Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: diverteach
ALL the latest models are now showing the Sabine Pass area, the Tx La border. The strom has started it's turn earlier than anticipated and is now moving WNW. Bad bad news for New Orleans.

Couldn't agree more- we have a saying down South ( and I've heard it elsewhere ) that "when bad luck jumps you, it gets you with both feet."

Hate to see this.

1,523 posted on 09/22/2005 2:46:42 AM PDT by backhoe (Just an old Keyboard Cowboy, ridin' the trakball into the Dawn of Information...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1516 | View Replies ]


To: backhoe

From the 4:15 AM AFD from Ft. Worth:

BIG CHANGES POSSIBLE WITH THE MAJOR HURRICANE AS THREE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS HAVE OCCURRED OVERNIGHT. FIRST...AND POSSIBLY THE MOST SIGNIFICANT...RITA HAS ALREADY MADE SOME MOVEMENT FURTHER NORTH OF WEST. SECOND...WHILE H5 RIDGE REMAINS RATHER STRONG...IT HAS SHOWN SIGNS THAT IS IS ALREADY WEAKENING...PER 00Z UPPER AIR DATA. MODELS...ESPECIALLY THE GFS...ARE TYPICALLY TOO FAST IN WEAKENING SUCH STRONG RIDGES...SO THIS HAS AND CONTINUES TO BE A CONCERN AS THE RIDGE LOCATION AND STRENGTH WILL MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN LOCATION OF LANDFALL. LASTLY...ALL BUT THE CANADIAN MODEL HAVE REALLY TAKEN A MORE EASTERLY TRACK AS IT RELATES TO LANDFALL AND TRACK OF DISSIPATING SYSTEM.

BELIEVE THAT HPC AND NHC HAVE A GREAT HANDLE WITH ADJUSTING THE LANDFALL FURTHER EAST AND TAKING THE DECAYING STORM MORE ACROSS E TEXAS. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE ACTUAL LANDFALL OCCUR EVEN FURTHER EAST...POSSIBLY NEAR OR JUST EAST OF BEAUMONT.

*IF ALL THIS WASN/T ENOUGH...GFS80 HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW A
REBUILDING RIDGE ALL AROUND WEAKENING RITA...SO MUCH THAT RITA
COULD ROTATE AROUND PARTS OF N E AND S TEXAS FOR SEVERAL DAYS.


1,524 posted on 09/22/2005 2:47:04 AM PDT by silentknight
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1523 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson