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The Folly of Our Age. The space shuttle.
National Review Online ^ | today | John Derbyshire

Posted on 06/16/2005 6:28:37 AM PDT by Rodney King

Like the monster in some ghastly horror movie rising from the dead for the umpteenth time, the space shuttle is back on the launch pad. This grotesque, lethal white elephant — 14 deaths in 113 flights — is the grandest, grossest technological folly of our age. If the shuttle has any reason for existing, it is as an exceptionally clear symbol of our corrupt, sentimental, and dysfunctional political system. Its flights accomplish nothing and cost half a billion per. That, at least, is what a flight costs when the vehicle survives. If a shuttle blows up — which, depending on whether or not you think that 35 human lives (five original launchworthy Shuttles at seven astronauts each) would be too high a price to pay for ridding the nation of an embarrassing and expensive monstrosity, is either too often or not often enough** — then the cost, what with lost inventory, insurance payouts, and the endless subsequent investigations, is seven or eight times that.

There is no longer much pretense that shuttle flights in particular, or manned space flight in general, has any practical value. You will still occasionally hear people repeating the old NASA lines about the joys of microgravity manufacturing and insights into osteoporesis, but if you repeat these tales to a materials scientist or a physiologist, you will get peals of laughter in return. To seek a cure for osteoporesis by spending $500 million to put seven persons and 2,000 tons of equipment into earth orbit is a bit like… well, it is so extravagantly preposterous that any simile you can come up with falls flat. It is like nothing else in the annals of human folly.

Having no practical justification for squirting so much of the nation’s wealth up into the stratosphere, our politicians — those (let us charitably assume there are some) with no financial or electoral interest in the big contractor corporations who feed off the shuttle — fall back on romantic appeals to Mankind’s Destiny. Thus President Bush, addressing the nation after the Columbia tragedy two years ago:

These men and women assumed great risk in this service to all humanity. In an age when space flight has come to seem almost routine, it is easy to overlook the dangers of travel by rocket and the difficulties of navigating the fierce outer atmosphere of the earth.

These astronauts knew the dangers, and they faced them willingly, knowing they had a high and noble purpose in life. Because of their courage and daring and idealism, we will miss them all the more.

The cause in which they died will continue. Mankind is led into the darkness beyond our world by the inspiration of discovery and the longing to understand. Our journey into space will go on.

Anyone who finds it “easy to overlook the dangers of travel by rocket” just hasn’t been following the shuttle program very attentively. One astronaut death per eight flights!

The rest of the president’s address on that occasion was, to be blunt about it, insulting to the memories of the astronauts who died, and still more insulting to their grieving spouses, children, parents, and friends. If these astronauts believed that “they had a high and noble purpose in life,” they were mistaken, and someone should have set them straight on the point.

Please note that “if.” The motivation of shuttle astronauts would, I suspect, make a very interesting study for some skillful psychologist. Here is Ken Bowersox, one of the astronauts who was actually on board the International Space Station (steady now, Derb, husband your wrath) when Columbia blew up. He is writing in the June 2005 issue of Popular Mechanics, putting the “pro” case in a debate on the continuation of the Shuttle program, versus former NASA historian Alex Roland arguing the “con.” Bowersox:

I’ve wanted to be in space from the time I was listening to the radio and heard about John Glenn circling the earth. Columbia was the klind of blow that could have made me walk away from it. As astronauts, though, we wouldn’t have been on the space station if we didn’t believe in the program. Even after losing our friends and our ride home, we still believed that exploration was important.

Far be it from me to pull rank on Astronaut Bowersox, but I’ve wanted to be in space for somewhat longer than that — since seeing those wonderful pictures by Chesley Bonestell in The Conquest of Space, circa 1952, or possibly after being taken to the movie Destination Moon at around the same time. The imaginative appeal of space travel is irresistible. I don’t think I could resist it, anyway. Even with two young kids who need me, and a wife who (I feel fairly sure) would miss me, I would still, if given the opportunity to go into space tomorrow, be on the next flight to Cape Canaveral. As Prof. Roland says in that Popular Mechanics exchange: “The real reason behind sending astronauts to Mars is that it’s thrilling and exciting.” Absolutely correct. The danger? Heck, we all have to go sometime. As President Bush said, I am sure quite truly: “These astronauts knew the dangers, and they faced them willingly…” It’s the president’s next clause I have trouble with: “…knowing they had a high and noble purpose in life.”

