[nwctwx]

"What--if anything--can keep her from Cat 5 today?"

Eye wall replacement... that's about it.

Shear is low.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shrZ.html

And lowering:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shtZ.html

[No Blue States]

2 days ago the NHC track said Emily would pass just south of Jamacia, they were right on.