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Major East Coast Storm Gets Underway
Eastern US Weather Forums ^ | Various: NWS/HPC/NOAA

Posted on 02/27/2005 11:13:44 AM PST by nwctwx

A major to possibly historic snowstorm is now forming in the Gulf of Mexico. This storm will track northeast along the East Coast Monday and Tuesday bringing very heavy snow and near blizzard conditions to many. The exact track is still uncertain at this time, but the big cities along the megalopolis could be in for a very large event. I put together a few maps to track the system, and will add more shortly.


National Warning Map


Clickable Map Here

Current East Coast NEXRAD Radar Composite


National Radar Loop

National Radar Summary

U.S. Surface Pressure Map and Radar Overlay

NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
132 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2005
QPF DISCUSSION

...ERN STATES...

WILL KEEP THIS SHORT AND SWEET. FOR THE MOST PART THE MANUAL
DAY1 QPF OVR THE ERN U.S. STRONGLY REFLECTS THE GFS MODEL. THIS
MODEL HAS GOOD CONTINUITY NOW FOR THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS AS
OPPOSED TO THE NAM WHICH HAS BEEN ERRATIC AND FOR THE MOST PART
WRONG WITH ITS SCENARIO. THAT BEING SAID THE CURRENT GFS IN THE
EARLY PART OF ITS 1200 UTC FCST CYCLE DOES NOT HAVE A GOOD HANDLE
ON THE DEPTH OF THE GULF LO. TO WHAT EXTENT THIS WILL IMPACT ITS
FCST IS UNCERTAIN. ITS FARTHER WEST SFC LO SOLUTION AS COMPARED
TO THE UKMET AND THE ECMWF ALSO DOES NOT LEND SUPPORT TO A
HIGHLY CONFIDENCE FCST. IN ANY CASE...USED THE GFS FOR THE TIMING
OF THE PCPN ASOCTD WITH THIS SYSTEM WHICH HAS TRENDED SLOER FM
PREVIOUS RUNS. THE ONLY CORRECTION MADE TO THE GFS...WHICH IS
IMPORTANT FOR SNOW LOVERS...IS THE ADDITION TO ITS QPF ON THE NW
SIDE OF ITS PCPN SHIELD. BELIEVE ITS CURRENT FCST DOES NOT STGLY
REFLECT THE TRACK OF THE MID/UPPER LVL CNTR AS DEPICTED BY ITS OWN
MASS FIELD FCSTS. LATEST STLT AND RADAR ALREADY INDCS THAT IT HAS
MISSED THE PCPN DVLPNG OVR THE UPPER TN VLY TO THE NORTH OF THE
MID LVL CIRC AND SUSPECT THIS COULD CONTINUE. PLEASE SEE LATEST
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFO CONCERNING FROZEN
PCPN.


For more information, including thoughts from nationally known meteorologists visit:
Eastern United States Weather Forums



TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: notthissleetagain; storm; weather; wereallgonnadie; winter
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To: 7.62 x 51mm

I like it.....


121 posted on 02/27/2005 12:30:06 PM PST by sure_fine (*not one to over kill the thought process*)
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To: socal_parrot

What, we thought we would check on the latest storm....and see how the pros do it.....


122 posted on 02/27/2005 12:32:42 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (This tagline no longer operative....floated away in the flood of 2005 ,)
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To: nwctwx

Oh please....they can't have a storm...don't they know the Oscars are on tonight?


123 posted on 02/27/2005 12:34:06 PM PST by Drango (Freepmail me to get on/off the *NPR/PBS* ping list)
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To: nwctwx
That's my feeling too. Strangely enough, the model I use the least seems to have the "maximum likelihood" across the board.

I don't want to be "chicken little" and say "Geez, Grandma.. Looks like 20 inches by the feelin in these old bones"

124 posted on 02/27/2005 12:44:29 PM PST by xcamel (Deep Red, stuck in a "bleu" state.)
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To: Gabz

We have to dig with a pickaxe. Local weather forecast says we'll have an inch of rain tonight. Yuck.


125 posted on 02/27/2005 12:45:13 PM PST by Tax-chick (Donate to FRIENDS OF SCOUTING and ruin a liberal's day!)
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To: Gabz

Well that explains it>>>>>ROFL!!!


126 posted on 02/27/2005 12:47:05 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (This tagline no longer operative....floated away in the flood of 2005 ,)
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To: Libertarian4Bush
BRING. IT. ON.

NO! No no no no no NO, not unless you want to come on over to NJ and shovel my driveway!

