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The War Is Approaching Us
Epoch Times ^ | Aug. 5, 2005 | Chi Haotian

Posted on 08/05/2005 9:21:13 AM PDT by wesley_windam-price

In this speech a very high-ranking official in the Chinese Communist Party calmly argues for the necessity of a nuclear war that will destroy Japan and cripple the United States. This speech and a related speech, “War Is Not Far from Us and Is the Midwife of the Chinese Century” are analyzed in The Epoch Times original article “The CCP’s Last-ditch Gamble: Biological and Nuclear War.” A translation of the second speech will be published soon.

The text of the speech:

Dear Comrades,

It is with a heavy heart that I use this title, but it is used because China’s advancement into modernization has been continuously interrupted due to attacks and direct invasions by external forces. The most typical example is the so-called “Golden Decade” during 1927 to 1937. From today’s perspective, this decade was not at all golden. During this time, the Northeast region of China fell to enemy occupation on September 18, 1931. The East Hebei Province puppet regime was also established during that time. Comparatively speaking though, economic growth was pretty fast; the construction of infrastructure made some progress, and army development was also improved. China started to gain a little bit of hope. But this was something that the Japanese could not tolerate. They were not satisfied with the three Northeastern provinces they occupied, wasting no time in launching a comprehensive invasion of China, a nation compelled to fight the war painstakingly on scorched earth for eight years. Although China won the war, she lost Outer Mongolia and was vitally wounded. The property loss was more than 600 billion US dollars. After eight years of war, the original poor and weak China was in worse economic shape than ever. In other words, Japan’s invasion, especially its comprehensive war on China, greatly slowed down China’s modernization.

Disallowing China’s development and hindering the advance towards modernization had always been the luxury of those countries in power, especially considering Japan’s unchangeable national policy. We have suffered the most painful history lessons regarding this. There is often cooperation between counties, but the most fundamental basis for the relationship between countries is competition, conflict and at times extreme conflicts; that is, war. Cooperation is temporary and conditional, while competition and conflicts are absolute. They are the true subject of history. That’s why the so-called peace and development spoken of today is incorrect (at best it is simply an expedient measure). In saying this there is no concrete supporting evidence for this statement, and neither does it conform to any factual or historical experiences. Not to mention that China and Japan are sworn enemies both geographically and historically, with even the split between China and the Soviet Union in the 1960s providing evidence to show that any country regards the pursuit of its own national interest as its only criterion for action. No country leaves any space for morality. Over the past, China and the Soviet Union shared the same ideology and faced the same enemies, and China’s low levels of science and technology were not adequate to pose a threat to the Soviet Union. Nonetheless, China and the Soviet Union were split and intensely battled with each other. There may be many reasons contributing to this, but one fundamental reason is that the Soviet Union did not want to see an ever-growing, stronger China existing alongside it. Even though China was only beginning to grow, and would require a long time to reach a condition of strength, the Soviet Union still could not tolerate it.

If China and the Soviet Union, both a weak and a strong country sharing the same ideology and common enemies, could split up, then it is more than obvious that the incantations about “peace and development being today’s main focus,” which lead China’s political, military and foreign strategies, is a hallucination—fragile and dangerous.

My statement that peace and development as today’s main focus is completely incorrect, one-sided and a harmful theory that benumbs people flows from the following reasons.

ONE: Attacking China’s Modernization Has Always Been a National Policy for the Great Powers

We can obtain an historical rule from the experiences and lessons of China’s modern history, as well as from those of the 50 year history of the People’s Republic of China: Attacking China’s modernization (including launching a comprehensive war) has always been a national policy for the great powers. For the past 160 years it’s been this way. For the future 160 years, it will still remain this way.

TWO: Development Attracts Danger and Threats; Without the “Right to War” There is No Right to Develop

Development invites danger and threats, and this has been the general rule throughout world history. There were only several exceptions in Chinese history. For example, the Han Dynasty could start to develop with the “door closed” after it had defeated all the other competitors within the geographic limits at that time. It then developed the ideology of “world harmony.” Because it was not a matter involving the populace, the military, the economy or culture, there were no competitors, and no other races could compete with the Han race or even have the potential for competition. During the Warring States era (403-222 CE) in ancient Chinese history, one country’s development meant a threat to another country, and this was the universal rule in world history. It is also the core and foundation of western diplomacy, the father of which was the French cardinal Richelieu, being the first person in the field of western diplomacy to walk out of medieval “ignorance.” He began the tradition of modern diplomacy, which is fully oriented around national interests, discarding all moral and religious restrictions. The diplomacy policy set by Cardinal Richelieu benefited France for over two hundreds years, making possible the domination of Europe. Richelieu planned the 30-years’ war that caused so much suffering to Germany, and divided it into small feudal regions. This chaos remained until Bismarck reunited Germany. This process of German reunion demonstrates the above rule, as without Bismarck’s “right to war,” there would have been no national reunion; not to mention the right to develop.

