URNT12 KNHC 230029 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 23/00:10:50Z B. 26 deg 02 min N 089 deg 55 min W C. 700 mb 2360 m D. NA kt E. 460 deg 033 nm F. 137 deg 123 kt G. 050 deg 020 nm H. 915 mb I. 10 C/ 3020 m J. 17 C/ 3014 m K. 16 C/ NA L. OPEN NW M. CO17-32 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF309 2018A RITA OB 05 MAX FL WIND 123 KT NE QUAD 00:04:20 Z INNER EYEWALL IS VERY RAGGED AND OPEN NE-SE
Is that an eyewall replacement cycle?
Not so good it has taken so long... she might not go through another before landfall. Still some warm waters to go through.
- Movement 1 minute north, 6 minutes west
- Pressure up 2 mb to 915 mb
- Max flight-level wind speed down 2 knots to 123 knots, though it is in both the NE and SE quadrants
- Concentric eyes now 17 nm and 32 nm wide (was 16 nm and 35 nm)
- Outer eyewall now open NW (was open W), while inner eyewall verry ragged.
Stick the fork in that inner eyewall.