I'm not sure. The Navy model has been consistently far south of the other models. It's an anomaly, but it hasn't come back into line yet.
My expectation is that we'll have a pretty good idea by late Wednesday evening, and possibly tomorrow afternoon.
Right now, the highest probability appears to be a landfall somewhere between Corpus Christi and Galveston, but that's a significant stretch of land. A Corpus landfall wouldn't effect you or me with anything more than strong thunderstorms, I suspect. But anything east of Matagorda Bay is going to be a serious problem.
How well does the Navy Models hold? Do they have a good track history?