THREE: Modernization Under the Saber: China’s Only Choice

The concept of a “China Threat” is definitely correct, and this is a fairly typical western thought. The Chinese-type thought of, “I close my door to develop my own economy—does this bother anyone?” is not just foolish, but also does not match up with “international common practice.” During the Warring States era there was no room for gentleness and softness in the harsh field of national interests—whoever had the slightest fantasy would be cruelly punished by history. The development of China is definitely a threat to countries like Japan and others. China may not view it in this way itself, but it is impossible for China to change this kind of deep-seated, international common view held by the big powers, which include Japan. So the base point for our thoughts should be and must be, “The development of China is a threat to countries like Japan.”

By “right” it is meant that every nation and race should have its living rights and its development rights. For example, China needs to import oil for its economic development, and to import raw materials such as lumber, in order to protect its environment from deforestation. This is very reasonable. But big powers have their own “reasons,” and a country like China will need to consume 100 million tons of oil in 2010, and 200 million tons in 2020. Will these big powers tolerate this?

The source of the majority of wars throughout history has been the struggle for basic living resources (including land and ocean). The subject of the conflict will change in the current information era, but the nature of it will remain the same. Developed, advanced civilizations like Israel have fought for over 50 years and are now still fighting with the Palestinians for insignificant areas of land (including the fight for water resources). In order to fight for our very reasonable development rights (unless Chinese are satisfied with the current poverty, and are prepared to give up the right of development), China needs to be prepared for war. This is not decided by us; not by the goodwill of kind people among us, but actually, this is decided by “international common practice,” and the big powers around the world.

The twenty years’ policy of peaceful development has reached its end. The international environment has undergone a fundamental change; the big powers have already planned to once again stop China’s progress towards modernization, so China needs to develop, needs to protect its own right to development; and therefore China needs to be prepared for war. Only by being prepared for war can China win space and time for her further development.

Twenty years of pastoral-style development has come to its end; the next program should be and must be, “modernization under the saber.”

FOUR: Diplomacy Determines Internal Affairs

At the present time in China, even the most hawkish of hawkish persons would not necessarily advocate war, although we have sufficient reason to do so; for instance, for the unification of the country and the maintenance of rights in the South China Sea. It would be for the right to development, which is extremely cherished since the Chinese have rarely enjoyed it in the past 160 years. But, when this right to development is threatened more and more over time, it is time for us to pick up arms to guard this national right.

It is fitting that internal affairs determines diplomacy, but do not forget that in this Warring States era, diplomacy among major nations also determines internal affairs. This is not just a theoretical viewpoint, it has been an historical experience of the People's Republic of China. In the 1970s China's defense spending surpassed expenditure for science, education, culture, and health added together (causing Chinese people to live in poverty). I certainly don’t want the same today; in fact, what is needed the most in China is investment in education. But would the world powers permit it? Wouldn’t one wish to invest more in science, education, culture, and health?

Some have said that, according to the so-called deciphered Soviet documents, it was shown that the Soviet Union did not have comprehensive plans to invade China. Even if the deciphering of these documents was correct, this still cannot explain the reality of that piece of history. Just as a chess game is mutually interactive, because China made sufficient spiritual and material preparations under the leadership of CCP, it enormously increased the risk and cost for the Soviet Union to invade China. It caused history to completely turn in another direction. The weak figure can only attract aggression. Those who view this from this angle are the true defenders of peace.

FIFTH: Evil as Result of Begging for Goodness: is There Peace for China in the Coming 10 Years?

