Hurricane Emily

NHC-NOAA ^ | 13 July 2005 | NHC

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions

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[NautiNurse]

WooHoo! Things are moving right along...and so is Emily.
Nice website for the new company. Your brother is very
fortunate to have you looking after him.

[RGVTx]

Hi NN. Just wanted to say "thanks" for starting this thread.

[Gabz]

Great to hear both pieces of news!!!!!

[NautiNurse]

Glad to assist.

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Emily Advisory Number 16
Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on July 14, 2005

 
...Emily becomes a dangerous category three hurricane...

At 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of Jamaica has issued a
Hurricane Watch for Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours.

At 5 PM AST...the government of the Dominican Republic has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning from Punta Salinas westward to the Dominican
Republic/Haiti border. The government of Haiti has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning from the Dominican Republic/Haiti border to
Port-au-Prince.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the northern coast of
Venezuela from Pedernales westward to punto fijo...including Isla
Margarita and the offshore islands north of the coast and west of
Cumana.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba.

 
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean should
monitor the progress of Emily.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 13.3 north... longitude 65.9 west or about 445 miles...
720 km... southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.

 
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph
...33 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.

 
Maximum sustained winds continue to increase and are now near 115
mph...185 km/hr...with higher gusts. Emily is a category three
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale...the second major hurricane
of the season.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  25 miles... 35 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 115 miles...185 km.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  968 mb...28.59 inches.

 
Emily is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4
inches across portions of the Netherlands Antilles...and 3 to 6
inches over portions of Hispaniola...with possible isolated
amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.  

Repeating the 5 PM AST position...13.3 N... 65.9 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 21 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...115 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 968 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 8 PM AST followed by the next
complete advisory at 11 PM AST.

 
Forecaster Franklin

[NautiNurse]

Emily now Category 3 Hurricane
Winds 115mph, Pressure 968mb

She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US.

[Pyro7480]

She has developed quite a distinct eye over the past several hours, compared to this morning when I wasn't able to discern one from the visible satellite.

[RGVTx]

This is the first time I've been able to see an eye in Emily.

http://www.wunderground.com/global/Region/g3/IRSatellite.html

[jpsb]

Re will houston be effected, hard to tell at this point. So times, hurricanes just keep going west and plow into Mexico, Emily might just do that, it is not unheard of, but it is not that common, in order for that to happen the storm has to be under the influence of a huge high for weeks at a time, the high has to grow or move almost with the huricane, now it appears that is exactly what is happening wioth Emily, but if anything changes, and the weather around (galveston) here sure is changing lately then Emily will move north. I'd say it 50/50 for a upper Texas hit. But as other have noted it all depend on the High above Emily, if that holds for 4 or 5 or 6 more days, Emily goes to Mexico

[Sam Cree]

I'm ready for the next hurricane not to be a "major" one.

[Rebelbase]

ROTF! Ex and her husband and leaving Saturday morning for a week in Cancun!

[dc-zoo]

What a difference a day makes!

[Gabz]

She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US.

well, that's good news..........for the moment.

[highimpact]

Emily looks dangerous. I pray for every soul in her path.

[NautiNurse]

That tiny pinhole eye is just about as small as it gets (10-11nm across).
Going to be interesting to watch this one for the next few days.

[NautiNurse]

Ex and her husband and leaving Saturday morning for a week in Cancun!

I'm not going near this one...

;o)

[dc-zoo]

My daughter is in Cancun until tuesday. I have a feeling they'll be coming home early.

[Tax-chick]

:-). Risky to plan trips to the Gulf this time of year. Did they buy the "trip disruption" insurance?

[NautiNurse]

Not much to compare to a Cat 3-5 July storm within 600 miles:

[Rebelbase]

I'm being mean when I shouldn't be and I really hope they have a great time. I hear there's supposed be really beautiful weather after a hurricane.