles. KPLC-TV Lake Charles local news has remarkably improvised their reporting from a remote location. They are taking calls from residents, NWS, and public utility representatives, and alerting residents to local conditions.

On the flip side, CNN announced to the world that law enforcement officers had evacuated from Port Arthur TX with the rest of the population. Engraved looter invitations would have been more elegant.

Godspeed to all those in the path of this storm.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:


Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: foxnews; hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; shephardsmith; shepsmith; tropical
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To: cajungirl

7.5 inches so far in baton rouge in gauges and that is underestimated since the winds blow the rain and they have a heard time catching it all..9-11 inches doppler estimated


2,281 posted on 09/24/2005 5:22:22 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: pamlet
but Shep took a spill last night... and his hat flew off.

Shep lost about five or six hats last night... and maybe some more hair as well.

2,282 posted on 09/24/2005 5:22:28 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: NautiNurse
Thanks for all you have done for the FR community
2,283 posted on 09/24/2005 5:23:52 AM PDT by SpeakLittle_ThinkMuch ("If you don't read the paper, you are uninformed. If you do read the paper, you are misinformed."...)
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To: ekwd

Listening to all these folks on Fox saying people are steamed about evacuating for no reason. It'll get worse as they sit in the snarled traffic to get back in.

I find that so odd. Will the same people complain about "paying all that money" for insurance...and they didn't even get to use it!?
___________________________

As for Katrina and Mobile, I personally had trees, branches about 15' deep in my front/back yards...all fell during the back side of the storm. None hit the house, but lots of shingles blew off. No power for 7 days. I'm high, so no flooding here.

Downtown Mobile had 10' of water. Of course, Bayou la Batre and Dauphin Island took major damage. In Mobile itself, homes along west side of Mobile Bay were wiped out (including my niece's in-laws' house). Damage was from tidal surge, not wind.

Mobile took a big hit, but now---just 3 1/2 weeks later---one would hardly know a hurricane had come through here. By far most people in town had their yards clean and houses tarped within 4 or 5 days. All done with no complaining given the horror stories we were hearing from just west of us. Even now, almost half the huge debris piles along the street have been hauled away. The City and FEMA have done an outstanding job here. Mobile has quickly gone from a victim city to a refuge for our neighbors in MS and LA.

I say all this recognizing there's a HUGE difference when most homes are left habitable. All in all, Mobile was lucky and resilient. We know how close we came.


2,284 posted on 09/24/2005 5:24:15 AM PDT by Timeout
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To: cajungirl

I agree.

A gate like that standing open would be on TV, posthaste. As you note, it makes for dramatic video.

Still, I hate to discount flooding reports out of hand. File it under unconfirmed and we'll see what happens.

OT, NBC live just showed some street in Beaumont, six inch flooding, "may have dodged a bullet".

I believe my eyes, but not that phrase.


2,285 posted on 09/24/2005 5:24:36 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: frankjr

"Connection: close"

The server's loaded up. Even a screen shot will do, tho. Not that I take delight in the suffering of others, of course...


2,286 posted on 09/24/2005 5:24:52 AM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: secret garden

They say they are doing great - haven't lost power and none of their big pine tree have come (yet).


2,287 posted on 09/24/2005 5:26:35 AM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: janetjanet998

The fat lady has yet to sing.

:-)


2,288 posted on 09/24/2005 5:27:01 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

the eye wall is dumping 2-4 inches and hour with totals now 6-9 inches all along the river north of buemont I mean if following the river channel perfect all the way up... ignore media "not so bad" reports..remember new orleans?..the same thing happened after andrew in south florida at first


2,289 posted on 09/24/2005 5:29:16 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Zacs Mom

Whew. I know my dad will still be sound asleep. Thanks!


2,290 posted on 09/24/2005 5:30:04 AM PDT by secret garden (<= easily amused)
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To: All

All,

I will not overly or exclusively focus on loss of life or property damage to gauge the impact of this storm, as important as those items are.

They will not be the story here, IMHO, as this storm did not hit populated areas head-on.

The key issue with this storm is not whether the roof blew off on the Civic Center, but whether the oil/gas production, refining, and distribution infrastructure has been compromised. If it has, then the immediate and significant ripples will be not only in high gas prices, which would be the least of our problems (I pay $7/gal here in Europe), but in shortages which will then potentially cause fundamental problems in this just-in-time-inventory economy. The dislocation resulting from that has the ability to snowball, especially on the backs of Katrina, into something very problematic for our near-term economy.

In other words, multiply the long lines and fist fights at gas stations, the looting, the failure of basic services, and the deprivation, exponentially in scope and frequency.

IMHO, that is the worry.


2,291 posted on 09/24/2005 5:30:43 AM PDT by jackson747
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To: secret garden

The Woodlands should be okay. I am in Cypress and we had a lot of wind and rain and still getting some strong gusts but I still have power (Praise the Lord!) Power went out a few times last night but came back on. Houston got very lucky.


2,292 posted on 09/24/2005 5:31:16 AM PDT by truthandlife ("Some trust in chariots and some in horses, but we trust in the name of the LORD our God." (Ps 20:7))
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To: Dustbunny

"70 mph does not sound that bad, I remember Nor Easter's in Virginia that had winds at least that fast"

Several years ago we had 70 mph winds (wind and rain storm) in the Seattle area (I was living no of Seattle in Edmonds at the time - I think we got the highest winds). We lost electricity, had trees down, etc., etc. IIRC the eastern-based news channels referred to it as 'strong winds'.


2,293 posted on 09/24/2005 5:31:56 AM PDT by Seattle Conservative (God Bless and protect our troops and their CIC)
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To: janetjanet998

Agreed.

In fact, underlined.


2,294 posted on 09/24/2005 5:32:10 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: bwteim

"Even a screen shot will do, tho."

I am nowhere smart enough to figure out how to post a screen shot.



2,295 posted on 09/24/2005 5:32:10 AM PDT by frankjr
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To: janetjanet998; jeffers

Lower Mississippi River Forecast center
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc/quickbrief.shtml


2,296 posted on 09/24/2005 5:33:07 AM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: bwteim

btw, mornin.


2,297 posted on 09/24/2005 5:34:09 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: Shqipo
MSNBC has had stronger coverage. Rita stood her ground like a pillar.

Rita vs. Rita, eh? I guess we can call it a draw.

2,298 posted on 09/24/2005 5:34:12 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: fishntex

After you finish posting, click twice on the back arrow and you will go back to the post that you were answering.


2,299 posted on 09/24/2005 5:34:24 AM PDT by dixie sass
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To: janetjanet998

Exactly- it takes hours and/or days to get a realistic picture.


2,300 posted on 09/24/2005 5:35:15 AM PDT by SE Mom
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