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Avian Flu Surveillance Project
Various ^ | May 9, 2005 | Vanity

Posted on 05/09/2005 10:18:08 AM PDT by Dog Gone

Some folks suggested that we begin a thread similar to the Marsburg Surveillance Project for monitoring developments regarding Avian Flu.

The purpose is to have an extended thread where those interested can post articles and comments as this story unfolds.

If we're lucky, the story and this thread will fade away.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ah5n1genotypez; avian; avianflu; avianflubirdflu; avianinfluenza; bird; birdflu; flu; h5n1; h5n1project; outbreak; reassortment; spanishflu; theskyisfalling
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To: hummingbird; dd5339; teawithmisswilliams; DrGunsforHands; Judith Anne; 2ndreconmarine; ...

Vaccines are useless against this virus
By Jeremy Laurance, Health Editor
Published: 14 October 2005

http://news.independent.co.uk/world/science_technology/article319539.ece

There is no vaccine available against bird flu. Existing vaccines are unlikely to be effective against the new strain.

Researchers are working to develop a vaccine targeted at the H5N1 strain but even if it is successful, to manufacture sufficient quantities to protect the world's population from a pandemic will take years. A generic H5N1 vaccine would not prevent infection but it might lessen its severity and save lives. Countries including the UK are relying on the anti-viral drug Tamiflu...

...There is a worldwide shortage of Tamiflu because the raw materials from which it is made are scarce and the manufacturing process is slow and complex. (excerpt)


1,781 posted on 10/14/2005 4:20:24 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: EBH
Bird Flu Travel Health Warning For Turkey
1,782 posted on 10/14/2005 4:38:02 AM PDT by blam
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To: EBH
Doggie owner alert:

Flu From Horses Racing Among Dogs

It's always something.

1,783 posted on 10/14/2005 4:41:20 AM PDT by blam
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To: EBH

Not really accurate: universities here have been developing and testing new vaccines, and some are ready for immediate production.


1,784 posted on 10/14/2005 4:53:51 AM PDT by genefromjersey (So much to flame;so little time !)
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To: Domestic Church
One, not that big of a deal.

Dozens laying all around, call the game and parks people. What I have told my friends is if they see a bunch of sick and dying geese to call the warden immediately.
1,785 posted on 10/14/2005 5:06:53 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: Dog Gone
The experts are clearly worried more today than when this thread was started.

The chances of this not jumping to people is pretty small. The kicker is what will happen when/if it does. If the virus becomes less deadly, then we may not really notice it.

1,786 posted on 10/14/2005 5:09:37 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: genefromjersey

It's interesting to read both assertions at this point. Our gov.t is ordering and stockpiling a vaccine, which one? Will it still be effective if and when H5 makes the final jump to H2H transmission? Or are we really just hedging a bet at this point?

It wouldn't be the first time the flu vaccine created for the year would be the wrong type, science getting the predicted mutation wrong. As far as I've read so far regarding the mystery vaccine is it is experimental, may not be properly tested due to need during a pandemic, and liablity is looking to be waived by the government. And production capacity will be far below being able to meet the predicted need.

They vaccinated over 100,000 people in Romania this week. Vaccinated them with what? If H5 isn't going H2H, why did the people get vaccinated? The article posted said there is no vaccine...?

Let's just say the lines are blurred at the present moment and the information that has come out this past week is blurring them even more. The experts are no longer talking with a unified voice, MSM is glossing over facts, and the government is being selective. I don't find that troublesome as we've worked very hard to stay on top of the development of avian flu here on FR. In fact I think that the developing blurring of information is predictable and should be anticipated. Countries are a lot less prepared than what is being admitted.


1,787 posted on 10/14/2005 5:14:48 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: EBH; All

Daily Bird Flu News Updates:

Be sure to visit the Poultry Site to read the articles in full! http://www.thepoultrysite.com/LatestNews/?AREA=LatestNews&Display=6187

Reuters - 14th October 2005
European bird flu experts hold crisis talks
BRUSSELS - European bird flu experts are to hold an emergency meeting on Friday, a day after health officials confirmed what many had long feared was inevitable -- the spread of the deadly H5N1 strain from Asia to Europe.