In order to interrupt the advancement of modernization in China, to deprive Chinese people of the right to development, the world powers have many cards to play. The most obvious three cards are the "three islands," with the most effective one being Taiwan. If war in the Taiwan Straits erupted, the power to make decisions would not be in our hands, nor in the hands of those who advocate Taiwanese independence, but in the hands of the United States and Japan. If such a war erupted, it would not be simply a war of unification, as the deeper implication is that the United States and Japan are determined to deprive China of its right to development. This will once again interrupt the modernization process in China. Just like in the historical Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895, where Japan comprehensively invaded China, Japan not only made China cede territory and pay indemnities, but in essence interrupted Chinese modernization, while also depriving the Chinese of civil rights.

Therefore, we must look at a Taiwan Straits war on the level of a strategic decisive battle. But based on our present military force, it is out of the question to talk about this aspect from the viewpoints of the United States and Japan, especially that of the United States, because China only has a few intercontinental missiles, and the United States is fully determined to develop National Missile Defense (NMD).

To prevent delaying the eruption of the Taiwan Straits war, this war would first have to be elevated to the level of "a symmetrical strategic decisive battle" using the formula of “fish dead net broken.” If we failed to win the Taiwan Straits war, the results would be worse than those following the Sino-Japanese War. Therefore, there must be no war, or we will have to comprehensively destroy Japan and cripple the United States, and this could only be achieved with a nuclear war.

Evil as a result of begging for goodness—this would signal the final end of our present policy. Goodness as a result of asking for evil—only with the power that is capable of totally extinguishing Japan and crippling the United States can we win peace; otherwise the Taiwan problem cannot be prolonged for more than 10 years, and there will be war within 10 years!

SIXTH: Hegemony is the Characteristic Signifying the Existence of a World Power

What is a world power? A nation employing hegemony is a world power! One would be slaughtered by others at will, and one’s destiny (including the right to development) would be controlled by others, much as a puppet is controlled. The hegemony in this Warring States era is an objective fact; it "is not to be diverted by human will." The question is, whether you realize it or not; whether it is active pursuit or a passive act. All problems in China, including the three islands problem; the strategic industry development problem; the benefit adjustment of the domestic various social classes problem—in the end are all problems involving the fight for Chinese hegemony.

To have hegemony we cannot have continued internal struggle; we must have internal stability and unity. England, as an example, was able to realize "changing the working class to nobility" long ago because of the huge benefits from overseas colonies. The enormous indemnity that Japan extracted from China not only benefited the Japanese upper levels, but also greatly benefited their lower levels. Times have changed, and national sentiment is different, but the essence is the same. Not only must we look at the military and diplomacy from the point of hegemony, but we must particularly regard the internal stratum and adjustment problems of class interests from the angle of hegemony. Those upper-level people who squeeze and exploit our country’s lower-level people can not represent the national welfare in this Warring States era. They are decadent, degenerated, unpromising, and should be restricted and eliminated. Only mature and wise upper levels can represent the national welfare in the implementation of "the concession policy" and the lower level leaders jointly, to catch overseas benefits (this problem is more complex, and will be discussed in detail later. China has enormous opportunities for benefits overseas; it is just that we have not yet actively exploited them.)

*“The War Is Approaching Us” was first posted on the Internet in January 2003 with title “A recent speech from a high ranking official in PLA” on web sites such as www.mwjx.com. On October 11, it was published on www.chinaren.com with the title “The War Is Approaching Us—Chi Haotian.” It was also posted with title “China, do you still have ten years’ peace time?” It was most recently published on April 23, 2005 on www.boxun.com. At the time this speech was first published, Chi Haotian was China’s Defense Minister and Vice-chair of the Central Military Commission. [Return to top of article]

The original Chinese article is available at: http://epochtimes.com/gb/5/8/1/n1003911.htm.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chi; chicoms; china; clintonlegacy; haotian; war
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To: wesley_windam-price
I hope our 5,000 warheads more placed in "responsive reserve force" can be easily re-assembled in less than 5 minutes with minimal efforts.

That way we have a very rapid buildup of warheads to send via airmail to our enemies pronto!!

21 posted on 08/05/2005 9:58:32 AM PDT by prophetic ("I think you can be an honest person and lie about any number of things."--Dan Rather)
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To: wesley_windam-price
Now I can see why the WWII and Korean fighting generations didn't trust these Chicoms and still don't, however many are left....Unfortunately, they are all disappearing and I think we are getting in deeper than we know.
22 posted on 08/05/2005 10:02:28 AM PDT by b4its2late (If at first you don't succeed, redefine success.)
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To: tx_eggman

"Nope, Christ alone will be the victor."

