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To: rwfromkansas
Idiots at eastern weather are going nuts because it is turning more north. They are saying it will hit Mobile instead, cloud tops are warming etc.

There is currently a due north wobble on the radar, but she is generally sticking to the nnw track. Even if she does go more northerly that brings her straight across about 30M E of NO. No way she gets any further E than pascagoula, and I give that a 10% chance at best. This will be an east LA, Gulfport, Biloxi landfall.

The cloudtops are warming. IT is called a fluctuation, if you look at almost all hurricanes, this happens late in the day (don't know the mechanics.) Then the clouds cool and deepen through the night. She may be slightly weaker , maybe 160 now, but she will crank back up before landfall. There is still no sheer, despite Steve Lyons wishful thinking and she is going tobe over the warmest water she has encountered in about 3 hrs. And that water holds 92 degrees all the way to landfall.

582 posted on 08/28/2005 3:44:55 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: commish

I did check the sat on the NHC site, and there is some warming, but nothing to write home about. I just worry if somebody listens to them they will think there is some massive weakening or something, which there is not. The storm is just fluctuating and reorganizing...the outflow is expanding.


634 posted on 08/28/2005 3:50:21 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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