Bloomberg - 14th October 2005
Global Effort to Stem Bird Flu May Thwart Pandemic (Update3)
A global effort to stem the spread of the deadly bird flu virus may help prevent an influenza pandemic, the World Health Organization said.


Politics - 14th October 2005
Georgia Bans Poultry Imports from Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey
Georgia has banned the imports of poultry and all sub products from Romania, Bulgaria, Russia and Turkey.


Euractive - 14th October 2005
Bird flu - Commission recommends reinforced preventive measures
EU - The Commission recommends member states to stockpile anti-viral drugs and take reinforced preventive measures to prepare themselves thoroughly for a possible outbreak of bird flu in Europe.


The Times - 14th October 2005
Avian flu: The questions and answers
UK - How worried should public health officials be about the HN51 virus coming so close to the European Union?
The EU health commissioner is recommending seasonal flu jabs. Is there enough vaccine to go around and what protection against mutated avian flu would it offer?


NFU- 14th October 2005
Vigilance urged in wake of confirmation of AI in Turkey
UK - Increased vigilance has been urged by the NFU following a confirmed outbreak of the H5N1 strain of Avian Influenza (AI) in Turkey today (October 13, 2005).


Reuters - 14th October 2005
WHO says southeast Asia needs $260 mln to fight bird flu
MANILA - The World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Friday the international community needed to raise about $260 million in the short term to fight the deadly bird flu virus in Southeast Asia.


TRIBUNE-REVIEW - 14th October 2005
State readies for possible avian flu outbreak
US - Pennsylvania received nearly $500,000 in federal money this year for the state's Animal Diagnostic Laboratory System to test for avian influenza, including the lethal Asian strain that now has infected birds in Romania and western Turkey.


News Room Finland - 14th October 2005
Turkish H5N1 bird flu discovery does not increase risk in Finland -Ministry
FINLAND - Finland's Ministry of Social Affairs and Health told the Finnish News Agency (STT) that the identification of the H5N1 strain of avian influenza, which is capable of making the jump to humans, in Turkish poultry did not increase the risk level in Finland.


Hankooki - 14th October 2005
Anti-Bird Flu Drive to Continue Till Feb.
KOREA - The government, issuing a bird flu alert throughout the country, said Friday that it will continue an anti-bird flu campaign through February next year.


Taiwan Headlines - 14th October 2005
Taiwan building up stockpiles of avian flu drug
TAIWAN - Taiwan is building up stockpiles of Tamiflu, the antiviral avian flu drug, and aims to have enough to treat 4 percent of its citizens by mid-2006, a senior health official said on Thursday.


1,788 posted on 10/14/2005 5:42:56 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: genefromjersey
If vaccines are in short supply, how should the prioritisation work?

There should be enough seasonal vaccine for the at-risk groups in the UK. There is no practical vaccine yet for avian flu. If and when there is, the Government has ordered 2.6 million doses. Priority recipients include health service workers, Sourced: The TimesOnline

1,789 posted on 10/14/2005 5:51:14 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: EBH

posted elsewhere by Mother Abigail:

To: All

Turkey sits at major crossroads for migratory birds


Turkey, hit by an outbreak of the deadly H5N1 strain of avian influenza suspected to have been caused by migratory birds, is crossed by three major routes the wild birds use to travel to warmer climes.

Each year in the autumn around half a million migratory birds take these "highways" to fly from northern Europe to Africa and the Middle East, according to statistics from Aegean University.

The largest route is that from central Europe to the Balkans and from there to northwestern Turkey and across the Marmara Sea and Bosphoros strait at Istanbul that separates the continents of Europe and Asia. From there the birds head towards the eastern Mediterranean and then the Nile river in Egypt.

Each year, tens of thousands of storks, cormorants, eagles, buzzards, kites, ducks, geese and other birds cross from Asia to Europe through Turkey along this route.

It was along this route the deadly virus was detected in poultry in a backyard farm near the southern coast of the Marmara Sea that links the Mediterranean and Black seas.

Another route goes from the Caucasus through across Turkey and from there to the Arabian peninsula to central Africa.

The third "highway" begins in Ukraine and passes through Georgia, the plains of western Anatolia in Turkey and then to Egypt. It is particularly used by quails which leave their nesting sites to spend the winter in Africa.

