Posted on 07/09/2005 4:29:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse
thanks.
WTNT44 KNHC 092301 TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 WHAT A DIFFERENCE 2 HOURS MAKES! AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF DENNIS DROPPED 11 MB IN AN HOUR AND A HALF. THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS REPORTED N OF THE CENTER WERE 105 KT...AND THERE WERE LIKELY STRONGER WINDS IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT THAT THE AIRCRAFT DID NOT SAMPLE. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPGRADES DENNIS TO A 100 KT CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE BASED ON THE AIRCRAFT DATA. THE TRACK FORECAST IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT IS UNCLEAR HOW LONG THE CURRENT INTENSIFICATION WILL CONTINUE...BUT THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS REVISED TO SHOW 12 HR OF RAPID STRENGTHENING FOLLOWED BY SLOWER STRENGTHENING UNTIL LANDFALL. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST BRINGS DENNIS ASHORE AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE. AFTER-LANDFALL INTENSITIES WERE ALSO INCREASED THROUGH 72 HR TO REFLECT THE INCREASED LANDFALL INTENSITY. THE NEW PACKAGE ALSO INCLUDES SLIGHT REVISIONS TO THE WIND RADII AND 12 FT SEAS RADII. FORECASTER BEVEN
Bump for when I get back.
mc
I agree. It's hard to imagine a case in which New Orleans will get enough of a guarantee to force it into action. Know what I mean?
Me too! Now, I need to make a thermos of coffee, and feed the cats--and not necessarily in that order after looking over at the cats...
I'm fortunate...I'm not in his path. ;o)
Ha!--I put that link in the first post of the thread. Love that loop.
Okay, I'm paranoid, but I was just looking at this link and it almost looks like the eye jogs back to the east in the last frame.
Do I need glasses, LOL?
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/atlantic/visirjava2.html
We are in Vinings (NW Atlanta, close in, inside 285). Very very heavy rain here, some wind, lots of lightning fairly close (within a mile) but no direct hits thank the Lord. The rain is letting up now, the creek is subsiding (it was out of its banks and backed up behind the culvert).
Looks like we're going to be just on the periphery, plenty of water but not a lot of high wind except in squalls.
All the more reason to get upstairs and make hot coffee now.
Probably just a wobble. Hurricanes do not travel in a straight line -- they wobble back and forth along the track they are on.
Vis a vis the new 7pm NHC update calling for Cat4 at landfall, the graph I posted in #28 is now out-of-date (was based on Cat3 landfall), so probably wise to go ahead and pull it...Sorry about that. Thanks.
seems to be turning north now......
We'll leave it up to you all to ping us if you need a link removed. We can't edit replies, only remove the entire reply
I'm riding the storm out here in Destin, FL. about 60 miles east of projected landfall. If your interested in current conditions here, I'll be online for as long as the power is on. It's gonna be a great ride and I'm glad your NOT here as that is one of the few silver linings to Dennis' clouds. Personally, it's extremly nice getting a reprieve from the whiney, traffic clogging, and demanding tourists during the peak of tourist season. But, the main reason I'm still here is that there is nothing like feeling the hand and breath of God himself. It ain't Dennis'
Bump!
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