BTW, Where does New Zealand First party stand in the political spectrum?
The lead is now 8% according to the government-owned TV1 poll, so there is more than half the ahance Labour will lose.
New Zealand First is roughly speaking like the paleoconservatives in America. Conservative socially in terms of race-culture-identity, and like to spend money on superanniuation (social security in US terms), and agreeing with lots of tariffs. Winston Peters is like the Pat Buchanan of New Zealand. I once gave a New Zealand First policy platform to a liberal Democrat on another forum and he was so horrified of NZF that he screamed "This strikes me as a fascist party!". I didn't tell him he became the Deputy Prime Minister of New Zealand in 1996 on that platform. ;-)
New Zealand politics, like much of Europe and Britain, has its extremes. Sure, their Left are very powerful, but the pendulum swings and their paleoconservatives is much more powerful than their US counterparts.