Turkey has dozens of sites where migratory birds gather. The best known of these are at Meric, in the northwest of the country, in Kizilirmak in the west, Goksu in the south and Kulu in the centre.
Tourist authorities are keen to promote bird-watching in Turkey, where around 450 species have been registered.

In a bid to encourage ornithologists to visit the country, bird-watching centers have been set up, notably in Manyas, site of a large nature park well-known for its wildlife and where authorities suspect the bird flu virus arrived in the country.

Test results released Thursday confirmed that an outbreak of bird flu in the northwestern village of Kiziksa last week, suspected to have been caused by migratory birds, was the H5N1 strain of the virus that has killed more than 60 people in Asia.

72 posted on 10/14/2005 8:48:01 AM EDT by Mother Abigail
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

EU bird flu experts hold crisis talks

Fri Oct 14, 2005 7:54 AM ET

By Aine Gallagher

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - EU experts held crisis talks on the spread of bird flu on Friday, a day after health officials confirmed what many had long feared -- the arrival of the deadly H5N1 strain on Europe's doorstep.

The spread of the disease from Asia was a "troubling sign", U.S. Health Secretary Mike Leavitt said, and the world must work harder to prepare for a potential flu pandemic among humans.

Turkey has bird flu in its poultry but Romania must now wait another 24 hours because of a customs delay to find out if it also has the virulent H5N1 strain.

The European Commission said the Brussels meeting would run from 0830 GMT to 1830 GMT and examine the risk that migratory birds might pose for the 25-nation European Union.

"The experts' groups will then issue recommendations on the potential risk for humans in contact with such birds," it said in a statement.

The World Health Organization in Geneva sought to calm fears, saying evidence showed that H5N1 does not spread easily from birds to humans.

"All attempts to bring it under control in Southeast Asia have failed," said Shigeru Omi, the WHO's director in the Western
Pacific region.

U.S. Health Secretary Leavitt, who is visiting bird flu-hit countries in Southeast Asia, said in Hanoi: "H5N1 is mostly an animal disease today. To stop it from spreading to humans, we have to stop it in birds."

To calm the public, the Turkish and French prime ministers made a point of eating chicken.

But the threat has caused consternation in Europe even though people do not live in close contact with poultry at their homes, as in Asia, where dozens have died from the virus.
One Asian victim consumed raw duck's blood, a delicacy not popular with Europeans.

No human cases of the disease have been reported in Europe and the major threat of a human pandemic is still in Asia, experts believe.
Bird flu has killed more than 60 people in Asia since 2003.

"From a public health point of view, I think what is happening in southeast Asia is much more serious than what would be happening in Europe ... ," said Albert Osterhaus, a top virologist at Erasmus Medical Center in the Netherlands.

MASKS AND VACCINES

But European poultry producers, whose industry is worth billions of dollars, took immediate steps to protect their flocks and their staff, while members of the public scrambled to buy face masks and flu vaccines.

In Hungary, poultry sales fell.
"We keep saying that these chickens didn't catch the flu, we spend all day doing that. But even if people turn up, they just complain and don't buy," said Iren Kirilla, a butcher at Budapest's main market.

There were signs of alarm in Serbia, where people were reported to have bought 20,000 face-masks in two days, while Belgrade pharmacies sold out of the anti-viral drug Tamiflu.

In Germany, media reported that surgeries were being inundated with people seeking vaccination against normal strains of flu, and a surge in demand for anti-viral drugs.

Poland also reported demand for flu jabs was rising.

Romania is on tenterhooks after having sent bird flu samples to Britain for testing to determine whether the virus found in three ducks in the Danube Delta last week was H5N1.

The samples were supposed to arrive on Thursday but got delayed by customs as they were dangerous material.

The EU Commission confirmed on Thursday that a bird flu outbreak in Turkey was indeed H5N1 and that Europe should prepare for a pandemic.

H5N1 is considered the biggest direct disease threat to humanity. Experts estimate that, if it acquires the ability to spread easily from person to person, it will make more than 25 million people seriously ill and kill as many as 7 million.

