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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: bwteim
Florida IS prepared to do a Contra-Flow in event of need due to last year.

No..he's full of it. He was saying that FLorida never waits that long to make all lanes go northbound...he was critizicing Texas waiting so long to do it. I told him it never happened ...YET.

601 posted on 09/22/2005 7:22:41 AM PDT by Fawn (Cats rule...dogs drool.)
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To: johnb838

He also ranted about how $3.00 gas would take $99 oil barrel prices, so he "knew" we were being gauged. Completely clueless about refinery shutdowns and gas shortages, or about the fact that once the shortage cleared up prices largely dropped back to around $2.60, which was about right for $66/barrel oil, given the gas taxes.


602 posted on 09/22/2005 7:23:37 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: janetjanet998
I'm steady praying that Rita fizzles out to a tropical storm prior to landfall. I know it's a slim possibility, but it's all I can do at this point.
603 posted on 09/22/2005 7:23:55 AM PDT by Quilla
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To: RDTF

Way cool stuff on that NASA site. Nice SST graphic at the end of the page too.


604 posted on 09/22/2005 7:24:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Blennos
I've lived through a CAT 5 hurricane...have you?

If Rita hits Houston, do you have any idea the economic impact it will have on this country? NO is already pretty trashed, and Rita would have much less devasating effects if it hit NO and not Houston.

I'm not being insensitive...I'm being a realist. This storm is not going to go away...it is going to hit someone on the Gulf coast. Looking at the big picture, it would be better if it hit a city that is already evac'd, as opposed to a metropolis.

605 posted on 09/22/2005 7:24:26 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: Xenalyte
We're heading for Brenham, northwest of Houston.

Good luck and patience!

See, them bullets was a good wedding gift after all!

606 posted on 09/22/2005 7:24:47 AM PDT by humblegunner (If you're gonna die, die with your boots on.)
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To: Aggie Mama
"We are waiting until later this evening with the hopes that 1)the storm shifts or 2) the counter flow lanes clear up the traffic problems. "

Just heard a guy talking on a radio station from NO say that it took him 5 hours to go from Baytown(Tx) to Beaumont(Tx), normally about a one hour drive on I-10. He moved his family from Baytown to Beaumont.

607 posted on 09/22/2005 7:24:51 AM PDT by blam (Mobile, Alabama)
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To: Ichneumon; DrewsDad
Back roads are the way to go. A good large scale map and a consult with MapQuest before you leave would help.

We see this a lot in Atlanta because most people "ain't from around here." They move here as short term corporate transfers, and if the interstates back up they have no idea what to do. The radio stations try to help, but if you don't know the names of the back roads it isn't much help.

We usually take to the back roads when we're visiting family on big holidays and the interstates back up. It usually works pretty well.

608 posted on 09/22/2005 7:25:12 AM PDT by AnAmericanMother (. . . Ministrix of ye Chace (recess appointment), TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary . . .)
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To: sweet_diane
"Turn down the temp of the A/C as well. "

That lasts about 20 minutes after the power goes out.

609 posted on 09/22/2005 7:26:25 AM PDT by blam (Mobile, Alabama)
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To: Gondring
Hasn't the post-storm evidence shown that it was a Cat 3 storm surge,

That was in NOLA - but along the Gulf Coast, the surge was higher than Camille's, and for a much longer stretch.

610 posted on 09/22/2005 7:26:58 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: AnAmericanMother

For those of you who are not familiar with HOUSTON. Their traffic is always bad.. this is just extra bad... but on 45 the contra is open at 1488- 125 miles to Buffalo TX


611 posted on 09/22/2005 7:27:09 AM PDT by JFC (West Texas flatlander)
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To: RDTF

Dude! Awesome images. Thanks


612 posted on 09/22/2005 7:27:39 AM PDT by don-o (Don't be a Freeploader. Do the right thing and become a Monthly Donor!)
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To: NautiNurse

For the detail oriented, Rita is 48.7 miles NE of yesterday's 1600 (4pm CDT) forecast track, with predicted landfall 109 miles NE of the 1600 track.

That's less than a third of the turn it would need to make to hit NOLA head on.


613 posted on 09/22/2005 7:28:37 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: blam
He moved his family from Baytown to Beaumont.

He better not bother unpacking.

614 posted on 09/22/2005 7:28:38 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: ContemptofCourt

Suggest you stop digging.


615 posted on 09/22/2005 7:28:50 AM PDT by don-o (Don't be a Freeploader. Do the right thing and become a Monthly Donor!)
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To: rightinthemiddle

NOLA track from satellite shows west side shear wall and gradual NNW trend developing. Storms seek course of least resistance. Katrina greased NOLA and Rita may follow the grove. Purley deductive speculation from an interested observer.


616 posted on 09/22/2005 7:28:52 AM PDT by Broker (Semper Fi)
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To: RDTF

Thanks for the link. Fascinating animations of the insides.


617 posted on 09/22/2005 7:30:09 AM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas: YES on Prop 75!)
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To: JFC
Glad they opened up the contraflow.

They've set up I-16 in GA for contraflow with gates at all the ramps. It seems to work pretty well.

618 posted on 09/22/2005 7:30:40 AM PDT by AnAmericanMother (. . . Ministrix of ye Chace (recess appointment), TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary . . .)
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Conditions at 42001 as of
(8:50 am CDT)
1350 GMT on 09/22/2005:
Wind Direction (WDIR): NNE ( 30 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 46.6 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 60.2 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 34.1 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 15 sec
Average Period (APD): 10.4 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWDIR): E ( 97 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.36 in
Air Temperature (ATMP): 79.0 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 84.4 °F

Continuous Winds
TIME
(CDT)
WDIR WSPD
8:50 am NNE ( 30 deg ) 45.6 kts
8:40 am NNE ( 31 deg ) 42.9 kts
8:30 am NNE ( 30 deg ) 43.5 kts
8:20 am NNE ( 29 deg ) 45.8 kts
8:10 am NNE ( 26 deg ) 44.9 kts
8:00 am NNE ( 22 deg ) 43.5 kts

619 posted on 09/22/2005 7:31:29 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: CharlesWayneCT
"NOBODY should have trouble with water who is listening. Just fill stuff up. "

My niece in Tomball told me last night that she was filling and freezing zip-lock bags of water.

620 posted on 09/22/2005 7:31:53 AM PDT by blam (Mobile, Alabama)
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