They surely are, because they are fantasy, no matter how much we might wish it.
Mostly no, they are, essentially, not fantasy.
They are probably conservative.
The folks doing the estimating are close to the ground and know what they are talking about.
I ran into similar estimating discourses about China. Any serious efforts at any kind of estimating accuracy has proven most early estimates to be conservative.
But, hey, if you have a habit of being dismissive, who am I to try and change you.
So, may I assume you have better intelligence and more reliable sources to share?
I have friends and relatives on the ground doing this work. The numbners are conservative.
No, they aren't Don't put God in a box. He will respond to our prayers on the behalf of the Muslims. If you aren't praying, jammer, then get busy. Mxxx
Rather than receive the praises of men, it's better that we don't know who should receive God's blessing for such works.