Posted on 04/16/2005 4:54:25 AM PDT by paltz
As usual, I would bet on more upsets in the House this time around, than the Senate.
If Martinez continues, as he has out of the starting gate, I think Nelson will keep his seat. Of course it it early and the Schiavo smell still lingers, as does the "talking points memo".
Time will tell.
Thanks for the post paltz.
post paltz? ... Try saying that one repeatedly and fast! ;)
The honking communist Debbie Stabenow is dead meat, provided the chicken republicans go to Detroit and stop the voter fraud. I have my doubts, though.
We're expected to believe that 99% of all eligible voters go to the ballot box in that rat city. Right.
All we need are people with an abacus and video camera to count voters as they walk thru the door. This would need to be a military operation with heavily armed precinct watchers to turn back the union goons.
She's one we have to vote out! She doesn't have a very good rep around my parts. Neither does the gov..come to think of it.
My predictions were closer than his: I had it Bush 320 EV. If Bush had carried PA, I'd be almost dead on.
Tenn isn't open...
There is a bright side to all of this.
If all 8 dem seats switch to R and all 6 rep seats stay R, we still wont be able to get up/down votes for conservative judges.
Ridiculous. George Allen will crush carpetbagger Mark Warner.
HE's who we should be looking to get rid of. As I like to say, "Chuck" is a verb. So "Chuck" Hagel in 2008.
I am not sure anything Marinez does makes a difference. It really depends if the GOP gets a good candidate against Nelson. I am not sure who the leading candidate is, although I suspect Katherine Harris is.
The ACU rates Hagel 85 lifetime against Nelson's 52. Hagel was 87 in 2004 and 100 in 2003.
By and large they play hide and seek, make believe they care by working at McDonalds for a day, showing the peons they are just like us and feel our pain. They play musical chairs with the Governorship, being the governor, then being a Senator.
Think of it. Laughton Chiles was best known for walking and plaid shirts, though there was a little stink about him hunting with a .223, or something like that.
Martinez needs to simply be like the invisable man (Bob Graham) and cast no shadow that the East coast Dimocrats can hang in effigy. ;)
Frist is not running for re-election.
"Chuck" Hagel in 08.
Ping.
It is all relative. Nelson is one of the most conservative Democrats in Congress, but I would rather have a REP like Hagle in place of Nelson. 85% is better than 52%.
Hagel is a McCain/Snowe/Collins/Specter/Chaffee Republican. When the chips are down and we need every vote, you can't count on him to be there.
If you believe that the ACU ratings have any validity, it is a mistake to lump Snowe (51%), Collins (57%), Spector (44%), and Chaffee (41% )with McCain (83%). Also, without the six senators you mentioned, the Reps would be the minority party. Despite your and my objections to their general lack of adherence to conservative principles, I would rather have them in the Senate than a Dem who would be less conservative and give the Dems control of the institution.
I have reluctantly come to the same conclusion, that thanks to party politics a rino is better than a moderate 'rat.
The place to strengthen the party is in the primaries, not taking it out on a rino in the general. For that reason I support the Club for Growth, which backs conservative candidates against rino's in GOP primaries. They have a good record for effectiveness too.
I agree with this caveat. It has to be selective and done on a case by case basis. Conservative candidates will not be elected in RI and Maine, for example. It boils down to electabillity. We don't want to unseat a Rep incumbent to pave the way for the Dems to capture the seat.
For those who call to get rid of the RINOs, I wonder if there are Dems calling for the removal of conservative Dems like Nelson or Pryor to be replaced by more liberal Dems. I think not.
Just so. I have been impressed by the Club for Growth however, as they have done their homework and supported conservative pubbies against incumbent rino's in the primaries, and who then have gone on to win their seats in Congress, for net conservative gains within the GOP caucus. They have taken out some incumbent 'rats as well. They haven't won every race, but are definitely ahead of the game.
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