European countries tightened border controls on poultry and poultry products but fear the real threat may come from the skies as returning migratory birds bring the virus home.

Avian flu is transmitted to humans only if they eat or live in close contact with infected birds. But scientists say H5N1 is mutating toward a form that could pass between humans.

Migratory birds are a natural reservoir of avian influenza viruses and do not usually become sick when infected. Domestic poultry die quickly when infected.se This Window

71 posted on 10/14/2005 8:33:04 AM EDT by Mother Abigail


1,790 posted on 10/14/2005 6:00:57 AM PDT by bitt (THE PRESIDENT: "Ask the pollsters. My job is to lead and to solve problems. ")
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Comment #1,791 Removed by Moderator

To: Judith Anne; 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; rejoicing; Rushmore Rocks; ...

daily update ping

on or off, FRmail Judith Anne, Dog Gone, or bitt

All Posters...keep them coming!

EBH, terrific work.


1,792 posted on 10/14/2005 6:06:05 AM PDT by bitt (THE PRESIDENT: "Ask the pollsters. My job is to lead and to solve problems. ")
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To: EBH; genefromjersey



No influenza A (H5) vaccines are currently commercially available for humans.

Earlier H5 vaccines were poorly immunogenic and required two doses of high hemagglutinin antigen content or the addition of MF59 adjuvant to generate neutralizing antibody responses.

A third injection of adjuvanted 1997 H5 vaccine variably induced cross-reacting antibodies to human isolates from 2004.

Reverse genetics has been used for the rapid generation of nonvirulent vaccine viruses from recent influenza A (H5) isolates, and several candidate vaccines are under study.

One such inactivated vaccine with the use of a human H5N1 isolate from 2004 has been reported to be immunogenic at high hemagglutinin doses.

Live attenuated, cold-adapted intranasal vaccines are also under development. These are protective against human influenza after a single dose in young children.

MA


1,793 posted on 10/14/2005 6:06:28 AM PDT by Mother Abigail
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To: bitt

Thanks for all the good information everyone. It is greatly appreciated.

Any clue where I could get answers to these questions?

What is the life of the H virus? (As on surfaces or droplet).

Is the virus able to contaminate if dried and then re-hydrated?


1,794 posted on 10/14/2005 6:12:32 AM PDT by alarm rider (Irritating leftists as often as is humanly possible....)
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To: EBH; genefromjersey
Well maybe yes...

This article seems to suggest that the vaccine is under commercial development,

http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=mg18825215.900

but then goes on to say

Commercial considerations are also getting in the way. Companies have not yet worked out how to share patented techniques for making the vaccines, and are reluctant to start human trials on vaccines that have no guaranteed market. "If we have purchase guarantees from governments, that changes things," says Bram Palache of the Belgian-based vaccine maker Solvay.

The US, UK and France, among others, have placed such orders in the past few months, which is why trials are now starting, But the constraints on vaccine production mean these orders may never be fulfilled.

I was under the impression that human trials are underway, but that commercial development was not.

I don't know now...

MA
1,795 posted on 10/14/2005 6:30:52 AM PDT by Mother Abigail
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To: Mother Abigail
And even that is likely to be wildly optimistic. "This virus has done a number on us," says Robert Webster of St Jude Children's Research Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee. In August, human trials of the hybrid vaccine showed that each person would require two 90-ìg doses. That equates to enough vaccine worldwide for 75 million people, or around one quarter the US population

As far as I am aware this is the same vaccine we discussed some months ago! This is the one Bush wants stocked...months ago on this very thread we discussed the efficacy of this vaccine and we weren't convinced of it being a viable option. Only 25% of the US population would be able to be vaccinated. There simply won't be enough for the rest of us, let alone the world.

1,796 posted on 10/14/2005 7:20:09 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: Mother Abigail

"No influenza A (H5) vaccines are currently commercially available for humans."

Getting the current vaccine will still help in any possible differential diagnosis if/when this avian flu really hits.


1,797 posted on 10/14/2005 7:23:05 AM PDT by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: EBH
Yes, a vaccine has been under development for over a year. But with severe limitations (see my earlier post)

However I am uncertain if "commercial production" is underway.

Please help clear up this point if you have current information.

