Emily seems kindof irradic in her path, one moment she going nw, the next west or wnw. Must be a lot of stuff going on where she is at. Just about every model I ran today, hat her hitting N. Mexico or S.Texas. So I think it is a prteety good bet she is not going to hit N.Mexico or S. Texas. LOL.
Hurricanes always wobble along, it's usually not wise to focuse on movement over a few hours.
She is not really very far south of guidance at this point.