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There is no bubble
Free Republic | 8/24/05 | Self

Posted on 08/24/2005 6:58:33 AM PDT by austinite

Listen folks there is no bubble, take it from me there has been a cosmic shift in real estate investing. Foreign money, "old money", dead baby boomer inheritance money and speculation type money is pouring into the real estate market faster then Carter can make liver pills. There is now absolutely no connection between home ownership and personal income, real estate (residential) in the US is now a global economic comody, just like pork bellys and sugar cane. Who cares if the average income family can no longer afford the average home. Don't worry. Their money is unimportant. They should be renters anyway. The big players control the game now, the little guy is insignificant now and forever.

Housing will appreciate 10,15,20% a year, year in and year out- forever. Don't ever expect a correction. In just ten years the AVERAGE house will be well over $400,000, pricing completely out the average worker, which is a good thing in the long run for the invester class.

Buy a house if you can, actually buy 1,2,3 as many as you can!


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: bubblehousing; housing; makeyoufeelfine; realestate; tinybubbles
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There is no bubble, nothing to see here. Move on.
1 posted on 08/24/2005 6:58:33 AM PDT by austinite
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To: austinite

"real estate (residential) in the US is now a global economic comody"

You mispelled comedy.


2 posted on 08/24/2005 7:00:37 AM PDT by Arkie2 (No, we cannot make cheese as stinky as the French.)
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To: austinite

The greater Fool theory is still alive.


3 posted on 08/24/2005 7:01:25 AM PDT by Afronaut (America is for Americans, but not anymore)
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To: austinite
I'm having trouble telling if this is sarcasm or not.
4 posted on 08/24/2005 7:01:47 AM PDT by al_again
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To: austinite

"real estate (residential) in the US is now a global economic comody, just like pork bellys and sugar cane"

And tulips. Don't forget tulips.


5 posted on 08/24/2005 7:01:51 AM PDT by razoroccam (Then in the name of Allah, they will let loose the Germs of War (http://www.booksurge.com))
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To: austinite

Didn't get the loan, eh?


6 posted on 08/24/2005 7:03:50 AM PDT by Yo-Yo
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To: austinite

Listen folks there is no bubble, take it from me there has been a cosmic shift in real estate investing. Foreign money, "old money", dead baby boomer inheritance money and speculation type money is pouring into the real estate market faster then Carter can make liver pills.
__________________________________________

And of course it could never leave for the next hot item just like it could not bail on the dot.coms.

___________________________________________
Buy a house if you can, actually buy 1,2,3 as many as you can!
_____________________________________________

Sign number 700 there is a bubble is that you can read statements like the above.


7 posted on 08/24/2005 7:05:13 AM PDT by JLS
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To: austinite

I always figured it was because I'm Irish... part Irish at least. I have to have land. I have to own it. When my husband and I had been married six years, we bought our first duplex... both sides and now we have a modest portfolio of six units not including our residence. We started by moving in and living there, fixing it up and moving on. We leveraged. I recommend it for young freepers starting out. Now, however, it's almost full time for my husband who is Mr. Greenjeans. He's combination contractor, janitor and social worker. I'm the mean ole lawyer he can threated the tenants with as a last resort but we've only filed two or three forceble retainer actions in 29 years.

They are not making any more dirt. Our goal now is to get it all paid off and retire on the rent and maybe start moving back into the properties as we tootle around in our motor home, selling them off one by one after living in them two years to avoid capital gains.


8 posted on 08/24/2005 7:05:18 AM PDT by Mercat (God loves us where He finds us.)
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To: Arkie2
You mispelled comedy.

I meant to say comodity, but comedy works well.

9 posted on 08/24/2005 7:05:32 AM PDT by austinite
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To: al_again

I'm thinking it is. But I could be wrong.


10 posted on 08/24/2005 7:05:52 AM PDT by FixedandDilated
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11 posted on 08/24/2005 7:06:23 AM PDT by evets (God bless president Bush!)
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To: austinite; All
BREAKING NEWS: July new homes sales up 6.5 percent to record 1.41 million annual rate.
12 posted on 08/24/2005 7:06:50 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: austinite
You still misspelled it. It's "commodity". There's a spell function button you can use.
13 posted on 08/24/2005 7:07:48 AM PDT by FixedandDilated
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To: austinite
I found one.....


14 posted on 08/24/2005 7:08:18 AM PDT by Right Brother
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To: Mercat

I pointed something similar out on another thread. All it takes is getting in on the bottom and working your ass off.

Good work and I hope you have a happy retirement.


15 posted on 08/24/2005 7:10:08 AM PDT by PeteB570
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To: austinite
In just ten years the AVERAGE house will be well over $400,000

$400,000 Gets a two bedroom shack TODAY. (At least around here) So that means that my investment is going to appreciate zilch in 10 years.

16 posted on 08/24/2005 7:10:22 AM PDT by NY.SS-Bar9 (DR #1692 NIT 475-5X :()
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To: austinite
In just ten years the AVERAGE house will be well over $400,000

I hate to tell you, but we're already there, in my town. Most houses here are selling for way over $400K.

17 posted on 08/24/2005 7:10:34 AM PDT by EggsAckley ("Madness takes its toll. Please have exact change.")
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To: austinite
I forsee lots of bankruptcies and/or foreclosures ahead.

With interest only loans and 40 year mortgages....it doesn't look good does it?

18 posted on 08/24/2005 7:14:16 AM PDT by Fawn (Being a FREE COUNTRY doesn't mean EVERYTHING'S FOR FREE!!!!!!!)
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To: NY.SS-Bar9

You might find a dump in a bad neighborhood for $400,000 around here. Things are slowing down now, though. The increases in prices have been astronomical, and now houses are sitting for weeks, rather than being sold in just days. I haven't been keeping track of selling prices, though.


19 posted on 08/24/2005 7:14:38 AM PDT by FixedandDilated
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To: Mercat

This phrase 'They're not making any more dirt" has been thrown around lately, and it cracks me up.

We have PLENTY of land. Ever fly across the country, and look out the window? We have vast tracks of empty land.

Been to the Bay Area lately? There's PLENTY of new construction.

You are right, that starting small and building an investment like you are is a GREAT idea. The only problem is, to do that NOW, requires inheriting a small fortune, making $300K a year, or signing insane terms like an interest-only loan. Plus, you have to believe that housing NEVER loses value, which to me is also a sign of being irrational.

Who's buying right now? Investors. Who's selling? Investors. Nobody else can afford to get in the game right now. The minute the investors blink, and stop buying from each other...it's over.


20 posted on 08/24/2005 7:20:00 AM PDT by ByDesign
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