MA
1,798 posted on 10/14/2005 7:44:52 AM PDT by Mother Abigail
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To: Mother Abigail

ROME Oct 11, 2005 — U.N. officials said Tuesday they are exploring ways to step up the production of a vaccine in case bird flu mutates and sparks a human flu pandemic.

David Nabarro, the U.N. coordinator for avian and human influenza, said it will take six months to build up a stockpile of vaccines, but health authorities are worried that amount of time might be too long if a pandemic flu strain emerges.

"We will need to have vaccines much more quickly than six months," Nabarro said, adding that the World Health Organization and governments are exploring how to "pull together vaccine manufacturers" to see if it can be done more quickly...

...Last week, U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Mike Leavitt said "no one in the world is ready" for a catastrophic outbreak of bird flu and President Bush summoned vaccine manufacturers to the White House to discuss the situation...

... Assuming a limited supply of vaccines is available, authorities would have to ration who receives them, with those on the front lines of combatting any pandemic likely to get the priority. ...

http://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory?id=1204538



Friday, October 7, 2005; 10:54 PM

WASHINGTON -- As delegations from around the globe discussed how to limit the threat of a bird flu pandemic, President Bush talked with drug company executives on Friday about what it would take to speed up production of a vaccine.

***Leavitt said the government's goal is to increase capacity for annual flu vaccines to the point that companies could make a rapid transition to a pandemic flu vaccine if necessary.

Executives were concerned about greater protection from litigation. If healthy people suffer side effects from a vaccine, manufacturers can face huge lawsuits, Leavitt said.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/10/07/AR2005100700166.html





...


1,799 posted on 10/14/2005 8:04:28 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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To: Mother Abigail

Avian Flu Threat Prompts Nanobiotech Firms To Step Up Vaccine, Detection Device Development
http://www.rednova.com/news/health/269485/avian_flu_threat_prompts_nanobiotech_firms_to_step_up_vaccine/index.html?source=r_health

ATLANTA, Oct. 12 /PRNewswire/ -- Nanobiotechnology companies are developing a vaccine that could prevent and treat Avian influenza infection as well as a device for on-the-spot detection.

NanoBiotech News (http://www.nanobiotechnews.com/), a weekly insider news service on the development of nanomedicines and devices, today reports on two companies pioneering the development of health care products that could help mute the spread of the potential bird flu pandemic.

NanoViricides, Inc. is working to rapidly modify an influenza drug, FluCide-I, already in development, against the Avian flu. The company has developed a nanomaterial that contains an encapsulated active pharmaceutical ingredient which is targeted to Avian flu like a guided missile.



Officials stockpile vaccine, drugs against avian flu


by Jim Garamone
American Forces Press Service

http://www.dcmilitary.com/navy/tester/10_41/health/37627-1.html

WASHINGTON - Health officials estimate the Spanish Flu epidemic of 1918 killed 50 million people worldwide -- more than died in World War I. Now President Bush is concerned that a strain of avian flu that has killed millions of birds in Asia could mutate and cross over to humans.

"I am concerned about what an avian flu outbreak could mean for the United States and the world," Bush said during an Oct. 4 news conference. "I have thought through the scenarios of what an avian flu outbreak could mean."

The Department of Defense is preparing in case the worst happens. DoD is stockpiling vaccine to combat the so-called avian flu and amassing antiviral drugs.

Biosecurity, vaccine screenings prioritized for avian flu
Anissa S. Febrina, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta
http://www.thejakartapost.com/detailbusiness.asp?fileid=20051014.L01&irec=0

The Ministry of Agriculture is prioritizing increased biosecurity and vaccinations over mass culling programs in a bid to prevent an avian flu outbreak.

"We will check our current stock of locally made vaccines because substandard ones could actually spread the virus and worsen the situation," ministry director of animal health Sjamsul Bahri said on Thursday.

Avian flu vaccines must meet a certain minimum standard since they are made of unstable, inactivated viruses that if concocted wrong could infect poultry and widen the outbreak.

The move comes after reports detailing local firms with government licenses skimping on ingredients...





1,800 posted on 10/14/2005 8:18:02 AM PDT by EBH (Never give-up, Never give-in, and Never Forget)
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