| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 09/23/2005 9:43:13 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Part VI: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1490045/posts |
Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Ima was real. Ura was fictional.
| Wind Direction (WDIR): | E ( 90 deg true ) |
| Wind Speed (WSPD): | 31.1 kts |
| Wind Gust (GST): | 38.9 kts |
| Wave Height (WVHT): | 23.0 ft |
| Dominant Wave Period (DPD): | 14 sec |
| Average Period (APD): | 8.9 sec |
| Mean Wave Direction (MWDIR): | ESE ( 109 deg true ) |
| Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): | 29.70 in |
| Pressure Tendency (PTDY): | +0.01 in ( Steady ) |
| Air Temperature (ATMP): | 83.1 °F |
| Water Temperature (WTMP): | 83.3 °F |
| Combined plot of Wind Speed, Gust, and Air Pressure | |
| TIME(CDT) | WDIR | WSPD |
|---|---|---|
| 8:50 pm | E ( 88 deg ) | 31.3 kts |
| 8:40 pm | E ( 88 deg ) | 33.2 kts |
| 8:30 pm | E ( 89 deg ) | 33.4 kts |
| 8:20 pm | E ( 86 deg ) | 29.9 kts |
| 8:10 pm | E ( 87 deg ) | 29.9 kts |
| 8:00 pm | E ( 88 deg ) | 31.1 kts |
The forecast landfall is not at the LA/TX line, it's halfway between Trinity Bay and the LA/TX Line.
Doh! I am getting tired and the mind is not functioning. Thanks.
If there is one simple truth we can learn from this storm, it is that you can't evacuate 5 million people in 3 days. We must learn to hang tough, with snorkel in one hand and 12-gauge in the other, and damn the Cindies.
We also have fuel tankers stationed at the rest stops on 10 and 45. Not sure about 290, but would be surprised if they weren't there.
"Texas: Proving naysayers wrong since 1835." LOL
God Bless Texas,
From your friends in Ohio.
That's what I thought when I saw the latest weather model of Rita, it's making a right hook towards Louisiana!! BOY-O-BOY!!
I've been to French Lick, Indiana. It's just a place to buy gas to continue on to Paoli Peaks.
I've already given them up. They are absolutely hopeless, and will just get worse and worse. They're like a terminal cancer. Nothing will alter their course toward destruction.
Ya beat me to it--no Ura.
As I way often say, you are on your own, do your own thinking and plaining, do not expect uncle Sam to save you. Right now there are hundreds of thousands of people stuck on highways leading out of Houstan, out of gas, out of fuel, in strange surroundings. No ones fault, I am happy I bailed out of the great traffic ram while the bailing out was good. Much better to deal with Rita at home then on the sidw of the road.
flight level wind data and radar observations from the Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that the concentric eyewall cycle might be nearing completion. There is now only a single flight level wind maximum at a radius of about 20 N mi...associated with the outer eyewall that the aircraft radar indicate is slowly contracting... while the inner eyewall continues to deteriorate. Recent GOES infrared imagery also indicates that a complete ring of very cold convective tops...colder than -70c... now surrounds the eye. The central pressure has only risen slightly to 917 mb as measured by the most recent dropsonde. Recent flight level and dropsonde wind data do not support an intensity greater than about 110 kt...but given the very low pressure...the initial intensity is adjusted only slightly downward to 120 kt. Rita is about to pass over another eddy of high ocean heat content. Combining this with the possible contraction of the outer eyewall during the next several hours...some restrengthening is forecast in the short term. Gradual weakening is possible later on Friday before landfall due to lesser ocean heat content closer to the coast...and to the possibility of some increase in the wind shear. The bottom line is that the intensity will likely fluctuate during the next 36 hours...and Rita is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...at least category three.
Although Rita has wobbled westward during the past couple of hours...the overall motion during the past several hours has remained west-northwestward...about 300/9. There are no changes to the official track forecast...since the various dynamical models straddle the previous advisory track. Rita is expected to gradually turn northwestward and eventually northward as the high to its north slides eastward. Rita is forecast to then essentially stall in about three days in the area of northeastern Texas where steering currents are forecast to become very weak. This scenario poses a great risk of very heavy rainfall well inland and for many days after landfall.
Forecaster Knabb
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 23/0300z 26.2n 90.3w 120 kt 12hr VT 23/1200z 27.0n 91.5w 125 kt 24hr VT 24/0000z 28.4n 93.0w 120 kt 36hr VT 24/1200z 29.8n 94.2w 115 kt...inland 48hr VT 25/0000z 31.1n 94.7w 65 kt...inland 72hr VT 26/0000z 33.0n 95.0w 35 kt...inland 96hr VT 27/0000z 33.0n 95.0w 25 kt...inland 120hr VT 28/0000z 33.0n 95.0w 25 kt...inland
$$
Get a copy to me and I'll put it on bumper sticker!!!
Yes, Texas governor about 1890.
Perhaps - didn't see anything about that on the web site. Everything has said either Fairfield or Buffalo. I wrote earlier today that I thought they should make it contraflow to I-20.
I haven't seen any yet, but here a couple of links. The first details weather folklore predictors.
The second comes from the Old Farmers Almanac and details the reletively modern folklore of the wooly worm.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.