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Part VI: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1490045/posts |
Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Category Four Hurricane Rita continues to move toward landfall along the northwest Gulf of Mexico shoreline. Mandatory and voluntary evacuations continue across Texas and Louisiana coastal areas. Lake Charles LA is providing evacuations by bus for residents who have no transportation.
Traffic gridlock in the greater Houston area was compounded by gasoline stations without fuel, long lines at those stations still carrying fuel, and record breaking temperatures on the first day of autumn.
Offshore drilling platforms and rigs, as well as oil refineries, petrochemical and natural gas plants are in the path of the storm. Wave heights recorded by buoy have exceeded 38 feet. The refineries threatened by Hurricane Rita are on higher ground than those affected by flooding from Katrina. As a result, speculation abounds regarding future prices for winter heating fuel and gasoline.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KPLC-TV Lake Charles KPLC Streaming
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA
Additional Resources:
FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter
Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18
They were saying surge of 28'. Does that sound right? It's late and been a long day...That just sounds too high.
Rita said two CAT4 hasn't hit US since 1915. That makes no sense. Didn't we get hit by two CAT4 last year, Ivan and Charley?
It's all Bush's fault! He should have strated building wider highways when Rita entered the gulf!
Has anybody seen either Sen. Cornyn or Hutchison appearing with Gov. Perry at his hurricane pressers?
In LA, Landrieu was always in the background mouthing whatever Gov. Blackedout was saying.
I would think people would know better than to take a major route that would most likely be clogged.......
[blush]
Yes, that counts. My other friend lived on Grand Lake before she lived next door to me in my last house.
Did he mention the fact that the state sent tankers out to refill those empty vehicles?
Thx.
The 1700 graphic is based on a 35 statute mile diameter, but I'm going to have to redo it before landfall anyway, so I'll re figure the surge width and eyewall diameter then using your figures, which, remarkably, agree to a high precision.
Nice guessing!
Between level rises and wave action, that's about right.
Greta not Rita. Oops
But of course! Service stations along the backroads have plenty of gas, water, food, motels, etc. and no price gouging!
Only in the "so, Okay, where are they" kind of way.
Scarborough is out of his mind.
Look at BAMM now, it comes back down almost to Corpus (but then it turns).
LOL. Yeah! There is no way people can get out with only......... 5-6 lanes!!
lol - oh yeah! Grandbabies are like that! The yalso know, for certain, that grammy will have their favorites on hand!!
I swear being a grammy has been one of the most rewarding experiences of my life!!
Ivan was only a 3 when it hit.....
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.8N 92.4W 40 X X X 40 GALVESTON TX 8 17 1 X 26
29.2N 93.8W 14 14 X 1 29 FREEPORT TX 7 16 1 X 24
30.5N 94.5W 1 19 3 1 24 PORT O CONNOR TX 4 11 2 1 18
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 1 5 1 2 9
PENSACOLA FL X X 1 3 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MOBILE AL X 1 2 4 7 GULF 29N 87W X 1 X 2 3
GULFPORT MS X 3 3 3 9 GULF 28N 89W 18 1 X X 19
BURAS LA 5 6 1 2 14 GULF 28N 91W 39 X X X 39
NEW ORLEANS LA 3 8 2 2 15 GULF 28N 93W 33 X X 1 34
NEW IBERIA LA 6 13 1 1 21 GULF 28N 95W 15 7 1 X 23
PORT ARTHUR TX 4 20 1 1 26 GULF 27N 96W 4 5 1 1 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
C FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
D FROM 1PM SAT TO 1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
Katrina's averaged something around 26ft and I have heard that some points were upwards of 30 ft.
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