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To: nwctwx

When is that next "area of interest" in the Atlantic expected to make landfall? I don't know all the ins & outs of weather forcasting but I do understand that there are many factors that make prediction difficult at best. What is the soonest it could reach Florida (or wherever it is most likely aimed)? How likely is it to go north or south? Thanks.


1,596 posted on 09/05/2005 12:32:02 PM PDT by Mrs. Xtrmst (All that is necessary for evil to succeed is that good men do nothing. --Edmund Burke)
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To: Mrs. Xtrmst; NautiNurse
When is that next "area of interest" in the Atlantic expected to make landfall? I don't know all the ins & outs of weather forcasting but I do understand that there are many factors that make prediction difficult at best. What is the soonest it could reach Florida (or wherever it is most likely aimed)? How likely is it to go north or south? Thanks.

One poster earlier showed a model that shows a second hurricane hitting LA again later this week. Not sure how much validity it has, but if want to check it out, you can find it here.

This discussion is from the NHS:

A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED BETWEEN ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR 26N79W DRIFTING TO THE NW. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS NOT THAT WELL-DEFINED IN MIAMI RADAR IMAGERY BUT THE OVERALL CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE BECOMING A LITTLE STRONGER IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE CONSOLIDATED ESPECIALLY N OF THE CENTER AND WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 25 KT AT FREEPORT AND SETTLEMENT POINT BAHAMAS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 74W-80W INCLUDING OVER GREAT ABACO...GRAND BAHAMA... ANDROS...AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLANDS AND MOVING WWD TOWARDS THE FLORIDA COAST. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NW BENEATH AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE AND BE NEAR OR OVER FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WATER.

Too early to get alarmed about anything. Besides, nautinurse needs a break!

1,703 posted on 09/05/2005 1:00:23 PM PDT by CedarDave (MLKing, Jr: "I have a dream!", Howard Dean: "I have a scream!", Jesse Jackson: "I have a scheme!")
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