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short while ago, Mark Pryor of Arkansas, one of the Dem signatories, made a speech in the Senate about the agreement. He said it was based upon mutual trust; they had all looked into each other's eyes during the negotiations ( there's a weird image for ya) they each knew individually what "extraordinary circumstances" meant, and..( here's the important point) Pryor said that "...in his opinion, the agreement means that the nuclear option is off the table..."

Now why would he say this, just before the weekend? He's the first Dem compromiser to make a statement like this.

Only one possible reason comes to mind. He's been told that the Dems are going to filabuster, to force the GOP to use the nuclear option. The Dems are going to try to run on the GOP being unfair to the minority, changing the rules, and they will try and gum up the Senate..Pryor was trying, feebly, to stake out his position in advance.

Even though the hearing will be long and arduous, it's important to remember that marking out the territory early will be important.

Rehnquist, and/or O'Connor will retire, and the next day Bush will announce his nominee. Look for all 55 GOP senators to say that of course they'll wait to see what happens in the hearings, but they fully expect to support and vote for the nominee. The usual. Which means that the Dem will have to counter the public perception of approval, that it's a done deal; by announcing that the nominee is the worst possible thing ever that W could have done.

The hearings then become kabuki theater, and it's a question of how long Specter lets them run, and then how long Frist lets the circus go in the Senate before asking for cloture, whiuch will fail.

The rules change will then be invoked, with Graham and DeWine initiating it, in an attempt to gain some degree of expiation with the GOP base. So look for all the other GOP signers, including McCain, to support Frist. So the Dems will want a solid party line in opposition.

They will attempt to make the case NOT about the merits of the nominee, rather about how "bad and unfair the GOP is."

Pryor's comments today have made than crystal clear. Gonna be a fun summer for us political junkies......

1 posted on 06/24/2005 11:26:15 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: OXENinFLA

FYI


2 posted on 06/24/2005 11:26:35 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050; NormsRevenge; Grampa Dave; Howlin; Brad's Gramma; onyx; Mo1

Oh BOY!


6 posted on 06/24/2005 11:31:46 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: ken5050
I hope you're right, Ken. But I have a bad feeling McCain and his toady Graham will let Frist twist in the wind a while longer.
7 posted on 06/24/2005 11:36:02 AM PDT by colorado tanker (The People Have Spoken)
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To: ken5050
Here's my latest email to sinatraitor gRaham.:

If I remember correctly you said that if the Dems filibustered, the nuclear option was back on the table, and you would support it. Sen Mark Pryor of Arkansas said that "...in his opinion, the agreement means that the nuclear option is off the table..." Senator Graham, were you lying about the agreement, or is he lying about the agreemen? If you are lying, well I'm not surprised. If Sen Pryor is lying, you made an agreement with someone who couldn't be trusted. In either case you have done a very poor job of representing the people of SC. Maybe though you are trying to represent the liberals of NY, or trying to curry favor with the perky Katie Couric. You have time to speak with her, but not repond to your constituents. And now I see you are backtracking on your support of the war on terror. If you thinkpublic support is waning then get out there and make the case why it is necessary. Of course public opinion of your constituents didn't matter when it came to selling out the president and the country on judicial nominees. I'll never forget.

12 posted on 06/24/2005 11:39:08 AM PDT by feedback doctor (If you won't love the least of people, then you can't love any people)
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To: ken5050

Ick. All that's missing is the soft-focus camera.


21 posted on 06/24/2005 11:47:43 AM PDT by Doohickey (The more cynical you become / the better off you'll be)
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To: ken5050
Interesting speculation. We will see if someone resigns. No great shakes if Rhenquist goes, even if the constitutional option is taken.

Now, if O'Connor also goes, that would be interesting, provided Bush nominates someone who can read to take her place.

22 posted on 06/24/2005 11:48:09 AM PDT by stevem
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To: ken5050

FREEPER BUMP!!


24 posted on 06/24/2005 12:00:10 PM PDT by conservativecorner
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To: ken5050

Perhaps Dubya nominates Brown, Pryor, Owens (in that order)-
they have already been defined as "non-extraordinary".

This issue would be moot, don't you think.


27 posted on 06/24/2005 12:19:20 PM PDT by sirthomasthemore (I go to my execution as the King's humble servant, but God's first!)
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To: ken5050

Thanks for noticing this Ken. Of course since this agreement is all in the minds of the signees, the Constitutional option is on the table as soon as two GOP signatories go along IF the other 48 GOP Senators are willing. I guess we don't know about some nonsignatories?


32 posted on 06/26/2005 1:19:54 AM PDT by JLS
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