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Posted on 09/01/2005 8:07:22 AM PDT by varina davis
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Hurricane Ginny - October 29, 1963?
Having a couple of TD/TS storms in mid Atlantic going N or NW (the five day plot for both the current storms takes them east of Bermuda) is actually a very Good Thing IMO as it breaks up that bloody Atlantic High which otherwise steers storms right at the mainland.
67 years ago. Mark my words, New England is safe in 2005. And that was a category 1 hurricane when it hit New England. I suspect construction is safer now and there would be no significant damage if a Cat 1 hit today.
Unfortunately, living on the gulf or the Atlantic doesn't leave us with much choice :(
Cat 2. I'd stay home for that.
Why is there all this alarmism on FR today?
Thank you!!!!!!!!!!
I'm on LI. The waters are very warm this year. Makes me nervous. We had them in Sept. I read about that 1938 hurricane. A hurricane comes here, I'm out of here.
Too close to south Florida.......how about the Arctic?
You don't get it, because you're wrong.
Just a hunch...but I'd say all of the devastation in New Orleans and what would happen if another storm made its way in that direction have made some a little skittish.
Maybe because many of us live in hurricane areas, remember last year, and this year?
Uh oh...... There'll be a lot of lootin' in Bermuda!
I dont' even want to think about another storm heading into the gulf........
but even if one were to hit on the Atlantic coast, resources will be stretched thin because so many have headed south to help out where they are needed on the gulf coast. for example, my power company provided electric for most of Delaware and parts of NJ, MD and VA as well as natural gas in DE & NJ.....they have already sent a large number of crews and equipment south to assist.
"If I lived down there I'd have tropical depression...let me tell you!"
"I'd take Tropical Depression over Cabin Fever or Winter Blahs (or whatever the hell they call it) any ol' day."
Not me...I love being cooped up in my snuggly home in January and February when the snow is flying outside!! No cabin fever here!
Finally found hard numbers...
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/dcmifinal2.pdf
Hurricanes hitting the US since 1900:
June: 19
July: 23
August: 74
September: 102
October: 50
November: 5
TWICE as many hurricanes have hit the US in October than in June and July COMBINED.
In terms of danger to the US the tropical season isn't even at the halfway point yet.
For reasons incomprehensible to me people have their sense of Atlantic Tropical Climatology off by a month...their mental picture of the season is advanced a month from reality.
Thus basically EVERY year, in the first couple weeks of August, if there aren't 3-4 hurricanes in the Atlantic at once, people start whining that the seasonal forecast for that year was wrong and it will be a dead season (as happened this year.
Not another one!
Err, messed that up, meant to say twice as many hurricanes have hit the US in October than in July.
Thanks........I had either heard (most likely) or read just yesterday that the worst of hurricane season was yet to come - but hadn't yet found a reference.
Since hurricanes originate from dust storms in the Sahara desert, isn't this all Africa's fault? Some kinda thanks for $15,000,000,000.00
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