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Don't let diversification run amok
Knoxville News Sentinel ^ | 2/27/5 | David Moon

Posted on 02/26/2005 9:48:39 PM PST by SmithL

In graduate school, every finance student is required to take the diversification class. This class is sacrosanct among all school curricula, particularly in graduate school. Graduate school is where all aspiring young investment advisors learn the special answer to all investment quandaries: diversify.

When all else fails, diversify. If you're not sure what to do, diversify. If you're just getting started, diversify. If you're nearing retirement, diversify. If you're conservative, diversify. Aggressive? Diversify. If you hate your mother, want to lose weight, or drink too much? Diversify, diversify, diversify.

Following the precepts of the diversification class, a wise investor with a $100,000 portfolio will wind up owning thousands of individual stocks and probably hundreds of bonds.

He will own a number of different international stock funds, most of which hopefully will cancel each other out as far as currency fluctuations are concerned.

The real estate holdings will be spread among a single REIT if he's lucky; if he's unlucky, he'll own some horrible limited partnership a guy at church sold him. He'll be paying rent on his safe-deposit box to hold the two gold coins he forgot about. But he will be diversified.

When they don't know what to do, some people do nothing. Others do everything - a little of that, a little of this, and this and this.

One perennially successful investment manager, Marty Whitman, calls "over-diversification a proxy for knowledge - and a poor proxy at that."

When you diversify a portfolio to the point that you own everything, you've guaranteed mediocrity.

In college, if my friends and I couldn't agree on a specific cuisine for dinner, we would visit Duff's, the first all-you-can-eat restaurant I'd ever seen. If you couldn't decide what to eat, at Duff's you could eat anything - or everything.

But it all tasted the same. The macaroni and cheese tasted just like the green beans and the corn. There was no difference in the taste of the fish, chicken, fried steak, French fries or onion rings.

Everything was bland, but there was plenty of it. Nothing was good, but nothing was different. Everything needed salt and Tabasco.

I am often reminded of Duff's when I see portfolios constructed according to the teachings of the diversification class.

David Moon is president of Moon Capital Management, a Knoxville-based investment management firm. He may be contacted by e-mail at david@mooncap.com.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: diversification
One of life's little lessons, borrowed from business school.
1 posted on 02/26/2005 9:48:39 PM PST by SmithL
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To: SmithL
Following the precepts of the diversification class, a wise investor with a $100,000 portfolio will wind up owning thousands of individual stocks and probably hundreds of bonds.

Au Contraire - the efficient markets hypothesis would suggest that there are diminishing returns to holding more than 15-20 stocks. Well chosen, of course. Diversification reduces risk about as much as it can once you reach that number of individual stocks.

2 posted on 02/26/2005 9:55:35 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: SmithL
Peter Lynch once warned against "deworsification".

A really smart rabbi, whose name escapes me at the moment once suggested that people divide their wealth three ways. One third in land, one third in gold and one third in goods.

Translated into modern terms: real estate, cash and equities.

That's diversification enough. A guy could do worse.
3 posted on 02/26/2005 10:05:16 PM PST by InABunkerUnderSF (San Francisco - See It Before God Smites It.)
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To: SmithL; Grampa Dave; Dog Gone; Southack

Which just proves that "to everything there is a season" and there actually is a "point of diminishing returns" to every doctrine!!!


4 posted on 02/26/2005 10:33:37 PM PST by SierraWasp (The Dems have lost whatever "redeeming social value" they ever had!!! Just ask Zell...)
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To: SmithL

>>One perennially successful investment manager, Marty Whitman, calls "over-diversification a proxy for knowledge - and a poor proxy at that."

When you diversify a portfolio to the point that you own everything, you've guaranteed mediocrity. <<

Fire this type of financial advisor ASAP


5 posted on 02/26/2005 11:17:13 PM PST by B4Ranch
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To: SmithL

Diversify... choose industry specific mutual funds and diversify across them all.

While you're at it, drink red wine with a fish entree.


6 posted on 02/26/2005 11:52:10 PM PST by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: SmithL

Interesting that no one actually connected this with Bush's stock index plan for Social Security...


7 posted on 02/27/2005 1:54:55 AM PST by LibertarianInExile (The South will rise again? Hell, we ever get states' rights firmly back in place, the CSA has risen!)
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To: SmithL
I keep looking for some evidence of substance in this commentary, and I just can't find it. That "too much diversification" is a bad thing is fairly well known. An article that told people how to determine how much was "just right" would have been valuable. This guy told us about his eating habits in college and gave us an imaginary anecdotal example of someone doing it wrongly. I realize that he probably wrote the whole piece as a kind of advertisement for his financial advising business, but giving a little substance would have been a better advertisement. I found more good advice in the posts from fellow Freepers than I found in the original piece.

Bill

8 posted on 02/27/2005 10:20:11 AM PST by WFTR (Liberty isn't for cowards)
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To: SmithL

Own a stock index. Instant diversification. Own a stock fund. Instant diversification. Own General Electric. Instant diversification.


9 posted on 02/27/2005 10:22:46 AM PST by RightWhale (Please correct if cosmic balance requires.)
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