LIVE THREAD: HURRICANE KATRINA (Cat 1)

NOAA-NHC ^ | 24 August 2005 | NOAA-NHC

[NautiNurse]

The twelfth tropical storm of the 2005 hurricane season is named Katrina. The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
TD 12 Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Howlin]

When is Nauti suppose to be flying home?

[Gabz]

Oh, I remember that night......and the horror we all felt when we realized it was going to Richmond and you all weren't prepared.

I also remember that night - as I sat here with power - but no phone or cable and radio reception from Norfolk was practically nil........I had no idea what was going on across the bay until the phones came back on the next day and I could get online.

[Palladin]

A bridge down?

This sounds pretty bad to me.

All you Floridian FReepers, stay safe.

[Gabz]

LOL!!!!

Happy anniversary to you!

We celebrated our 8th anniversary this year - we had a snow storm in Delaware that day :)

[nwctwx]

An intensifying-at-landfall hurricane is never something to laugh at. People should take shelter with a minimal hurricane regardless...

[Dog Gone]

Oh yes, certainly. If it was going to hit Vermillion Bay, for example, it would probably be no sooner than Wednesday.

But two days out is usually the best you can predict these storms, and sometime less than that. Occasionally, the ridges and troughs are so entrenched that what will happen is a slam dunk.

Like with Jose earlier this week. Never a chance of him doing anything different than he did.

But Katrina is different because she's nowhere near dying out over land. She's going to become a hurricane again after weakening to a tropical storm.

And the trough may or may not make it down to the coast in three days to move her north.

It probably will, but a delay of 12 hours will mean a landfall of dozens of miles further west.

As far as the second landfall, we're just speculating now. Our thoughts and prayers are with the people of south Florida who are dealing with her now. The rest of us can probably seriously begin worrying on Sunday because so much can happen between now and then to affect the forecast.

[Gabz]

Hello?

Goodbye?

SHEESH...........the Island in the Chesapeake at the end of the road I live on has a great big bullseye on it in that projection.........

[Gabz]

I think Friday.

[GOPJ]

The yellow line goes right over my house. Thanks for posting the map.

[Dog Gone]

Accuweather guy on Fox is saying this is a HUGE wind maker, huge weather maker, huge rain maker all the way through the mid-Atlantic states into next week.

Accuweather likes to paint the scariest picture possible as some sort of corporate philosophy, which doesn't mean they aren't right in this case.

[Strategerist]

It seems to have been an overpass under construction that fell on to the road below it. No cars were crushed.

The road it fell on (836?) is apparently a very busy one in Miami, though. Not like I've ever been there.

[ExcursionGuy84]

To mariabush: It's actually Bellsouth DSL...and it's actually survived 2off/ons so far

to AGreatPer: I'm actually not into horse racing or beer-drinking (I hate the stuff--sorry);

I'm actually watching TILLY, reading my BIBLE & whacking my East Gate back into place [the latch is stuck tight & the 60 mph gusts are kickin' it open again 'n again.]

[cajungirl]

Thanks, there is just too much play in the weather. It just can't be pinned down and I think we need to work on that {just kidding}

[Freedom'sWorthIt]

Whew! Welcome back! Glad you are safe!

[GOPJ]

Thanks for the ping.

[Palladin]

Headline on Drudge:

1 MILLION-PLUS WITHOUT POWER IN SOUTH FLORIDA AFTER HURRICANE STRIKE

When will the looting begin in Dade County?

[Dog Gone]

Well, the yellow line is smoking crack and doesn't know where it's going. It might be pointing toward Antarctica at 11 pm.

[dawn53]

Howlin,

Where's Friday on that map?

[mhking]

Where is ...'here'.

Atlanta...

Invariably when Pensacola gets whacked, we get heavy duty rain -- enough to take out plenty of trees (which in turn yank down powerlines) here.