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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: SouthTexas

Not that I know of. You get that generator working?


2,281 posted on 09/21/2005 3:18:04 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: roses of sharon

Thanks.


2,282 posted on 09/21/2005 3:18:17 PM PDT by Michael Goldsberry (Sugar Land, Texas)
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To: RummyChick

MSNBC is all worried that the good peole on NO don't even know there's a hurricane coming.


2,283 posted on 09/21/2005 3:18:21 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Leapfrog

Carla hit in '61. I used to go to Crystal Beach in '80.

I dont know if Carla destroyed that highway that ran from High Island to Sabine Pass. Was there ever another storm that struck the coast in between Carla ('61) and Alicia ('83)?


2,284 posted on 09/21/2005 3:18:39 PM PDT by texianyankee
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To: No Blue States
It definitely looks as if it will pass north of the forecast point, but I can't tell a wobble from a course shift until it's well in hindsight.

I've never been in the gunsights of a hurricane this big. Few people have. Now there are about 4.5 million more people who are sharing that experience right now.

My fascination with hurricanes has a very personal element to it at the moment. I look at that storm and am in awe of how quickly it developed.

The NHC has it forecast as a Cat 1 storm over Austin. That's in the hills. That's quite some distance from the coast.

People have fled Houston to Austin and they're going to be nailed there. That's how big Rita is. Yikes.

2,285 posted on 09/21/2005 3:19:18 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL

One trouble with Cat 1's is that they can go rapidly to higher categories.


2,286 posted on 09/21/2005 3:19:19 PM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality - Miami)
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To: Howlin
MSNBC is all worried that the good peole on NO don't even know there's a hurricane coming.

So why doesn't PMSNBC tell them?

2,287 posted on 09/21/2005 3:20:40 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: Strategerist

McAllen is approximately 50 miles west of Brownsville. Brownsville - especially Port Isabel - is more vulnerable.


2,288 posted on 09/21/2005 3:21:19 PM PDT by texianyankee
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To: texianyankee

Celia really trashed Corpus Christi in 1970; it was a very small storm, sort of a junior-grade proto-Andrew in that there was very little surge but extreme wind damage. Then it set a US rainfall record inland, I think.


2,289 posted on 09/21/2005 3:21:23 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: steveegg

^5.


2,290 posted on 09/21/2005 3:21:36 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: sinkspur

LOL---When my husband and I decided to move to Arlington, the kids came with us to drive around and figure out what part of Arlington we wanted to live in....we got lost.

To make a very long story short...we ended up in what is now the bottom of Joe Pool Lake...and they were blowing up areas very near where we were...had to be shown the way out by the construction guys...(embarrassing, huh?)

I do believe Joe Pool filled up a lot faster than they thought it would also...but NOT before we got out.


2,291 posted on 09/21/2005 3:21:57 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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To: steveegg

No power in most areas...that is why :)


2,292 posted on 09/21/2005 3:22:01 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: Strategerist
McAllen is near Brownsville right?

About 60 miles west.

The area is under a hurricane watch and that should be the operative word for preparations.

Good. I would hope the staff has taken precautions for power outages and such. I'll give his aunt a call here in a few minutes to see what she can tell me. Thanks for your reply.

2,293 posted on 09/21/2005 3:22:02 PM PDT by shezza
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To: Professional Engineer
Uncle Gary and family (wife plus 2 grown sons and their families) live in Lake Jackson. My guess is that they have already evacuated to Fort Worth to stay with Uncle Oran. (Jerry's wife, Esther, is almost 7 months pregnant, yikes.)

I told Oran that if needed, we have an extra air mattress for the floor for them, even though we really don't have a lot of extra space.

2,294 posted on 09/21/2005 3:22:08 PM PDT by Peanut Gallery
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To: steveegg

Waves will go over the flood wall in Galveston. Eye wall is 70 miles wide. Wind is 190.


2,295 posted on 09/21/2005 3:22:13 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: CindyDawg

I understand!!!!!!


2,296 posted on 09/21/2005 3:22:44 PM PDT by Coldwater Creek ("Over there, Over there, we will be there until it is Over there.")
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To: silentknight

There really needs to be a tag to identify rhetorical questions :-)


2,297 posted on 09/21/2005 3:23:13 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: Sam Cree

I'm referring to a Cat 1 over the Dallas area.


2,298 posted on 09/21/2005 3:23:27 PM PDT by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL (Undocumented border patrol agent.)
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To: Strategerist

I was mistaken on the rainfall, some other storm I was thinking of than Celia.


2,299 posted on 09/21/2005 3:23:55 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: nwctwx

"NOLA is not in play."

I can take that to the bank coming from you. Have you ever seen such rapid intensification from TS to Cat 5?

Do you see any evidence of that weakness in the high or its shift east that is to allow Rita to go north forming yet?

What is your latest forecast? :)


2,300 posted on 09/21/2005 3:24:14 PM PDT by No Blue States (Fort Worth)
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