127 posted on 02/27/2005 12:48:21 PM PST by dbwz (I know you are but what am I?)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN

My wife took a picture of me using the bulldozer (Cat D3) to move snow away from the barn - all she caught was the top of my hat and the top of the ROPS - and one GIANT snowbank. (Beautiful Galway, NY) 31" measured in the front yard.


128 posted on 02/27/2005 12:49:02 PM PST by xcamel (Deep Red, stuck in a "bleu" state.)
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To: carlr; dakine; leadpenny

they're the same aren't they?


.10" ... 1"
1" ... 10"

oh I am confusing myself now :)


129 posted on 02/27/2005 12:49:48 PM PST by lainie
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To: Dont Mention the War
January 1996 in NYC rocked.

I was in northern Virginia for that. It was AWESOME.

130 posted on 02/27/2005 12:51:19 PM PST by lainie
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To: socal_parrot; Ernest_at_the_Beach; BurbankKarl; bd476
How did I know I'd find you guys here?

Weather freaks go where the action is. Now I'm green with envy of the east coast :)

131 posted on 02/27/2005 12:53:18 PM PST by lainie
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To: xcamel
My wife took a picture of me using the bulldozer (Cat D3) to move snow away from the barn - all she caught was the top of my hat and the top of the ROPS - and one GIANT snowbank. (Beautiful Galway, NY) 31" measured in the front yard.

What year? What storm?

132 posted on 02/27/2005 12:54:10 PM PST by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN (NO PRISONERS!!)
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To: nwctwx
Thanks for starting this thread. Usually I get blasted with these storms but I am currently on I-95 about 50 miles north of Savannah, GA! My wife and I are taking a warm vacation this week. I'm typing this on my laptop as my wife drives (Internet in the car is cool). It is pouring rain right now and traffic is down to about 50-55mph. My wife and I were commenting about how these raindrops are going to be snowflakes in our backyard in about 24 more hours.

It will be interesting to see how much snow everybody gets as I drive back up the Eastern Seaboard next weekend. But for now, I'm going to have to prepare myself for a week of 60s and 70s and lots of sunshine!

133 posted on 02/27/2005 12:54:43 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: lainie
For us West Coast guys, I think we get more snow out of an inch, maybe as must as a foot per inch, pretty sure that is true for Utah...

*****************************************


Snow Reports > California > Kirkwood

last updated


Kirkwood
Report For Kirkwood
02/27/2005 5:15a (local time)
Surface Conditions

Packed Powder

New Snow

-

Average Base Depth

199 - 230"

Last Snow Fall

Feb 22, 1"

Previous Snow Fall

Feb 21, 9 - 12", 9 - 12"

Trails Open

65 out of 65

Lifts Open

11 out of 12

Miles Open

-

Acres Open

2300 out of 2300

Percent Open

100%


134 posted on 02/27/2005 12:56:15 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (This tagline no longer operative....floated away in the flood of 2005 ,)
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To: lainie

I knew what you meant. BTW, when I used to watch local TV I always enjoyed Bob Ryan. As I remember, he and Willard Scott pulled the old switcheroo some 20+ years ago. Ryan was on the Today Show and Willard was a local guy here in the DC area. What I really liked years later was the dust-up between Willard and Brian Gumball. They hated each other.


135 posted on 02/27/2005 1:00:07 PM PST by leadpenny
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To: SamAdams76
I'm typing this on my laptop as my wife drives (Internet in the car is cool).

You are seriously addicted.

136 posted on 02/27/2005 1:03:34 PM PST by leadpenny
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To: nwctwx

The NWS is currently predicting 4-8 inches here in southern NH (never mind Boston, where rain will probably cut down accumulations). This is boringly normal, not "historic".


137 posted on 02/27/2005 1:05:04 PM PST by andy58-in-nh
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To: Tax-chick

My forecast is now calling for only a chance of rain in the morning.

The ground here is so wet and soft I can't put my car where I normally do, and I only drive a little tiny car........I'd be sunk, literally, if I still had my van.


138 posted on 02/27/2005 1:07:52 PM PST by Gabz (Wanna join my tag team?)
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To: SamAdams76

Weisenheimer...........

Enjoy your vacation!!!!


139 posted on 02/27/2005 1:09:52 PM PST by Gabz (Wanna join my tag team?)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Yes, that could very well be. I never looked into it. Having skiied both areas, the snow here is infinitely better for that purpose. I remember it took me a long time to grasp the concept of snow elevation, vs. snow line. On the east coast it all hinges on cold air and where the line is between too-warm and cold-enough. Out here it's about what elevation is squeezing out the moisture.


140 posted on 02/27/2005 1:13:43 PM PST by lainie
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