[nwctwx]

I don't recall who was asking about Larry Cosgrove, but he just posted some brief thoughts.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=41289&view=findpost&p=475745

[shield]

Thanks...he's really not saying much...wonder if he's goin' forecast Emily???

[rwfromkansas]

Emily looks better than it did earlier.

But, look at the storms that erupt out of the left side of Emily at the beginning of this frame:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

Interesting post on this from Wright-Weather:

"There was a paper in Monthly Weather Review (Sept 2000)
on this same observed phenomena with Hurricane Luis in
1995. The following was noted:

1) a period of moderately intense wind shear and dry air
intrusion caused the eyewall convection to ingest dry
mid-level air and weaken

2) The collapsing convection produced a very stable LTO (low
level thunderstorm outflow) air mass ahead of itself

3) the convection near the center of the hurricane [Luis]
passed over this stable, low level air mass and weakened

4) once out of this region, the storm reintensified

I believe we are seeing this same process now with Emily."