"I thought you stated that you have followed the story from day one."
Yes, from day one, just like the ES case. But, unlike the ES case, I stopped following immediately after the arrest of the two (2, not 3) security guards. One look at them, and I knew they did it. I followed it for a few more days while the guards were under arrest. At that point I knew they did it. And that's my informed, educated reasoned opinion.
But, is that your last answer?