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Don't sell Harris short in '06
The Hill ^ | 8-17-2005 | David hill

Posted on 08/17/2005 6:52:26 AM PDT by bilhosty

Last week, GOP Rep. Katherine Harris of Florida kicked off her campaign to unseat Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson. While this should be a much-ballyhooed quest in Republican circles, too few GOP insiders seem to be excited by Harris’s launch. This is a mistake.

Katherine Harris is going to win this election for reasons that I’ll outline in this column. But before making the case that needs to be made, let me make a few disclosures. Yes, I did poll for Harris’s successful bids for secretary of state and Congress. But since 2003, I have not served Harris, providing me an opportunity for an objective view of her candidacy.

Harris’s advantages start with her celebrity status, coupled with the low expectations that surround her bid. Let’s face it: Voters today are more interested in celebrities than in politicians. More Americans read People than Time. More people follow “American Idol” than C-SPAN’s “Road to the White House.”

Celebrity commands attention. When Katherine Harris comes to town, people will want to get in on the action. And because of the nature of criticism that the media have aimed at Harris, people will expect her to disappoint.

But when voters see Katherine as she really is — a smart, vivacious and engaging woman — they will be shocked. Pleasantly shocked. There is no way that Katherine Harris won’t exceed expectations, and that’s a major plus.

Expectations are a competitive advantage too. Bill Nelson will always underperform his résumé. Floridians accustomed to statewide officeholders of the stature of Jeb Bush, Bob Graham, Lawton Chiles and even lately Mel Martinez will be disappointed every time they are exposed to the incumbent Democrat. He’s a yawner. “How did this guy ever win?” they’ll wonder. Nelson reached the Senate only by besting an even more boring former Rep. Bill McCollum.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2006; florida; katherineharris; senaterace
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To: KC_Conspirator

FL republicans carved out an R district just for her.

There was little doubt she would win.


41 posted on 08/17/2005 11:37:52 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE!)
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To: longtermmemmory

My "long term memory" remembers the FL media getting up and proclaiming that she and Jeb were dead meat in 2002 and they won easily.


42 posted on 08/17/2005 11:56:11 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator (This space outsourced to India)
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To: paul51
It was THAT interview that convinced me she was nuts. Hey... I hope she wins... if I was in FL, I'm sure I'd vote for her.

But she's still wigged-out.

43 posted on 08/17/2005 12:02:19 PM PDT by johnny7 (“Hi Lloyd. A little slow tonight, isn't it?”)
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To: johnny7
But she's still wigged-out.

You are wrong about Katherine Harris, and your snarky descriptions obtained from soundbites aren't informed. I have met her, and she's got my vote. As a matter of fact, I have already voted for her. She is my U.S. Rep. She has done a fine job representing her constituents.

44 posted on 08/17/2005 1:17:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Well I'm happy for both of 'ya.
45 posted on 08/17/2005 1:26:08 PM PDT by johnny7 (“Hi Lloyd. A little slow tonight, isn't it?”)
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To: Rockingham
Not when such comments come from a gathering of my female relatives!

Roger that. You have a special dispensation then.

46 posted on 08/17/2005 1:38:22 PM PDT by My2Cents ("The essence of American journalism is vulgarity divested of truth." -- Winston Churchill)
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To: johnny7
It was THAT interview that convinced me she was nuts

LOL. It's all in the eyes of the beholder

47 posted on 08/17/2005 1:46:54 PM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: longtermmemmory

I didn't dismiss Nelson as a candidate, I just said that Harris, in my opinion, has as good a chance as any at beating him, especially if the President, Jeb, Rove, the RNC, and the State Republican machine get behind her. I wouldn't underestimate Harris as a candidate, I think she showed in 2000 and 2002 she's not afraid to take the heat.


48 posted on 08/17/2005 2:03:25 PM PDT by moose2004 (You Can Run But You Can't Hide!)
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To: JohnnyZ

By your logic, should we have dumped President Bush because of all the bad press over the 2000 election, etc. etc.?


49 posted on 08/17/2005 3:04:09 PM PDT by nickcarraway (I'm Only Alive, Because a Judge Hasn't Ruled I Should Die...)
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To: JohnnyZ

To tell the truth, I have never seen anything that indicated she was unpopular, except among Freepers for some reason. I just don't know what she did that was so teerible.


