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Hurricane Emily
NHC-NOAA ^ | 13 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions




TOPICS: Extended News
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; weather
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To: Flyer

WooHoo! Things are moving right along...and so is Emily.
Nice website for the new company. Your brother is very
fortunate to have you looking after him.


201 posted on 07/14/2005 1:16:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Hi NN. Just wanted to say "thanks" for starting this thread.


202 posted on 07/14/2005 1:21:40 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: Flyer

Great to hear both pieces of news!!!!!


203 posted on 07/14/2005 1:28:54 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: RGVTx

Glad to assist.


204 posted on 07/14/2005 1:31:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx; Dog Gone; mhking; Howlin
Hurricane Emily Advisory Number 16

Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on July 14, 2005

 
...Emily becomes a dangerous category three hurricane...

At 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of Jamaica has issued a
Hurricane Watch for Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours.

At 5 PM AST...the government of the Dominican Republic has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning from Punta Salinas westward to the Dominican
Republic/Haiti border. The government of Haiti has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning from the Dominican Republic/Haiti border to
Port-au-Prince.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the northern coast of
Venezuela from Pedernales westward to punto fijo...including Isla
Margarita and the offshore islands north of the coast and west of
Cumana.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba.

 
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean should
monitor the progress of Emily.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 13.3 north... longitude 65.9 west or about 445 miles...
720 km... southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.

 
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph
...33 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.

 
Maximum sustained winds continue to increase and are now near 115
mph...185 km/hr...with higher gusts. Emily is a category three
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale...the second major hurricane
of the season.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  25 miles... 35 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 115 miles...185 km.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  968 mb...28.59 inches.

 
Emily is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4
inches across portions of the Netherlands Antilles...and 3 to 6
inches over portions of Hispaniola...with possible isolated
amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.  

Repeating the 5 PM AST position...13.3 N... 65.9 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 21 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...115 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 968 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 8 PM AST followed by the next
complete advisory at 11 PM AST.

 
Forecaster Franklin

205 posted on 07/14/2005 1:42:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; bonfire; ...

Emily now Category 3 Hurricane
Winds 115mph, Pressure 968mb

She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US.

206 posted on 07/14/2005 1:44:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

She has developed quite a distinct eye over the past several hours, compared to this morning when I wasn't able to discern one from the visible satellite.


207 posted on 07/14/2005 1:51:37 PM PDT by Pyro7480 ("All my own perception of beauty both in majesty and simplicity is founded upon Our Lady." - Tolkien)
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To: NautiNurse

This is the first time I've been able to see an eye in Emily.

http://www.wunderground.com/global/Region/g3/IRSatellite.html


208 posted on 07/14/2005 1:52:07 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: Miztiki

Re will houston be effected, hard to tell at this point. So times, hurricanes just keep going west and plow into Mexico, Emily might just do that, it is not unheard of, but it is not that common, in order for that to happen the storm has to be under the influence of a huge high for weeks at a time, the high has to grow or move almost with the huricane, now it appears that is exactly what is happening wioth Emily, but if anything changes, and the weather around (galveston) here sure is changing lately then Emily will move north. I'd say it 50/50 for a upper Texas hit. But as other have noted it all depend on the High above Emily, if that holds for 4 or 5 or 6 more days, Emily goes to Mexico


209 posted on 07/14/2005 1:52:22 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: NautiNurse

I'm ready for the next hurricane not to be a "major" one.


210 posted on 07/14/2005 1:58:34 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: NautiNurse

ROTF! Ex and her husband and leaving Saturday morning for a week in Cancun!


211 posted on 07/14/2005 2:07:25 PM PDT by Rebelbase (Mexico, the 51st state.)
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To: NautiNurse

What a difference a day makes!


212 posted on 07/14/2005 2:12:26 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: NautiNurse
She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US.

well, that's good news..........for the moment.

213 posted on 07/14/2005 2:12:44 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse

Emily looks dangerous. I pray for every soul in her path.


214 posted on 07/14/2005 2:12:52 PM PDT by highimpact (Navarre, FL)
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To: RGVTx; Pyro7480; Sam Cree
That tiny pinhole eye is just about as small as it gets (10-11nm across).
Going to be interesting to watch this one for the next few days.
215 posted on 07/14/2005 2:14:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Rebelbase
Ex and her husband and leaving Saturday morning for a week in Cancun!

I'm not going near this one...

;o)

216 posted on 07/14/2005 2:15:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

My daughter is in Cancun until tuesday. I have a feeling they'll be coming home early.


217 posted on 07/14/2005 2:22:50 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: Rebelbase

:-). Risky to plan trips to the Gulf this time of year. Did they buy the "trip disruption" insurance?


218 posted on 07/14/2005 2:26:58 PM PDT by Tax-chick (No! I don't want a socialist muffin in a boat!)
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To: dc-zoo; highimpact; Gabz
Not much to compare to a Cat 3-5 July storm within 600 miles:


219 posted on 07/14/2005 2:30:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Tax-chick

I'm being mean when I shouldn't be and I really hope they have a great time. I hear there's supposed be really beautiful weather after a hurricane.


220 posted on 07/14/2005 2:35:11 PM PDT by Rebelbase (Mexico, the 51st state.)
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