Posted on 07/14/2005 12:24:33 PM PDT by Sweetjustusnow
Paul M. Williams author of The Al-Queda Connection which is due to be released soon, provides a compilation of data based on; FBI, CIA, Vice President Cheney, Homeland Security, Attorney General Ashcroft and news sources. Makes a strong case that there are 20 suitcase nukes in the USA which have been smuggled in through the border with Mexico.
The author's explanation is that Al Qaeda does things "when they're ready," so they're obviously not yet ready.
A BS explanation, of course, but it's the only one he can come up with.
The Williams "case" isn't strong if you know the first thing about Physics (e.g. half-life of atomic elements).
Suitcase nukes are SMALLER than ordinary nukes.
The smaller the nuke, the shorter the shelf life.
The less shielding that you have, the sooner that your electronics and conventional explosives deteriorate from the radiation.
The less fissionable material that you have, the faster you generally need your atomic trigger isotopes to emit neutrons. The faster you emit neutrons, the shorter your half-life. The shorter your half-life, the less time that you have before the nuke simply fizzles instead of booms. Beryllium trigger isotopes can have as little as a 53 day half-life, for instance. Polonium 210, a Man-made isotope that can *only* be created in nuclear reactors or cyclotrons, has a 140 day half-life.
This is simple physics. Moreover, heavy metals like uranium and plutonium are among the most brittle materials known to man, and the slightest bit of humidity turns them into uranium oxide or plutonium oxide (i.e. worthless rust).
So a "suitcase nuke" from 1991 (the fall of the CCCP) is likely little more than a rusted, shattered, fragmented collection of wiring and explosives today.
They *require* a constant, highly professional level of maintenance that needs to be performed in very, very highly advanced clean room labs.
No maintenance means no "Boom."
You're the typical vigilante...why don't you just STOP that criticism! (*goes back to drinking kool aid*)
It was my understanding that the nuke itself might have a long expiration date (though not indefinite), but the triggers are relatively volatile. You might expect to keep an unarmed suitcase in-country for 5 years or so before it would have to be serviced. However, the trigger would probably be sent/smuggled in only shortly before such a device would be used. If you didn't use the trigger within a year or so, it would degrade to the point that it would no longer work.
You know something? I'm not too sure about that. I haven't been too happy with the "winning hearts and minds" and "bring to justice" way the WOT has been handled so far.
Savage is skeptical of the report. Besides that, even if it is true what difference does it make?
Oh, OK. And they're waiting for.....?
That's still ridiculous. There's no way Al Qaeda has more than a few dozen actual operatives in the US, plus a couple hundred or so sympathizers capable of logistical support (i.e. fundraising).
The WTC bombings took a decade to carry out.
I don't know about the shelf life of nukes in suitcases.
I do know that many of the sources, and the statements from them, and much of the data that he sources is compelling and that I myself have read much of the same data.
Don't shoot the messenger.
Don't confuse the maintenance and lifetime issues of "hydrogen bombs" with those of "atomic bombs". These are worlds apart.
I'm not saying there aren't any, just that they're not anything like that many. And they don't have nuclear weapons, either, or they'd have used them.
Certain countries (not to name anyone, but N. Korea, Iran,
China, and even Russia, might be on the list) might not be unhappy to see the US get hit with nukes, and then be able to pin the blame on Al Qaeda--and even help us retaliate against Al Qaeda.
So, while Al Qaeda may not be able to pull something like this off on their own, they might get help from foreign intelligence services; and THAT is a scary thought.
And Southack's post 42 has even more detail.
10,000 people cross into this country from Mexico each day; and, only 12 so far have been hostile?
Incorrect. The Russians had to steal British RDX to get their nukes to work, as RDX is one of the few conventional explosives that can survive radiation long enough to take a bomb from the lab into the field.
Electronics are fried by radiation, too...as are electric wires.
Because if it didn't happen "now" he'd look like the fool he is. "Soon" gives you wiggle room and stuff to talk about on the talk show circuit.
al Qaida's WMD Fatwa: Shaykh Nasir bin Hamid al Fahd
|
||
Until May 2003, al Qaeda did not have sufficient Islamic grounding on which to convincingly justify a WMD attack. In that month, however, a young Saudi cleric named Shaykh Nasir bin Hamid al-Fahd published "A Treatise on the Legal Status of Using Weapons of Mass Destruction Against Infidels." ... The study is lucidly written, comprehensive, and well-documented justification and authorization for using weapons of mass destruction against infidels-in this case, against the United States. ... Without Question, Shaykh al-Fahd wrote, the "Proscription [of weapons of mass destruction] Belongs to God Almighty, and to None Other Than He, such as Humans." Shaykh al-Fahd begins by describing the term "weapons of mass destruction" as an "inexact term," claiming that chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons that killed a thousand people would be called by the West "internationally banned weapons," whereas the use of "high explosive bombs weighing seven tons apiece and [that] killed three thousand or more" would be called "internationally permissible weapons." On that basis, he dismisses the WMD-armed West's treaties and regulations banning WMD proliferation as mere attempts to scare others and protect itself. "Thus it is evident," he wrote, "that [the Western nations] do not wish to protect humanity by these terms, as they assert; rather, they want to protect themselves and monopolize such weapons on the pretext of banning them internationally." ... "All these terms have no standing in Islamic law, because God Almighty has reserved judgment and legislation to Himself...This is a matter so obvious to Muslims that it needs no demonstration...In judging these weapons one looks only to the Koran, the Sunnah [i.e., the sayings and traditions of the Prophet], and the statements of Muslim scholars."
|
||
Excerpts from, Imperial Hubris , by Michael Scheuer: Pages 154-156
|
Too bad, I would hope that the terrorist would be lying there bleeding to death wondering where his arm went.
Neither am I. The consistent response since 911 and up to the London bombings has been that the "terrorists" are "extremists" only and that Islam is a "religion of peace." I don't think we'll nuke anybody.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.