Revelation 19: 11-18 says different. Verse 14 talks about the armies of heaven which I believe includes all souls departed in the friendship of Christ. Stop taking shots at your Christian brothers and sisters who are works in progress like you and I are too. If they are in error you need to pray for them if your eyes are open to what they are doing. Many times in my walk with God, He has disciplined me and shown me the hypocrisy I saw in others I was guilty of in other ways. Your mindset is setting you up for a fall.

Then I saw heaven opened, and there was a white horse! Its rider is called Faithful and True, and in righteousness he judges and makes war. 12His eyes are like a flame of fire, and on his head are many diadems; and he has a name inscribed that no one knows but himself. 13He is clothed in a robe dipped in blood, and his name is called The Word of God. 14And the armies of heaven, wearing fine linen, white and pure, were following him on white horses. 15From his mouth comes a sharp sword with which to strike down the nations, and he will rule them with a rod of iron; he will tread the wine press of the fury of the wrath of God the Almighty. 16On his robe and on his thigh he has a name inscribed, ‘King of kings and Lord of lords.’


23 posted on 08/05/2005 10:05:51 AM PDT by DarthVader (Islam is not something to be understood, it is something that must be utterly destroyed)
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To: cvq3842
I hope you're wrong. I fear you might be right.

The thing is that it is almost inevitable that someone will detonate one sooner or later.  After the first one goes ... who knows where it will end.

24 posted on 08/05/2005 10:05:53 AM PDT by softwarecreator (Facts are to liberals as holy water is to vampires)
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To: brownsfan
American management is filled with synchophants who will follow any outlandish trend if they are promised to make an extra dollar. They create havoc, and when they are done wrecking a business, they take their golden parachute and move on to wreck another business.

You have very succinctly stated what is killing America. I don't know where these business school grad's are coming from nowadays, but watching what they do is like being in a live Dilbert cartoon.

25 posted on 08/05/2005 10:06:34 AM PDT by badbass
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To: Pickin n Grinnin

The first time he came to earth was to save. When he returns again He comes to destroy Satan and rule. Armageddon is the final conflict between good and evil and their will be forces on both sides. Read the prophesies Christ gave in the gospels and the Revelation.


26 posted on 08/05/2005 10:09:44 AM PDT by DarthVader (Islam is not something to be understood, it is something that must be utterly destroyed)
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To: prophetic
I would not worry about our capabilities.

Worry about the reality of what will result if we have to react to some lunatic with a single MIRV and a key code.

[ m(ultiple) i(ndependently-targeted) r(eentry) v(ehicles).]

Too bad Clinton gave them the technology to hit us + - a mile, eh... Before bill, they were + - 50 miles.

I am going to dig "War Day" out for a quick reread.
27 posted on 08/05/2005 10:10:17 AM PDT by mmercier
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To: DarthVader
Read the prophesies Christ gave in the gospels and the Revelation

All this Armageddon talk worries me more than the Chicoms and terrorists do.  Do you guys know something we don't?

28 posted on 08/05/2005 10:11:52 AM PDT by softwarecreator (Facts are to liberals as holy water is to vampires)
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To: softwarecreator

Maybe, just maybe, China can each resist the temptation of resorting to nuclear attack; they know what would happen to them in return and don't want their country destroyed. It worked on the Russians. Then again, would the US and its population defend Taiwan at the cost of, say, LA, San Francisco and Seattle? We are obligated to defend Taiwan - will we?

And I have no faith in the "rationality" of some of these Middle Eastern crazies. If they had nukes they'd use them. They don't care if they die. The fact that we haven't been nuked already is something I ascribe to their inability (so far) to obtain or transport them, or to their still being in the planning stages of an attack, which could come any time. I doubt M.A.D. will work on the worst of those types.

What a downer, I know.

Ever since 9/11 when a radio signal suddenly goes off the air for longer than a brief interval, or a special report comes on, my mind flashes for a moment to . . . something. Not a nuclear attack, but some other kind of attack - in the subways, etc. I wish Fox News would not overuse its Alert signal so much. Nothing concerning Michael Jackson or Natalee Holloway will affect my life so much that they have to do that. (No offense to the Holloway family.) I'm sure the other networks do it too.

My, what a whiny crybaby rant! Oh well, you got me thinking. Now back to my life . . .


29 posted on 08/05/2005 10:15:51 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: mmercier

Good book!


