[NautiNurse]

NHC has her coming in as a cat2 now.

Thanks for the update...our local news says it could be sometime late Monday.

[nwctwx]

From the 11pm Discussion:

The intensity forecast remains problematic. The SHIPS...GFDL...and
FSU superensemble all forecast Ophelia to reach 85 kt before
landfall...and the intensity forecast will follow suit. That being
said...the current shear...abundant dry air seen in water vapor
imagery...and broad storm structure will likely slow development.
How long the shear will last is uncertain...as the large-scale
models have differing solutions on how the upper-level winds will
evolve near Ophelia. An extra complication is that Ophelia is
forecast to move over sea surface temperatures of 27-28c...except
when it passes over the Gulf Stream. The slow motion over
relatively shallow warm water may allow the storm to upwell cooler
water and inhibit intensification. It is possible that Ophelia
could become a category three hurricane...but it would not be a
surprise if it strengthened less than currently forecast.

[SC Swamp Fox]

The models are converging on South Carolina. It is being predicted to make landfall as a Category 2 storm Monday night or Tuesday morning.

There are loads of useful links in the first post of this thread.

South Carolina Ping

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