50 posted on 08/17/2005 3:04:59 PM PDT by nickcarraway (I'm Only Alive, Because a Judge Hasn't Ruled I Should Die...)
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To: johnny7; NautiNurse; M Kehoe

I am proud to say that Katherine Harris is my Congresswoman and I intend to work very hard to make her my Senator!


So who is representing you in Taxachussetts?


51 posted on 08/17/2005 4:02:26 PM PDT by JulieRNR21 (Say 'Goodnight' Cindy.....Your 15 minutes are up!)
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To: nickcarraway
By your logic, should we have dumped President Bush because of all the bad press over the 2000 election, etc. etc.?

By my logic? Obviously you can't grasp my logic. If George W. Bush was an unpopular politician thinking about challenging a sitting president and trailing in the polls, with no indication that he had the skills to turn things around, I would certainly NOT support nominating him as the challenger.

It's more like nominating Newt Gingrich for president. Why would you even go there? He's hated by Democrats, strongly disliked by independents, and not a favorite of even some Republicans.

52 posted on 08/17/2005 4:04:30 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country." -- Mitt Romney)
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To: nickcarraway
To tell the truth, I have never seen anything that indicated she was unpopular

You haven't seen the polls? Her negatives are high, strong, and steady. She's disliked by independents.

Can a politician overcome that? It's possible -- but very difficult. Harris may well get a chance to try.

53 posted on 08/17/2005 4:06:16 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country." -- Mitt Romney)
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To: Rockingham

Many women are catty & jealous of Harris. BTW I have been up close to her many times & she doesn't wear too much makeup!

The biased media photoshopped her pictures in 2000 and added blue eyeshadow which she never wears! They wanted to make her look like Glenn Close as Curella de Ville.

I'm proud to have her as my Congresswoman and I intend to work very hard to make her my Senator!


54 posted on 08/17/2005 4:07:20 PM PDT by JulieRNR21 (Say 'Goodnight' Cindy.....Your 15 minutes are up!)
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To: KC_Conspirator
From what I remember, the party was also convinced she would not win her house seat, then she would not hold onto it.

I believe that is a fabrication.

Care to source that?

Although it is true that the NRCC had to inject some late cash into Harris's 2002 race because the polling was too close for comfort.

55 posted on 08/17/2005 4:08:29 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country." -- Mitt Romney)
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To: JohnnyZ

I've never seen those polls. Why do independents hate Harris? She always seemed to act professional when she was Florida SOS. What else could she do? The only people I've ever seen express contempt for her were extreme Dems & Freepers.


56 posted on 08/17/2005 4:08:55 PM PDT by nickcarraway (I'm Only Alive, Because a Judge Hasn't Ruled I Should Die...)
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To: JohnnyZ

President Bush was hated by Dems? Was John McCain abetter candidate for 2004?


57 posted on 08/17/2005 4:09:47 PM PDT by nickcarraway (I'm Only Alive, Because a Judge Hasn't Ruled I Should Die...)
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To: nickcarraway
I've never seen those polls.

Several have been posted on FR. Do a search. Google it if you have to.

Why do independents hate Harris?

I dunno about 'hate', but the negative impression is likely from the negative media & Democrat characterizations that stuck.

58 posted on 08/17/2005 4:11:40 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country." -- Mitt Romney)
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To: nickcarraway
President Bush was hated by Dems? Was John McCain abetter candidate for 2004?

WTF are you talking about?

If you're trying to twist an unpopular senatorial candidate into a "polarizing" incumbent President, you're gonna have to try your spinjob with someone else.

'Cause I'm not going along with your poorly conceived analogy.

59 posted on 08/17/2005 4:14:33 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country." -- Mitt Romney)
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To: day10
Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla, flashes a thumbs up as he arrives for the preview of Michael Moore's documentary, "Fahrenheit 9/11," in Washington, June 23, 2004. (Photo: AP)
60 posted on 08/17/2005 4:19:01 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (chance is the “magic wand to make not only rabbits but entire universes appear out of nothing.”)
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