URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE (snow) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 308 PM EST THU JAN 20 2005

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-211200- BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CARBON PA-CHESTER PA-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ- HUNTERDON NJ-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA- MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-SOMERSET NJ-SUSSEX NJ- WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...NEW BRUNSWICK... PERTH AMBOY...READING AND TRENTON 308 PM EST THU JAN 20 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THE WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES.

IN PENNSYLVANIA, CARBON, MONROE, NORTHAMPTON, LEHIGH, BERKS, CHESTER, MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

IN NEW JERSEY, SUSSEX, WARREN, MORRIS, HUNTERDON, SOMERSET, MERCER, MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY ON SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING AND IT SHOULD TAPER TO SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF SIX INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE POCONOS, THE LEHIGH VALLEY, BERKS COUNTY AND PHILADELPHIA'S NORTHWESTERN SUBURBAN COUNTIES. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR SIX INCHES OR MORE IN NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. AS A RESULT, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME LESS THAN IDEAL THIS WEEKEND. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANS PAY SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER FORECASTS AND RELATED STATEMENTS DURING THE COMING DAYS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS TAKING SHAPE OVER SOUTHWESTERN CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST, REACHING THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON SATURDAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND A SECONDARY LOW SHOULD FORM ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE SECOND LOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

I fully understand that quite a few people live in those areas you mentioned but I think you miss my point.

It is severe enough when a big storm hits areas that are prepared for it and used to those conditions. It is quite another thing when a storm (albeit smaller) hits one of the most densely populated areas in the country and when the people who live and travel there are not accustomed to big winter weather events such as this one.

You might think that it is funny that the mid-Atlantic folks take this "little storm" so seriously but unfortunately I have witnessed the deaths and injury that such storms invariably bring to this region. Big snow storms do not happen often enough around here for most folks to become adept at safely navigating through them and someone always ends up getting killed. Personally I don't find that funny at all.

BLIZZARD WARNING

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
907 PM CST FRI JAN 21 2005

. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS IOWA TONIGHT HAS DEPOSITED UP
TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN IOWA. AS THE STORM
PASSES TO THE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 55 MPH WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE.

IAZ006-007-016-017-027-028-221100-
/X.CAN.KDMX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050122T1800Z/
/X.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0001.050122T0600Z-050122T1800Z/
BREMER-BUTLER-CERRO GORDO-HANCOCK-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASON CITY AND WAVERLY
907 PM CST FRI JAN 21 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY TO NOON CST
SATURDAY...

STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES TO
NEAR ZERO IN THE AFFECTED AREA BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. THE STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT AND VERY DANGEROUS.
PERSONS ARE URGED TO DELAY TRAVEL UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THE
STRONG WINDS HAVE PASSED THROUGH THE AREA.

A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR, WITH
WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS MAY BECOME
LOST OR DISORIENTED, SO PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO
STAY INDOORS.

ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU LEAVE THE SAFETY OF BEING
INDOORS, YOU ARE PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK.

Stay Safe! This is from where I live.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
826 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ001-007>010-012>022-026-027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-221100-
ATLANTIC NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CARBON PA-CECIL MD-
CHESTER PA-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-KENT MD-KENT DE-
LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-
NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...CAMDEN...DOVER...
NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...PHILADELPHIA...READING...
TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
826 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
FOR 10 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW...

A DANGEROUS WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, ALL OF NEW JERSEY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
COASTAL ATLANTIC COUNTY AND CAPE MAY COUNTY, NEW CASTLE AND KENT
COUNTIES IN DELAWARE AND CECIL, KENT AND QUEEN ANNE'S COUNTIES IN
MARYLAND.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. IT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING
AND CROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE DELMARVA
COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY EVENING AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY. THE LOW SHOULD
BE WELL EAST OF OUR REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING.

THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM WILL HAVE TWO PHASES. THE FIRST PHASE WILL
FEATURE VERY HEAVY SNOW SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING
WHERE MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THE
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL SO HEAVILY THAT NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY WITH RATES POSSIBLY REACHING ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR.
THE SECOND PHASE OCCURRING OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WILL
FEATURE LIGHTER SNOW, BUT CONSIDERABLY STRONGER WINDS. THIS WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE A VERY LIGHT AND
FLUFFY SNOW. THIS MAY CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, EASTERN
MARYLAND, DELAWARE AND SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY LATE SATURDAY MORNING
AND THE REST OF NEW JERSEY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS AFTER ALL IS SAID AND DONE WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15
INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WARNING AREA.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS AND ALL
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED ONCE THE HEAVY SNOW BEGINS.
FOLLOW THE DIRECTION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND POLICE IN YOUR
AREA. DRIVING CONDITIONS SHOULD START IMPROVING LATER SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS WINDS DIMINISH.

ANOTHER FACTOR WILL BE THE VERY LOW WIND CHILLS. AS WINDS INCREASE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WIND CHILL FACTORS WILL DROP BELOW ZERO
ACROSS NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND THE SINGLE
NUMBERS ELSEWHERE FROM SATURDAY NIGHT AND LAST THROUGH THE DAY ON
SUNDAY.

SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TO GET BLASTED WITH A STORM OF HISTORICAL PROPORTIONS!

FXUS61 KBOX 220242 AAB AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 942 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005

...00Z ETA HITS IT EVEN HARDER... .UPDATE... AFTER FURTHER REVIEW AND COORDINATING WITH OKX...WE WILL RUN AN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO BRING OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS NOW PUSHING ONTO CAPE COD BACK TO EASTERN MA COAST SAT MORNING AS LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO NE AND THEN E. THIS SCENARIO ACTUALLY IS REMINISCENT OF JAN 99 WHEN WE WERE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED IN AN ARCTIC AIRMASS AND PARTS OF EASTERN MA WERE HAMMERED BY OCEAN EFFECT SNOWS BEFORE ANYTHING FROM THE SYNOPTIC SCALE STORM EVER ARRIVED.

00Z ETA IS STARTING TO ROLL IN...AND ONCE AGAIN YOU GOTTA BE IMPRESSED. IN FACT, YOU NEED TO GET TO THE SUPERMARKETS ASAP AND STOCK UP ON MILK, BREAD, BATTERIES, AND MST3K MOVIES. IT'S DUMPING 3" QPF INTO SE CT AND MUCH OF RI 03-06Z SUN THEN ONTO CAPE COD 06Z-09Z...THAT WOULD ROUGHLY TRANSLATE TO 3-4" PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES OVER MANY HOURS!!! BASED UPON WHAT WE'VE SEEN IN PREVIOUS ETA RUNS...WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED AT ALL TO GET THUNDER REPORTS NEAR S COAST...MAYBE EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO...BUT ALSO FARTHER INLAND FROM CSI BANDING.

FOR WHAT IT'S WORTH...24HR QPF IS UP TO 4.75" ALONG AND SE I-95 AND SNOW ALGORITHM SHOWS 30" SNOWFALL IN 12HRS THERE! THIS LENDS MORE CONFIDENCE TO OUR GOING FORECAST OF HISTORICAL STORM THAT MAY BLANKET SOME AREAS WITH NEARLY 60" SNOWFALL.

WE DECIDED TO EXTEND HIGHER POPS INTO SUN MORNING AS DEFORMATION ZONE OVER INTERIOR IS EXPECTED TO COLLAPSE AND DROP SE TO COAST. WE ALSO DECIDED TO LEAVE OUR POSTS IMMEDIATELY AND HEAD FOR HOME. AS A RESULT, THIS IS GOING TO BE OUR LAST FORECAST FOR A WHILE. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED THAT WE MIGHT BE IMPROVING THINGS TOO QUICKLY SUN MORNING AND WE COULD ACTUALLY HAVE POOR CONDITIONS LASTING INTO MON AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY SE ZONES...AS WINDS REALLY GET CRANKING...UP TO HURRICANE FORCE IN SOME AREAS... CHECK OUT 00Z NGM MOS...74-89KT WINDS AT ACK AND 63-67KT AT BOS SUN. MRPCWN GUIDANCE HAS 94KT ALSN6 AND 89KT BUZM3 AT 12Z SUN!

HOLY CRAP...WE ARE OUTTA HERE!

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION (ISSUED AT 424 PM EST)... A POWERFUL AND DANGEROUS WINTER STORM ACCOMPANIED BY BLIZZARD CONDITIONS BECOMING MORE LIKELY TO HAVE DEVASTATING IMPLICATIONS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY SUN MORING. THIS STORM IS EXPLOSIVE AND SURE TO CAUSE MASS PANIC AMONG THE ELDERLY AND JOHN KERRY VOTERS.

ummmm..

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 950 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005 .A POWERFUL NOREASTER IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS TO MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING...AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FROM THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR TO CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS WITHIN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD HAVE TRAVEL COMPLETED SATURDAY MORNING...OR POSTPONE TRAVEL UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON IF POSSIBLE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION FOR THOSE WHO VENTURE OUT DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. CTZ002>004-MAZ005-006-009-011-012-231100- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-HARTFORD CT- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-TOLLAND CT-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- WINDHAM CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...CHICOPEE...EAST HARTFORD... FRAMINGHAM...HARTFORD...LAWRENCE...LOWELL...MANCHESTER...MANSFIELD... MILFORD...NEW BRITAIN...NEWINGTON...PLAINFIELD...PUTNAM... SPRINGFIELD...VERNON...WALTHAM...WEST HARTFORD...WILLIMANTIC... WINDSOR LOCKS AND WORCESTER 950 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... SNOW WILL BEGIN FROM THE HARTFORD AND SPRINGFIELD AREAS TO WORCESTER AND LAWRENCE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 PM SATURDAY...AND WILL QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY BY EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHEN SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.. ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW WILL END EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

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BLIZZARD WARNING

SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TO GET BLASTED WITH A STORM OF HISTORICAL PROPORTIONS!

LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW!