I think Novak wrote his July 14th article on instinct and used the word CIA "Operative" to flush Joe out (make him honest). I do not believe Novak ever knew that Valerie was "Jane Bond" until Wilson spilled the beans. Joe fell into his own trap. He wanted Novak to "just shut up" about his wife and more or less threatened him. Novak did a good job of exposing not one but two "Operatives"...two Dem Operatives.
You make some interesting points. The timeline seems to support such a scenario. Thanks for offering you thoughts.