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Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hopefully, it will calm down.
Rio Rancho is a suburb of Albuquerque north and on the west side of the Rio Grande. Growing fast with all the usual suburban problems.
"It definitely looks as if it will pass north of the forecast point, but I can't tell a wobble from a course shift until it's well in hindsight."
Neither can I. It will be interesting to see if the NHC adjusts their track. Houston has 4.5 million? Thats more than I thought. Are people taking Rita seriously enough?
I live in Rio Rancho. It is a suburb of Albuquerque, population around 60,000 (I think). Most of Rio Rancho is relatively new, and we have all kinds of shopping, etc. Santa Fe is very expensive.
That's what the meeting was about today. If and as someone posted it's a very low % the storm doesn't turn, then there looks like a plan is in place to get them out if needed.
I think NHC track will go a bit north from where it is now. Unfortunately, Galveston and Houston could be in a very difficult spot. Best case might be having the storm going north of the bay (though, this would be problematic for energy)... anything within 100 miles to the south could be very bad. I fear we will have somewhat of a repeat of what we saw in MS with the surge, even if she weakens a bit.
I think it's good that we have seen such deepening so early in the GOM. It is likely she won't be able to hold this kind of strength for longer than 24 hours. The intensification we have seen in the last 24 hours is very close to a record, if not one.
If she can ramp up to 180-190mph sustained, we could see her come in around 150mph, or higher. There is also the possibility that she weakens a bit, then goes through ERC before landfall. It's tough to say, I think a cat4 is very likely. I guessed 150mph at landfall about 48 hours ago, I don't see much reason to shift from that at this point.
Do you have family in Boerne or were you able to find a hotel room there?
I found this Indonesian Website (why, I don't know) where you can just type in lat-longs in either minutes or decimal format and it automatically gives angle and speed.
http://www.indo.com/distance/
Key thing to keep in mind is official NHC advisories use decimal lat longs (20.5N, for example, 10 tenths in a degree) while VORTEX statements from recon are in minutes (20.5N is then 20 degrees 30 minutes North, 60 minutes in a degree.) Confusion on this point has caused infinite confusion over the years.
On that website a recon vortex is entered with a colon (20:30) and decimal is entered with a decimal (20.5).
anyone want to bet against it going lower?
I was wondering about the timestamp myself.
I-45 is a parking lot right now. Averaging 4-10 mph. You are hitting traffic right now so the traffic is going to be awful getting out of Houston all the way to Dallas.
You will probably have better luck if you leave around 3-4 a.m.
Another thread is asking us to pray because THE EYE OF THE STORM WILL BE GOING OVER THEIR TOWN AND THEY WON'T LEAVE!!!
I have reached the end of patience with these people!!
Get out! Get out now and take your pets with you!!
Do NOT put rescue personnel in peril becase you can't see what's in front of your face!!!
I don't mean to sound so harsh...but it's like the old joke about God sending help...He says He sent the helicopter and rowboat, etc....
Don't get me wrong, I am praying for EVERYBODY...but I really don't have patience with idiots.
who just saw that dumb lady in the BMW on CH2
If the hospital is staying open you could stay there with her, instead of at your home. Volunteers are always needed.
I have family in Boerne. I tried to find a hotel room somewhere and can't find one anywhere. The closest place is about 600 miles away in El Paso. No thank you.
You have a link? Thanks.
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