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Short-Term Energy Outlook
ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION ^ | September 7th, 2005 Release | STAFF

Posted on 09/19/2005 7:12:28 PM PDT by kellynla

The possibility of energy market disruption amid this very active hurricane season turned to reality with the arrival of Katrina. In this issue, EIA examines some plausible paths to recovery.

The Gulf of Mexico coast region is a major oil and natural gas supply center for the United States with significant offshore oil and natural gas production, refining capacity, and petrochemical facilities, and serves as a major import hub and nexus for pipeline infrastructure. In the Gulf coast region, Federal offshore crude oil production accounts for 1.5 million barrels per day (29 percent of total U.S. production); crude oil refining capacity accounts for about 8.0 million barrels per day (47 percent of total U.S. production); and offshore natural gas production accounts for about 10 billion cubic feet per day (19 percent of total U.S. production). A significant portion of the Gulf coast’s petroleum products—gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel—is shipped to Eastern U.S. markets through the Colonial and Plantation pipelines or transported to Midwest markets by pipeline or the Mississippi River.

Hurricane Katrina caused significant direct damage to offshore rigs, refineries, pipelines, and ports in the Gulf of Mexico , with wide-scale electricity outages and flooding exacerbating the already devastated infrastructure, compounded by the evacuation of thousands of employees. Katrina initially reduced oil supplies by an estimated 1.4 million barrels per day and natural gas supplies by an estimated 8.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) due to shut-ins as well as direct damage. In addition, a bout 1.9 million barrels per day of crude oil refining capacity was shut down as Katrina approached. Following the storm a number of other refineries were forced to reduce operating rates because of disruptions to oil supply and product distribution systems and electricity outages.

(Excerpt) Read more at eia.doe.gov ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: coal; electricity; energy; gas; heatingoil; naturalgas; oil
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More refineries & more drilling!
1 posted on 09/19/2005 7:12:34 PM PDT by kellynla
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To: kellynla
Give me a break!!! When an energy trader sneezes the cost of oil goes up $3.oo a barrel. It's not the oil companies or the gas station owners, IT IS THE OPEN MARKET TRADERS. They are speculating on this crap!
2 posted on 09/19/2005 7:18:03 PM PDT by hophead (" Enjoy Every Sandwich WZ")
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To: hophead
Don't use the "$3.oo" in lieu of "$3.00".

This is a trademark of MD4Bush.

God bless!

3 posted on 09/19/2005 7:25:47 PM PDT by topher (Please let Old-Fashioned moral values return to the United States!)
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To: topher

" This is a trademark of MD4Bush."

$3.oo was a typo. But tell me who is MD4Bush? Just between me and you. I promise I won't tell anyone.


4 posted on 09/19/2005 7:29:48 PM PDT by hophead (" Enjoy Every Sandwich WZ")
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To: kellynla
We are already in serious trouble -- Hurricane Rita may become a Cat-5 storm and hit all those refineries from Galveston to Lake Charles, La.

Considering they are trying to get the New Orleans refineries back online as well as the Chevron one in Mississippi, this is very, very bad.

Also, there will be an automatic shutin of most of the offshore Gulf of Mexico production starting about Wednesday maybe Thursday at the latest, and that may not be able to re-open until next week.

Land bases for offshore around New Orleans got hammered and the good land bases between Houston and New Orleans may really get creamed.

I know we have quite a bit of gasoline tanker traffic here in the Northeast. In the New York City Harbor area, they won't let tankers in the Inner Harbor (big firecrackers need not apply) but you see them offloading to barges in the Outer Harbor...

This really stinks. I don't drive much, but this is the time of year that refineries HAVE TO SWITCH to fuel oil production, and Natural Gas needs to be pumped underground for mid-winter draws...

5 posted on 09/19/2005 7:31:06 PM PDT by topher (Please let Old-Fashioned moral values return to the United States!)
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To: hophead
I don't know. I looked at MD4Bush posts for any "signatures" and that was one he/she used.

Jim Robinson and John Robinson would love to tell the world the domain name and IP addresses, but they have not been asked in a nice "legal" fashion.

I am pretty sure MD4Bush had a post with 2oth Century in the text. That is why replacing small letter o's for the number 0 is something I would not recommend...

I don't think you did it delibrately, but I have had a background task in my mind looking for that type of typing, and your post tripped my background task...

God bless!

6 posted on 09/19/2005 7:34:39 PM PDT by topher (Please let Old-Fashioned moral values return to the United States!)
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To: topher
Sorry topher, really unintended. And I can't believe that our Gov has not sent a subpoena to FR for that name.
7 posted on 09/19/2005 7:41:32 PM PDT by hophead (" Enjoy Every Sandwich WZ")
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To: kellynla
US Gulf of Mexico Oil and Gas Production Impact Estimate for AAL182005 (Rita)
8 posted on 09/19/2005 7:45:34 PM PDT by FReepaholic (If ignorance ain't bliss I don't know what is.)
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To: topher

I know this wouldn't make a difference in the short term but look at this nuclear/hydro/desalination plant. I like the idea!
Would Simultaneously Produce Electricity, Hydrogen & Drinking Water

http://www.aaenvironment.com/nuhydro.htm


9 posted on 09/19/2005 7:46:35 PM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: hophead

And their speculation may end with a bursting bubble. The good thing is that more focus will be put on the hydrogen economy. May the nay sayers finally take a back seat.