Did they really know that? My experience of pointless make-work, which is much more extensive than I would have wished when starting out in life, is that people engaged in it know they are engaged in it. Whether they mind or not depends on the rewards. For a thousand bucks an hour, I’d do make-work all day long — aye, and all night too! Astronaut salaries don’t rise to anything like that level, of course; but there are rewards other than the merely financial. I hope no one will take it amiss — I am very sorry for the astronauts who have died in the shuttle program, and for their loved ones — if I quietly speculate on whether, being engaged in such a supremely thrilling and glamorous style of make-work, one might not easily be able to convince oneself to, as Astronaut Bowersox says, “believe in the program.”

None of which is any reason why the rest of us should believe in it, let alone pay for it. There is nothing — nothing, no thing, not one darned cotton-picking thing you can name — of either military, or commercial, or scientific, or national importance to be done in space, that could not be done twenty times better and at one thousandth the cost, by machines rather than human beings. Mining the asteroids? Isaac Asimov famously claimed that the isotope Astatine-215 (I think it was) is so rare that if you were to sift through the entire crust of the earth, you would only find a trillion atoms of it. We could extract every one of that trillion, and make a brooch out of them, for one-tenth the cost of mining an asteroid.

The gross glutted wealth of the federal government; the venality and stupidity of our representatives; the lobbying power of big rent-seeking corporations; the romantic enthusiasms of millions of citizens; these are the things that 14 astronauts died for. To abandon all euphemism and pretense, they died for pork, for votes, for share prices, and for thrills (immediate in their own case, vicarious in ours). I mean no insult to their memories, and I doubt they would take offense. I am certain that I myself would not — certain, in fact, that, given the opportunity, I would gleefully do what they did, with all the dangers, and count the death, if it came, as anyway no worse than moldering away in some hospital bed at age ninety, watching a TV game show, with a tube in my arm and a diaper round my rear end. I should be embarrassed to ask the rest of you to pay for the adventure, though.

** There are actually reasons to think we may have been lucky so far. News item: “Steve Poulos, manager of the Orbiter Projects Office at Johnson Space Center in Houston, acknowledges there is ‘a debate’ inside the agency about the threat posed by space debris. One school of thought is that a fatal debris strike is ‘probable,’ Poulos said. But he said others think such an event is likely to be ‘infrequent’." Uh-huh.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: derbyshire; folly; nasa; space; spaceshuttle
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To: Rodney King
So, you think you will get a tax cut if they get rid of the shuttle?

No way!

They'll just give more of your money to single mothers!

The only thing that would be better than the shuttle is if they just launched money into space instead of giving to single mothers.

161 posted on 06/23/2005 10:52:23 AM PDT by Cogadh na Sith (Steel Bonnets Over the Border)
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To: Rodney King
Having no practical justification for squirting so much of the nation’s wealth up into the stratosphere, our politicians — those (let us charitably assume there are some) with no financial or electoral interest in the big contractor corporations who feed off the shuttle — fall back on romantic appeals to Mankind’s Destiny.

When China has the ability to drop nuclear bombs on us from their moonbase, the author may re-assess his position.

Space development has always been about defence. Everything else is just gravy.

162 posted on 06/23/2005 10:58:27 AM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: from occupied ga

He's now a baron and lives in a castle, collecting the landrents from the villagers around him -- iirc. Europe. Lives down the road from the Ikea guys (again iirc).


163 posted on 06/23/2005 11:02:23 AM PDT by bvw
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
Space development has always been about defence. Everything else is just gravy.

I see nothing to back that up. Instead of building a space station for ourselves and modern spacecraft and or moom/bases, we focus on the "international space station" and support the notion that a nation can't claim land in space. With the exception of launching spy satellites, the shuttle missions are not doing anything to boost national defense. Instead of testing lasers, etc. they bring little ant farms up into space.

