looks to be wobbling a bit more north. I don't think upper Texas coast is out of the woods yet.
468 URNT12 KNHC 161345 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 16/13:28:10Z B. 15 deg 59 min N 076 deg 52 min W C. 700 mb 2591 m D. 50 kt E. 135 deg 036 nm F. 225 deg 114 kt G. 133 deg 005 nm H. 943 mb I. 10 C/ 2855 m J. 17 C/ 3051 m K. 14 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C13 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 0705A EMILY OB 09 MAX FL WIND 148 KT NE QUAD 11:49:50 Z |
Yet, simply because the models shift south, the NHC shifts their track south....without any synoptic reasoning or anything.....just "well, the models changed, so like lemmings.....we will, too."