Virginia Governor Poll (Rasmussen): Kilgore (R)-45 Kaine (D)-39

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/4/5 | Scott Rasmussen

[Ravi]

August 4, 2005--The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in Virginia finds that Republican Jerry Kilgore still leads Democrat Tim Kaine by six percentage points in the Governor's race. That margin has held steady for three consecutive surveys.

The August survey finds Kilgore leading Kaine 45% to 39%. Five percent (5%) of voters say they will vote for some other candidate.

State Senator Russell Potts is running as a third option for voters. His name was not included in the survey. Instead, voters were given the option of supporting "some other candidate."

Rasmussen Reports believes that this approach produces a more reliable measure of support for minor candidates in most situations. During Election 2004, Rasmussen Reports did not include Ralph Nader by name.

In July, Kilgore was also ahead by six points, 47% to 41%.

Fifty percent (50%) of Virginia voters have a favorable opinion of Kilgore. That's down slightly from 53% in July.

Forty-nine percent (49%) have a favorable opinion of Kaine. That's down a point from 50% favorable in July.

[Ravi]

I didn't see this posted already. Both candidates drop two points from last poll in July. Spread is the same. I guess Mason-Dixon from late last month was outlier. This is more consistent and where I think the race truly lies.

[iceskater]

Ping

[bmwcyle]

As I pass the graves, I guess the DEM recruitment will be strong.

[JohnnyZ]

I guess Mason-Dixon from late last month was outlier.

That's a shock.

[MplsSteve]

I'd love to know about the geographical breakdown on that poll.

My guess is that Kaine does very well in Northern Va and that Kilgore does well in the remainder of the state, especially the Valley and Southside.

[Corin Stormhands]

I'm still skeptical of Rasmussen. But this makes much more sense than the M-D poll.

And it's important to note that NO poll to date has had Kaine at more than 41.

[sarasotarepublican]

Jerry Kilgore has to not only win, but must win by a rather large margin. Because, as we have learned from, the recent win in Ohio, a small margin, is a win for the dims.

[Coop]

You keep believing that. More power to ya!

[Ravi]

I believe that was tongue in cheek

[Coop]

I took it as such.

[Just A Nobody]

Thanks for the ping Corin. I am still trying to get a handle on VA politics.

[GeorgeW23225]

I agree. It will be a shock to me if Kaine can get to 45%......

[DM1]

I worry about this Potts Putz Nadering the vote for Kaine. I just want this year to be another GOP year (as well as next) so that the Dems may take the hint and shut the he!! up

[TNCMAXQ]

Rasmussen did call the presidential election exactly right last Nov. though. MAson-Dixon also did well with their state polling.

[Corin Stormhands]

True, Rasmussen did much better in 2004 than in 2000. And Mason-Dixon is usually reliable, but I think the numbers on their recent poll were skewed. I'll be anxious to see what their next poll shows.

[.cnI redruM]

TO win, Kaine has to dominate, Norfolk, Richmond and Occupied VA like an Iron Triangle. If he falters in 1 of the 3; it's a squeaker. If he goes down in 2, it's a sure sign that you can't just fly on a left wing.

[uscabjd]

Who is Potts?

[sarasotarepublican]

You keep believing that. More power to ya!

It was meant as tongue in cheek. I had many good laughs yesterday reading and hearing all the democrats spinning a loss as a win...

[Gabz]

Who is Potts?

A (supposedly) Republican state Senator running as an Independent.

[MplsSteve]

I agree. That is the formula for a Dem win in Virginia.

Richmond is heavily black and heavily Dem - except for parts of the west side. But the suburbs around Richmond are growing and are heavily GOP. That should easily off-set Kaine's geographical base in Richmond.

I can easily picture Kaine's campaign (in northern Va) trying to paint Kilgore as a Christian conservative/extremist. They'll want to wring as many votes out of that area as possible.