164 posted on 06/23/2005 11:03:57 AM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King
That would include space weapons capability

Couldn't the space shuttle use the arm to send an enemy satellite off course or attach some kind of mini-booster that could propel the satellite further into space? Even if we had that capibility do you think DOD would admit it?

165 posted on 06/23/2005 11:08:33 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Rodney King

The research in space is maddeningly circular, also. "We are studying the problem of bone loss in space so we can prevent bone loss in space" etc. The "growing crystals in space to produce purer medicines etc." is widely considered to be a fraud. The only application of manned space flight that seems even potentially economically viable is space tourism. Maybe once space tourism gets going other applications will follow. Rutan has the right idea. NASA doesn't.


166 posted on 06/23/2005 11:12:17 AM PDT by eartotheground (now that someone has read the autopsy report, perhaps the MSM will change their stories? NAAH)
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To: Semper Paratus
WRT 12 the cheapest way to get a lot of stuff into space was the Saturn V system that was scuttled by the government and NASA after there was much enlightenment in media that Germans, possibly Nazis, were the engineering force behind the Moon missions, which was correct BTW.

The Saturn however was not the best way to get stuff back from space. The Air Force needed research into solid rocket boosters for the MX so that was part of the plan with NASA. Newly developed C-C materials for re-entry purposes was part of the development plan as well. They were piggy-backed and worked out.

Overall, what I regret, is that about a generation and a half of talent was not mentored on manned space technology as the shuttle has been the system that has required so much money to maintain and fly over the years. The loss is the thousands of technical people who have done other things than work on space technology and the generations of others that will not have the chance, if the shuttle flies again.
167 posted on 06/23/2005 11:15:00 AM PDT by Final Authority
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To: Rodney King

Digital technology and the internet are the most famous lagecies of the space program. Before the space program, cameras weighed over 400 pounds.

The space program began as a response to Sputnik. Then accelerated over who would have the first man in space. Then who would be the first to walk on the moon.

I agree that there is a lot not to like about the Shuttle.


168 posted on 06/23/2005 11:49:28 AM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
Digital technology and the internet are the most famous lagecies of the space program. Before the space program, cameras weighed over 400 pounds.

The internet? Are you serious? Give me a break. The internet had nothing to do with the space program. Are you also seriously suggesting that if not for the space program we would have no digital technology?

169 posted on 06/23/2005 12:11:00 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King
Yes I am. The internet would still be 50 to 100 years in the future without the space program.

Here's a site that summarizes some of the spinoffs of the space program.

170 posted on 06/23/2005 1:37:24 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
The internet would still be 50 to 100 years in the future without the space program.

That's one of the most laughable things that I have ever read on this site.

171 posted on 06/23/2005 1:40:23 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King

You also don't know that the internet uses digital technology.


172 posted on 06/23/2005 1:45:52 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
You also don't know that the internet uses digital technology.

Right, and without NASA there never would have been digitial technology. Sure.

173 posted on 06/23/2005 1:59:20 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King

So now you're going to explain how vacuum tube network servers and routers work?


174 posted on 06/23/2005 2:02:28 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
So now you're going to explain how vacuum tube network servers and routers work?

You are falling victim to the idea that technology developed for a specific need, and later adapted to another need, would not have been developed by the people with the second need if it was never developed by the first need. That is just silly. If we never went into space, we would still have vaccum tube network servers and routers.

175 posted on 06/23/2005 2:06:25 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King
I give up. Maybe this will help.
176 posted on 06/23/2005 2:10:59 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: NautiNurse
"Columbus did not find the riches, spices, nor the faster route to the Far East upon which the Spanish rulers had banked. He found hot chili peppers"

He only found the other half of the world.

177 posted on 06/23/2005 2:17:48 PM PDT by StormEye
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To: <1/1,000,000th%

I give up to. I don't know what you are trying to show me... that's not the point. My point is that technologies like the internet would have been inventeted regardless.


178 posted on 06/23/2005 2:19:07 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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