10 posted on 09/19/2005 8:37:40 PM PDT by jonrick46
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To: kellynla

More Republicans in congress and in the senate!


11 posted on 09/19/2005 8:39:52 PM PDT by jonrick46
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To: topher

I am hoping that this will begin a move to diversify our energy production system. We cannot allow the system to be so vulnerable.


12 posted on 09/19/2005 8:42:16 PM PDT by jonrick46
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To: hophead
It is capitalism at work. Speculators take risks to provide you with what you want at the price you can afford. The speculators get burned from time to time as well. SPR release, blows away some speculators who bought oil futures on margin at a price not sustained by this added supply. Saudi Arabia says they will provide more supply, another 10% of the speculators are bankrupt.

But if we had central planning rather than the free market, you would wait in line for hours to get gas, and be pissing and moaning about the stupidity of the government planners.

I say rah, rah for the free market!

13 posted on 09/19/2005 9:28:36 PM PDT by GregoryFul
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To: kellynla
More refineries & more drilling!

Preferably in Alaska and Canada...

Seriously, little Rita is not helping things; retail stocks are already taking a hit as the forecasters are planning on a less than spectacular fourth quarter, thanks to ever increasing fuel prices.

Today in my "test" stock portfolio, all my stocks took a hit except for my three oil companies, and the BNSF railroad (go figure...)

And it's not just gas prices, fuel oil and natural gas are set to increase quite a bit, if they haven't already...

Bottom line: things aren't looking good for 2006. Expect at least a recession, if not something worst.

14 posted on 09/19/2005 9:36:25 PM PDT by Ronzo (Help restore decency in Ameria...hug a Democrat.)
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To: jonrick46
Hydrogen is only a way of delivering power, it is a environmentally friendly way at the end user; but producing hydrogen energy for the end user is much more costly in BTUs consumed (and greenhouse gasses generated) than providing gasoline to the end user.

In order to get hydrogen, you have to break it out of some compound, maybe a hydrocarbon, maybe water - and that process takes lots of energy. Then you have to pack it into some compact form, compress it and put it into a strong heavy container, collect it into some catalyst, etc., and that takes more energy. Then the end user has to uncompress it, carrying around a heavy (and potentially dangerous) container, or heating a catalyst to cause release of the hydrogen, taking more energy. Then you can burn it to water and generate energy. (Water vapor is a very intense greenhouse gas by the way. We may not be any better off at all on a hydrogen economy, in any sense.)

15 posted on 09/19/2005 9:41:55 PM PDT by GregoryFul
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To: GregoryFul

I have read that sodium with silica gel or crystalline silicon could create a powder that when introduced to water, creates hydrogen. Also, carbon nano tubes are said to be the answer for the high pressure storeage problem. Researchers are coming at the energy problem from many directions. I think the prospects of limits to the hydrocarbon contribution for the world's energy needs will push research a long way towards a healthy hydrogen economy.


16 posted on 09/19/2005 10:13:34 PM PDT by jonrick46
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To: kellynla
Since future cars may be hydrogen powered, this makes a lot of sense.

The electrosis of water will be able to produce hydrogen and oxygen.

Just don't build them too close to the Gulf coast along the Gulf of Mexico...

17 posted on 09/20/2005 4:28:48 AM PDT by topher (Please let Old-Fashioned moral values return to the United States!)
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To: hophead
I spoke with a former oil company employee the other day and he said don't believe a damn reason the oil companies have for high gas prices. He said, their in the business to make as much money as possible and don't give a damn who they hurt in the process.
18 posted on 09/20/2005 6:04:45 AM PDT by wolfcreek
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To: GregoryFul
I say rah, rah for the free market!

Yeah! Rah! "The Free Market!" Everyone bow and genuflect. Well, I can tell you that, if I can, I'll use that same "free market" to ruin you and everyone else if it makes me a quick buck. Profit and greed know no loyalty, to people or a country, only money. And if you worship money and only money, that's what you'll get, only money. If that means ruining everyone and devil take the hindmost, I say, so be it.

Be careful of what you wish for, you might get it (literally).

19 posted on 09/20/2005 6:20:06 AM PDT by Gekko The Great (Money, money, money. The god of all gods...)
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To: Gekko The Great
You are totally mistaken. The free market serves people in the best way. It provides goods and services to those who need them the most, and has others defer their needs to the most needy. It stimulates otherwise indifferent people to provide those goods and services in a sufficient quantity to provide for the necessities. It is a marvelous, socially agreeable allocation scheme.

Compare it with the political allocation - goods to the most politically connected, or to the bestial, who dispense with the exchange method of getting what they need, they just take it from the possessor, often taking their life as well.

Like, what's your choice?

20 posted on 09/20/2005 5:37:03 PM PDT by GregoryFul
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