30 posted on 08/05/2005 10:16:41 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: badbass

I will have to re-read Animal Farm again. the ending especially. Don't the farmers from the other farms start trading with the animals, to make a buck?


31 posted on 08/05/2005 10:17:28 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: cvq3842
I wish Fox News would not overuse its Alert signal so much

The local Detroit station here used to put out a "Breaking News" bulletin if there was a murder or a suspicious fire.  This of course, happens hourly in Detroit.  They received so much flack that I haven't seen one of these alerts in a year.

Ever since 9/11 when a radio signal suddenly goes off the air for longer than a brief interval, or a special report comes on, my mind flashes for a moment to . . . something.

You too?  I think a lot of us are still going thru this.  I don't live in constant fear, but since 911 I do pay closer attention when things seem unordinary.  We all know that someday these "alerts" will be real.

32 posted on 08/05/2005 10:26:39 AM PDT by softwarecreator (Facts are to liberals as holy water is to vampires)
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To: softwarecreator

Yes. Again, I don't want to sound cowardly, but it crosses the mind from time to time.

A friend remembers when, just after the Emergency Broadcast System (or whatever it is now called) started being used for more types of disasters, it came on and said "this is NOT a test." It was a hurricane warning, which is important. But in the moments before he found out what the emergency was, he was QUITE agitated.

And of course in my area (NYC area) there are many huge oil storage tanks - I thought everyone grew up near these until I went off to college! - and when there is an accident now everyone wonders at first whether it was sabotage.

When I wake up, turn on the radio, and hear about the baseball steroid scandal or some other such issue at the top of the news, I am immediately calmed. If that's what's the number one story, we're safe for the moment, I think. How horrible to wake up to the London bombings last month.


33 posted on 08/05/2005 10:33:27 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: cvq3842
Not to intrude... But still I will.

>> We are obligated to defend Taiwan - will we?

No.

That is what all this saber rattling is about.

Dump any company heavily invested Taiwan soon.

The Taiwanese are already goners; and like Israel, no one will cry for them except mother. We are politically paralyzed, we must wait for the $shit storm before any reaction is possible. If we get hit from an odd angle the rats will use this and run it up our a$$e$.

They are in fact counting on this, they need to see us hit so hard from some unseen angle that we will look to them for salvation.
34 posted on 08/05/2005 10:39:41 AM PDT by mmercier
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To: wesley_windam-price
If we failed to win the Taiwan Straits war, the results would be worse than those following the Sino-Japanese War. Therefore, there must be no war, or we will have to comprehensively destroy Japan and cripple the United States, and this could only be achieved with a nuclear war

Is this guy thinking they could pull this off and still remain with any semblance of a society left in China? Yes, they might have the capability to destroy Japan and cripple the United States but when the smoke cleared, China would be one big glass parking lot.

35 posted on 08/05/2005 10:42:41 AM PDT by One_American
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To: wesley_windam-price
China needs a revolution, desperately.


36 posted on 08/05/2005 10:48:06 AM PDT by unixfox (AMERICA - 20 Million ILLEGALS Can't Be Wrong!)
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To: cvq3842
I don't want to sound cowardly, but it crosses the mind from time to time.

There's nothing cowardly about being aware and ready to react in a disaster.  The London attacks on 7/7 reminded a lot of people that terrorism is still out there, just waiting to pay us a visit again.  Cowardice would be knowing the situation exists and instead of blaming the evil perpetrators you appease them and ask what you did wrong to deserve their ire while blaming the ones who refuse to give in.

37 posted on 08/05/2005 10:48:55 AM PDT by softwarecreator (Facts are to liberals as holy water is to vampires)
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To: joesnuffy
And then the question of who will dominate the world?
Will be decided once and for alltime..

duh.. muslims will rule the world at the end of armageddon. the rest of us will have been raptured by then :)
38 posted on 08/05/2005 10:49:00 AM PDT by absolootezer0 ("My God, why have you forsaken us.. no wait, its the liberals that have forsaken you... my bad")
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To: tx_eggman

"palm trees of smoke'?

39 posted on 08/05/2005 10:49:33 AM PDT by houeto
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To: mmercier

Not an intrusion at all!

I know Cal Thomas' recent column painted a bleak picture for Israel. You may be right. Time will tell.


40 posted on 08/05/2005 10:53:15 AM PDT by cvq3842
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