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Hurricane Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 20 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/20/2005 6:16:38 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Rita is in the Florida Straits, impacting the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for numerous portions of South Florida. Check local weather statements for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

WTVJ-TV/DT Miami (NBC6)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (CBS 4)
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (Fox)

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; rita; tropical
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To: onyx

Seeker41,Blam


2,081 posted on 09/20/2005 10:00:59 PM PDT by seeker41
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To: Howlin

Uh, right on top of my head?


2,082 posted on 09/20/2005 10:02:23 PM PDT by raygun
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To: raygun

Yeah, right off the top of your head.


2,083 posted on 09/20/2005 10:03:37 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: james_f_hall
Yikes! I missed this part before:

THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY INDICATING RAPID INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK. DURING THE PAST 14 HOURS...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED 20 MB...OR AT A RATE OF ABOUT 2 DVORAK T-NUMBERS PER 24 HOURS. WHILE SUCH A LARGE PRESSURE FALL TREND RARELY OCCURS FOR MORE THAN 24 HOURS...THE VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN AND 30C-31C SSTS BENEATH RITA SUGGEST THAT RAPID INTENSIFICATION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS WELL ESTABLISHED WITH OUTFLOW ACCUMULATING INTO A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW...OR MASS SINK...EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. IN ADDITION... AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ALSO APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING. GIVEN THE DUAL OUTFLOW PATTERN THAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS...STRENGTHENING INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. BY 72 HOURS... A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BRING ABOUT SOME WEAKENING. HOWEVER...THE GFS-BASED SHIPS MODEL THAT IS INDICATING 25-30 KT OF SHEAR MAY BE INCLUDING THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG OUTFLOW PATTERN DEPICTED BY THE MODEL. THIS WOULD MEAN THAT THE GFS SHEAR IS TOO HIGH...AND THUS...THE SHARP GFS WEAKENING OF RITA DOWN TO 99 KT AT LANDFALL WOULD BE PREMATURE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST LEANS CLOSER TO THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE INTENSITY FORECAST OF 122 KT IN 48 HOURS AND 126 KT IN 60 HOURS.

2,084 posted on 09/20/2005 10:04:22 PM PDT by hobson (Houston - NW Loop)
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To: Aggie Mama; AppyPappy
Ha! Here was my thinking: My husband drives up there about 2x a month. It typically takes him about 4.5 hours. Since he typically drives like a bat out of hell I figured 4.5 x 85 mph which is about 383 miles. It takes us a little over an hour to get to Galveston (once again driving like a bat out of hell), so that was an additional 50-60 miles. Did some generous rounding of numbers and that's my math! LOL =)

Well it's 240 miles from downtown Houston to downtown Dallas and 50 miles to Galveston. Perhaps you have failed to account for the stop he makes to eat BBQ?

2,085 posted on 09/20/2005 10:04:49 PM PDT by HoustonCurmudgeon (Houston Astrodome - Compassionate Conservatism at work!)
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To: onyx

I believe Jaded is in Houston


2,086 posted on 09/20/2005 10:05:04 PM PDT by Cudjo
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To: Howlin
What you're missing is where are these reported winds located? Does it say? Are these surface winds, or are they 3 stories up? Since the report doesn't explicitely say, they must be on the surface. Only stands to reason, eh?
2,087 posted on 09/20/2005 10:05:16 PM PDT by raygun
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To: seeker41


Good to know. Thanks. Take care and try to keep us posted. I hope you don't lose your electricity.


2,088 posted on 09/20/2005 10:05:24 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx

Me?


2,089 posted on 09/20/2005 10:06:17 PM PDT by hobson (Houston - NW Loop)
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To: james_f_hall

There's a 2 AM advisory. One every 3 hours.


2,090 posted on 09/20/2005 10:06:22 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Termite_Commander

Guess I will wake up to a CAT3 or CAT4 I need sleep.


2,091 posted on 09/20/2005 10:07:42 PM PDT by james_f_hall (Round Rock, Texas)
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To: Termite_Commander

We've got one hour to discuss recipes and food.


2,092 posted on 09/20/2005 10:08:05 PM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: blondee123

I live only 15 miles from the Atlantic, but am not particularly afraid of storms (lightening does freak me out, but that's a personal problem) - however, I have a huge respect for them.

I have never lived in a trailer, but have many friends who have at one point or another in their lives and so have been in many. I was at a friend's back in 1983 during a violent thunderstorm in Dover, Delaware - even knowing how freaky I am about T'storms she hands me her fussy 7 month old to hold while she, her husband and my fiance run around battening down. Everything was swaying - the noises outside were bizarre. We were OK, but the 1-ton concrete cover of the park septic system came loose and more than 2 dozen trailers were moved off their foundations, and one was knocked on it's side - that was only 2 away from us.


It took NWS 3 days to finally state what those of us there knew - a tornado went through that trailer park - a small one, but one nonetheless.

"Trailer parks" have changed over the years, but the older ones still exist, and they truly are hurricane and tornado magnets.


2,093 posted on 09/20/2005 10:09:11 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) Tryin' to Reason with Hurricane season)
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To: hobson

Oh hobson, you too! I'm glad to know that. You take care sweetie. I was sort of surprised when Kat knocked out our power for 5 days... given that we're 150 miles from the gulf coast.


2,094 posted on 09/20/2005 10:10:56 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: james_f_hall

If you can keep your eyes pried open until 1:30 or so, we might see a Vortex update, which would give an idea on what the storm's up to.


2,095 posted on 09/20/2005 10:10:58 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Cudjo


Thanks. We really need to try to keep track of our FRiends in her projected path.


2,096 posted on 09/20/2005 10:11:41 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Miztiki

Have a safe trip.

You're making the right decision no matter where Rita ends-up making landfall.


2,097 posted on 09/20/2005 10:11:54 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (When a Jihadist dies, an angel gets its wings)
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To: raygun

You're not really arguing that because of WHERE your claimed 80 kts were that she wasn't a CAT 4, are you?

And while you're thinking of an answer for that, how about finding a link where ANY hurricane has been reported with SURFACE winds only.

---

Hurricane Katrina was one of the strongest storms to impact the coast of the United States during the last 100 years. With sustained winds during landfall of 140 mph (a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale) and minimum central pressure the third lowest on record at landfall (920 mb), Katrina caused widespread devastation along the central Gulf Coast states of the US. Cities such as New Orleans, LA, Mobile, AL, and Gulfport, MS bore the brunt of Katrina's force and will need weeks and months of recovery efforts to restore normality.

--snip--

Windspeeds over 140 mph were recorded at landfall in southeastern Louisiana while winds gusted to over 100 mph in New Orleans, just west of the eye. As the hurricane made its second landfall on the Mississippi/Louisiana border, windspeeds were approximately 110 kts (125 mph). Gusts of over 80mph were recorded in Mobile and 90 mph in Biloxi, MS.


2,098 posted on 09/20/2005 10:11:57 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: onyx

if you don't mind me asking where in MS are you?


2,099 posted on 09/20/2005 10:12:03 PM PDT by DrewsMum (La Porte, TX here,,,,and a little nervous,,,,,)
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To: bonfire
lol

Okay, discourage me from eating the cake which taunts me from the kitchen.
2,100 posted on 09/20/2005 10:12:04 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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