Looks like it's well on the way to becoming a breach.
Did someone say energy policy? National security?
Take a look at the first chart:
http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_gomex_oil.html
http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/topfront/3367735
Map of estimated landfall area (courtesy conservative in nyc)
First post-landfall vortex data report, eye fix 25 minutes after landfall